Nonstop-Spotlight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$58

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.6%

Resolved

2,731

Trades

11,263

lifetime

Volume

$13.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-17 04:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 8% +$195

Other

11% 7% -$136

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 0% $0

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 384 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-17 13:00 UTC	12	$357	375	375	+0	Up	+$296	01-17 16:59
bitcoin up or down january 20 12am et	8	$273	300	300	+0	Down	+$249	01-20 05:28
bitcoin up or down january 16 10pm et	4	$220	400	200	+200	Up	+$180	01-17 05:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 00:45 UTC	46	$215	800	200	+600	Down	+$303	01-17 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 00:30 UTC	13	$154	700	400	+300	Down	+$24	01-17 00:45
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 9?	19	$126	150	150	+0	Yes	+$125	08-09 06:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 20:45 UTC	28	$125	500	100	+400	Up	-$25	01-16 20:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 11:30 UTC	8	$122	300	100	+200	Up	+$164	01-18 11:43
will the chicago bears win super bowl 2026	5	$105	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$1	01-18 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 00:15 UTC	5	$85	400	100	+300	Down	+$5	01-17 00:27
bitcoin up or down january 18 8am et	8	$77	100	100	+0	Up	+$57	01-18 13:44
bitcoin up or down january 17 12am et	6	$64	800	0	+800	Up	+$336	01-17 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 11:15 UTC	5	$57	500	0	+500	Up	-$57	01-17 11:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 21:30 UTC	34	$56	700	0	+700	Down	-$56	01-17 21:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 22:30 UTC	4	$54	118	51	+67	Up	+$46	02-08 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 21:00 UTC	10	$48	600	0	+600	Down	+$252	01-17 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 19:30 UTC	9	$48	600	0	+600	Down	+$252	01-17 19:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 08:45 UTC	3	$40	80	39	+41	Down	-$1	01-14 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 01:30 UTC	2	$40	400	0	+400	Down	+$160	01-19 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 16:15 UTC	2	$39	482	0	+482	Down	+$143	01-17 16:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 05:30 UTC	5	$37	80	40	+40	Down	+$32	01-14 05:44
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 9?	5	$36	40	40	+0	Yes	+$35	08-09 09:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 00:30 UTC	20	$36	400	400	+0	Down	-$28	01-18 00:44
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-17 17:00 UTC	11	$34	681	0	+681	Up	+$247	01-17 20:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 17:00 UTC	5	$32	325	0	+325	Down	+$92	01-18 17:14
bitcoin up or down january 17 11pm et	12	$32	400	400	+0	Down	-$32	01-18 04:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 05:30 UTC	2	$32	400	0	+400	Down	-$32	01-17 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 23:15 UTC	2	$32	400	0	+400	Down	-$32	01-17 23:28
bitcoin up or down january 17 5pm et	1	$32	400	0	+400	Down	-$32	01-17 22:28
bitcoin up or down january 17 8pm et	1	$32	400	0	+400	Down	-$32	01-18 01:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 04:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x6d5f8a…
10-17 04:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x13e55d…
10-17 04:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x97d8d1…
10-17 04:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0xddc406…
10-17 03:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0x4849fe…
10-17 01:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0193ec…
10-17 01:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x657c62…
10-17 01:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbde930…
10-16 18:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xd11b80…
10-16 17:51:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x0e2f04…
10-16 16:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0xbb1278…
10-16 16:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x41bc85…
10-16 16:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x1839d7…
09-27 19:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x5fae1e…
09-27 19:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xccda00…
09-27 16:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0xc7adf1…
09-27 15:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xe101d7…
09-27 14:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 27?	No	BUY	98	0¢	$0	0x036c99…
09-27 14:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 27?	No	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x32ffb9…
09-27 12:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	346	0¢	$0	0x9651d3…
09-27 12:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 27?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x2432c6…
09-27 12:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 27?	No	BUY	44	1¢	$0	0x9e952b…
09-27 12:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 27?	No	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x0fffa5…
09-27 12:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x634b24…
09-27 11:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 27?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x999634…
09-27 11:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xc89fce…
09-27 08:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	76	0¢	$0	0x34d99b…
09-27 08:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x038356…
09-27 08:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0xfb5576…
09-27 08:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x1cb32a…
09-27 08:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x7c2107…
09-27 08:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8c5db5…
09-27 08:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x1d538a…
09-27 06:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xf31bc3…
09-27 06:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x61549c…
09-27 06:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x96c8e0…
09-27 06:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x8f2d53…
09-27 06:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x8b2513…
09-27 06:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	44	1¢	$0	0x856818…
09-27 06:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x594f67…
09-27 06:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x830af0…
09-27 06:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0x07eca1…
09-27 06:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x8df168…
09-27 06:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xefe619…
09-27 00:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x816e9b…
09-26 20:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0xa1d0ea…
09-26 19:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	161	0¢	$0	0x213693…
09-26 18:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xb2477e…
09-26 18:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x8d8c0f…
09-26 16:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xaac3ed…
09-26 15:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0d833e…
09-26 14:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xe63915…
09-26 02:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd2bed4…
09-26 02:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe33bae…
09-25 17:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x52236a…
09-25 17:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x46a3ca…
09-25 15:27:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe795ea…
09-25 15:27:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xe5b208…
09-25 15:27:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x26d73d…
09-25 14:22:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x05c7f5…
09-25 14:20:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xbbec01…
09-25 14:18:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x19df5a…
09-25 14:18:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8c4ca4…
09-25 13:35:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xc9a9ca…
09-25 13:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xcbb03e…
09-25 13:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xfbd3fb…
09-25 12:52:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 25?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf65f90…
09-25 12:11:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 25?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x6571d1…
09-25 12:10:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 25?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x3cac69…
09-25 10:39:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x43e4e6…
09-25 08:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x49dcc7…
09-25 07:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 25?	No	BUY	151	0¢	$0	0x475c57…
09-25 07:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 25?	No	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0xfeda30…
09-25 07:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x1a8115…
09-25 07:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x478e03…
09-25 07:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc3f432…
09-25 06:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x4e8e9e…
09-25 06:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xd135aa…
09-25 05:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x7a0443…
09-25 04:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8edd07…
09-25 04:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x445aa3…
09-25 03:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xdb0809…
09-25 03:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xf71845…
09-25 00:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0x07dbbb…
09-25 00:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xe6164b…
09-24 22:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xef37af…
09-24 22:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdd6e8b…
09-24 22:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xa1b504…
09-24 16:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xa4a247…
09-24 10:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	73	0¢	$0	0x04380e…
09-24 10:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	150	0¢	$1	0xf1bd1c…
09-24 10:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe8c1c1…
09-24 10:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x958dd3…
09-24 10:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x0ed7b7…
09-24 10:19:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	350	0¢	$0	0x84093d…
09-24 10:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	107	0¢	$0	0x2077ab…
09-24 09:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x34c037…
09-24 08:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xff185e…
09-24 08:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xd32407…
09-24 08:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x995b0e…