Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$509

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

477

Trades

2,277

lifetime

Volume

$25.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-18 03:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Politics

68% 62% -$303

Other

25% 43% -$186

Crypto

6% 54% -$4

Tech

0% 40% -$16

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	6	$1.1K	551	551	+0	No	+$13	02-28 06:47
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	43	$893	3,052	3,509	-457	Yes	-$311	02-28 07:36
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	27	$874	410	648	-238	No	-$30	01-30 19:01
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	28	$536	390	390	+0	Yes	-$28	01-28 23:07
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	21	$484	329	328	+1	No	+$22	02-02 11:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	16	$476	646	645	+1	Yes	+$2	02-28 22:49
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	31	$346	292	292	+0	Yes	-$10	03-10 12:49
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	26	$340	214	257	-43	No	+$11	02-11 13:13
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	17	$307	262	262	+0	Yes	-$23	02-28 13:48
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	19	$307	279	360	-81	Yes	+$35	02-27 03:25
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	19	$307	217	216	+1	No	+$11	02-07 20:06
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	14	$278	205	205	+0	No	+$0	03-07 07:11
iran strike on israel by february 28	6	$242	132	176	-44	Yes	-$6	02-28 21:03
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	7	$236	132	132	+0	No	+$15	02-18 22:16
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	20	$227	208	207	+1	Yes	+$5	02-28 06:46
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	21	$209	167	178	-11	Yes	+$19	03-08 21:15
will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28	13	$203	160	160	+0	Yes	-$6	02-06 08:13
will turnout in the second round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be between 48 and 50	8	$194	117	117	+0	No	+$11	02-15 19:34
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	18	$184	229	229	+0	No	-$36	03-08 09:31
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	13	$184	140	109	+31	No	+$7	03-17 10:57
will trump visit china by march 31	19	$177	195	224	-29	No	-$29	03-16 20:55
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	5	$177	102	104	-2	No	+$4	01-31 16:25
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	3	$172	124	74	+50	No	+$8	02-04 11:48
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	7	$167	94	93	+1	No	+$8	02-28 22:02
will israel strike gaza on february 9 2026	11	$167	98	98	+0	Yes	+$13	02-10 10:20
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	9	$165	150	150	+0	Yes	-$25	02-28 06:24
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	8	$164	120	105	+15	No	+$13	03-07 16:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$159	126	126	+0	No	-$42	03-05 04:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	7	$158	127	126	+1	Yes	-$21	02-28 13:49
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	21	$153	251	251	+0	No	-$26	03-20 10:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-18 03:38:08	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	BUY	36	34¢	$12	0x501fbe…
04-16 10:03:46	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xefb763…
04-13 19:27:41	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd180f1…
03-23 12:45:21	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7a751c…
03-23 11:09:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x9226ef…
03-22 14:59:51	will spd win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x48b8bc…
03-21 18:47:01	will the us tariff rate on china be between 5 and 15 on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xea686b…
03-21 10:22:51	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x25c013…
03-20 10:13:01	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x65bfe3…
03-20 07:10:33	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x89887f…
03-20 06:57:51	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x9b0203…
03-20 06:50:41	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x6cac5a…
03-20 06:17:35	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	41	26¢	$11	0x8ec89b…
03-20 06:16:35	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x46be48…
03-20 06:04:55	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x040dc7…
03-19 14:02:47	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0xe6c438…
03-19 07:37:25	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x1aeeb5…
03-18 23:00:33	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x3b6c4b…
03-18 19:52:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	33	36¢	$12	0xd67ad4…
03-18 15:44:41	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xdf4925…
03-18 14:02:51	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0xc072f7…
03-18 13:46:35	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x30e176…
03-18 11:55:55	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x9d469a…
03-18 11:18:17	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4ebbea…
03-17 16:59:01	will the us tariff rate on china be between 15 and 25 on march 31	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x73cc01…
03-17 10:57:39	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6afde4…
03-17 10:39:37	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x5d65bc…
03-17 05:12:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0x966244…
03-17 00:20:47	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x755d20…
03-16 22:36:31	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	44	31¢	$14	0x6b1944…
03-16 20:55:51	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0x3380ff…
03-16 20:26:51	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x81550c…
03-16 19:35:23	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x417b0c…
03-16 11:27:09	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0xc364f3…
03-16 07:59:47	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	SELL	37	21¢	$8	0xf1d88b…
03-15 23:26:43	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xefd380…
03-15 23:14:27	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0xac30f4…
03-15 23:13:45	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf36c0f…
03-15 20:28:09	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xbbbf72…
03-15 20:07:01	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x43f0a2…
03-15 20:00:13	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7df040…
03-15 19:15:23	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xded401…
03-15 19:02:17	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x29da9b…
03-15 18:07:33	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x0476fb…
03-15 16:10:57	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x764de3…
03-15 14:55:55	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xe5b7f5…
03-15 14:55:47	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x449935…
03-14 23:44:07	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x2319fb…
03-14 21:52:07	will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa4e32d…
03-14 11:04:49	bynd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt08	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa7764e…
03-14 10:15:11	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x31f35f…
03-14 05:42:03	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x1809b2…
03-14 03:33:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xcde3f2…
03-13 22:58:29	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x69c08f…
03-13 22:48:35	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x959504…
03-13 22:00:55	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xd938f7…
03-13 19:27:25	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0x0bdf4d…
03-13 19:19:55	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xe25ac6…
03-13 19:01:37	will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x99f41f…
03-13 17:40:41	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc33453…
03-13 16:15:27	will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xb0fdcb…
03-13 02:49:11	will the us tariff rate on china be between 15 and 25 on march 31	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x7394b6…
03-13 01:47:13	Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x2febc0…
03-12 21:31:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	33	55¢	$18	0x221d39…
03-12 14:24:15	bynd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt08	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xaa5074…
03-12 10:18:55	Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xe827e0…
03-12 10:18:53	Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x150b88…
03-12 10:18:53	Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x009fa4…
03-11 18:10:03	will the us tariff rate on china be between 15 and 25 on march 31	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2420a4…
03-11 18:10:03	will the us tariff rate on china be between 15 and 25 on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x20fe9d…
03-11 02:03:03	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x132b16…
03-10 23:01:41	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdd4904…
03-10 22:54:49	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x50ce99…
03-10 17:17:19	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	No	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x9b866c…
03-10 16:54:19	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x93ed91…
03-10 12:49:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x15d7db…
03-10 12:36:59	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xeae152…
03-10 12:20:33	Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xdcfb41…
03-10 12:13:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	33	37¢	$12	0xc63106…
03-10 07:19:39	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfd2df2…
03-10 04:00:35	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xad69a8…
03-10 04:00:27	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xa567fe…
03-10 00:32:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x6930de…
03-10 00:12:09	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xb7f849…
03-09 20:52:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x6b614f…
03-09 19:36:01	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xd40812…
03-09 19:24:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0x501c54…
03-09 19:20:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x5eebb6…
03-09 18:48:59	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x271b1b…
03-09 15:45:51	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xc7966f…
03-09 15:45:35	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	9	74¢	$6	0xcf3af8…
03-09 15:45:33	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	21	74¢	$15	0x00807e…
03-09 14:45:39	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xd4ca1f…
03-09 14:41:09	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xcabaea…
03-09 14:41:03	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$2	0x2e947b…
03-09 14:23:31	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x73eb17…
03-09 14:03:39	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	30	64¢	$19	0xde00a5…
03-09 12:43:33	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x18b8da…
03-09 07:41:51	will spd win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8ab853…
03-09 04:14:37	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xefbf3c…