Discrete-Welcome — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$320

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved (30d)

882

Trades (30d)

4,370

57,459 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$12.4K

$138.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-31 22:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 158 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% -$1,376

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 832 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	—	+10	$7	98¢	$10	+$2	10-31 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	—	+15	$4	2¢	$0	-$3	10-31 23:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	45	$312	225	145	+80	Down	+$15	10-13 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	56	$161	280	0	+280	Down	+$4	10-15 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:40 UTC	58	$147	290	0	+290	Up	-$2	07-29 18:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 20:40 UTC	30	$143	120	65	+55	Down	+$5	08-16 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:05 UTC	49	$133	245	0	+245	Up	-$13	07-29 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:45 UTC	30	$130	255	0	+255	Down	-$5	08-21 09:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:30 UTC	52	$129	260	0	+260	Down	+$1	07-29 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:35 UTC	52	$128	260	0	+260	Up	+$2	07-29 18:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:40 UTC	52	$128	260	0	+260	Up	+$2	07-27 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	22	$125	105	50	+55	Down	+$4	10-15 20:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 22:10 UTC	49	$125	245	0	+245	Down	-$5	07-14 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	50	$124	237	0	+237	Up	-$6	10-10 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:05 UTC	25	$123	195	15	+180	Down	+$16	10-13 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:00 UTC	48	$119	240	0	+240	Down	+$1	07-15 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:25 UTC	13	$118	75	55	+20	Up	+$10	10-14 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:35 UTC	14	$117	120	45	+75	Down	+$9	10-13 21:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 13:45 UTC	37	$109	185	0	+185	Up	-$4	07-29 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:10 UTC	44	$108	220	0	+220	Up	+$2	07-16 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 22:05 UTC	37	$106	185	0	+185	Up	-$16	07-26 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:10 UTC	40	$106	210	0	+210	Down	-$1	07-27 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:15 UTC	37	$104	200	0	+200	Down	-$4	08-21 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:35 UTC	21	$103	205	0	+205	Down	+$2	10-17 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	57	$103	196	0	+196	Down	+$2	06-03 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	14	$101	65	55	+10	Down	+$13	10-09 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 23:25 UTC	40	$101	200	0	+200	Down	-$1	07-15 23:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 21:40 UTC	40	$100	200	0	+200	Down	+$0	07-14 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	41	$99	0	195	-195	Down	-$1	10-11 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:45 UTC	22	$99	150	20	+130	Down	-$2	10-14 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 21:45 UTC	40	$99	200	0	+200	Down	+$1	07-14 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:40 UTC	16	$98	135	0	+135	Up	-$3	10-13 21:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 23:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x47d45e…
10-31 23:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x133bf8…
10-31 23:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xbe21b0…
10-31 23:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xbbc328…
10-31 23:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x0ac5c8…
10-31 23:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x100ae7…
10-31 23:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6f94b2…
10-31 23:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xc4661c…
10-31 23:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xdcc0d6…
10-31 23:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x8e7970…
10-31 23:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1025d9…
10-31 23:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x117fb4…
10-31 23:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x905af9…
10-31 23:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x7d0c0a…
10-31 23:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x882617…
10-31 23:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x144041…
10-31 22:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8ae099…
10-31 22:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xfae260…
10-31 22:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0986d4…
10-31 22:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x69cfb3…
10-31 22:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf794e5…
10-31 22:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x822095…
10-31 22:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xabc9ea…
10-31 22:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc5020d…
10-31 22:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4de07f…
10-31 22:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x2728ed…
10-31 22:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x68aa16…
10-31 22:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xdadc82…
10-31 22:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x38f3e4…
10-31 22:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5a2e6a…
10-31 22:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x0b2a15…
10-31 22:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3b76df…
10-31 22:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7e38fd…
10-31 22:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1d9c60…
10-31 22:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6ba061…
10-28 21:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb754d1…
10-27 23:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x76bc4e…
10-27 23:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x97494c…
10-27 23:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2807fe…
10-27 23:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa323f3…
10-27 22:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x90905f…
10-27 22:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xcff3f5…
10-27 22:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xcfefe5…
10-27 22:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xc740a4…
10-27 22:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x78945a…
10-27 22:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x3c8fb2…
10-27 22:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x2bad14…
10-27 22:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2413bb…
10-27 22:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xba93a2…
10-27 22:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x3d68ef…
10-27 22:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xf75c40…
10-27 22:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xae3351…
10-27 22:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xbdd11e…
10-27 22:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x179784…
10-27 22:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x6f2c59…
10-27 22:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xae0ca9…
10-27 21:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xaf88ba…
10-27 21:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x71c12d…
10-27 21:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x8e6b17…
10-27 21:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xa6667a…
10-27 21:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x157e17…
10-27 21:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xaa631b…
10-27 21:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x6d7354…
10-27 21:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x1dbdcb…
10-27 21:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x831901…
10-25 21:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x111ed3…
10-25 21:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa655a0…
10-25 21:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe17c27…
10-25 21:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xffdeff…
10-25 21:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbab9d3…
10-25 20:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6f2b9e…
10-25 20:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0e43db…
10-25 20:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdb78b9…
10-25 20:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xceecbe…
10-25 20:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xef8288…
10-25 20:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x13b0d4…
10-25 20:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8b0fc5…
10-25 20:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xacb14d…
10-25 20:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdfb345…
10-25 20:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbbcf3a…
10-25 20:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa94f11…
10-25 20:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb1e353…
10-25 20:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x89d3ab…
10-25 20:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x149fac…
10-25 20:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa36104…
10-25 20:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xe0d0f7…
10-25 20:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6d4856…
10-25 20:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x687efd…
10-25 20:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x83e597…
10-25 20:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xa70373…
10-25 20:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x79a0a1…
10-25 20:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbe438c…
10-25 20:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1634a5…
10-25 19:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x30c833…
10-25 19:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xaee8d8…
10-25 19:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x53c965…
10-25 19:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x628b51…
10-25 19:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf99ff4…
10-25 19:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xafc7c6…
10-25 19:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xa41b34…