Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$698

Unrealized P&L

+$52

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved

203

Trades

3,637

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$378

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-19

last 10-29 11:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

40% 79% -$372

Other

31% 64% +$1,275

Politics

23% 82% -$247

Sports

4% 67% -$23

Tech

2% 60% +$65

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 606 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+253	$200	97¢	$246	+$46	10-11 02:02
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+114	$107	96¢	$109	+$2	10-26 04:51
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+28	$20	84¢	$24	+$4	09-20 03:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	6	$900	949	104	+845	Yes	+$145	09-23 20:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	4	$816	416	416	+0	Yes	+$16	09-21 00:01
will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	17	$739	2,362	1,280	+1,082	No	+$809	09-04 04:11
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$493	344	230	+114	open	—	10-26 04:51
trump renames ai by september 30	8	$470	730	0	+730	Yes	-$470	09-29 16:28
Wizards vs. Bulls	10	$430	439	0	+439	Wizards	+$9	10-25 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	35	$356	380	26	+354	Down	+$30	10-26 05:44
Houston vs. Utah	6	$331	467	256	+211	Utah	-$18	10-25 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	31	$310	318	0	+318	Down	+$8	10-25 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	31	$301	332	0	+332	Up	+$31	10-26 05:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	2	$300	324	0	+324	Yes	+$24	10-12 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	30	$300	402	0	+402	Up	-$300	10-26 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	26	$254	322	11	+311	Up	+$37	10-26 05:04
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	10	$250	482	0	+482	Yes	+$232	10-21 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	23	$230	266	0	+266	Down	+$36	10-26 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	23	$230	626	0	+626	Up	-$155	10-26 05:34
Pacers vs. Pelicans	21	$211	272	15	+256	Pacers	+$14	10-22 02:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$200	253	0	+253	open	—	10-11 02:02
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?	2	$200	217	0	+217	Yes	+$17	09-09 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	20	$200	223	0	+223	Down	+$23	10-25 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	20	$200	205	0	+205	Up	+$5	10-26 05:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	192	$192	214	0	+214	Down	+$22	09-09 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	84	$183	1,498	0	+1,498	Up	-$88	09-10 16:44
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	2	$174	128	128	+0	No	+$62	08-31 16:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	3	$170	186	0	+186	No	+$16	09-28 16:31
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	4	$170	184	0	+184	No	+$14	09-22 16:33
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	3	$161	115	115	+0	No	-$39	10-21 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	16	$160	167	0	+167	Up	+$7	10-26 05:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:15 UTC	96	$144	154	0	+154	Down	+$10	08-21 22:19
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	2	$142	114	114	+0	No	+$82	09-20 03:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 11:38:10	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	173	23¢	$40	0x1df72a…
10-28 16:42:20	Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x3f3dcd…
10-28 16:42:01	Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe1c24b…
10-28 16:41:50	Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9f31e6…
10-28 16:41:43	Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xfc20f1…
10-28 16:38:29	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x8fe911…
10-28 16:37:53	Will Warsh say "President" or "Trump" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa9615b…
10-28 16:36:50	Will Warsh say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0xe92030…
10-28 16:35:59	Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0x44396f…
10-28 16:35:22	Will Warsh say "Good Question" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x4f48aa…
10-26 15:05:44	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0xc3b68d…
10-26 05:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x173940…
10-26 05:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x8f04f3…
10-26 05:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x24894f…
10-26 05:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x06a70a…
10-26 05:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5b08ae…
10-26 05:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x13ed78…
10-26 05:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xadfba5…
10-26 05:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xd7d61d…
10-26 05:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xbd12c5…
10-26 05:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe19037…
10-26 05:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5ac79b…
10-26 05:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xcd14cb…
10-26 05:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x663895…
10-26 05:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x24b936…
10-26 05:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x743fbd…
10-26 05:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x58914d…
10-26 05:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6dfd8b…
10-26 05:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x0a46a1…
10-26 05:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xf1162a…
10-26 05:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x6748cb…
10-26 05:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xc34e3c…
10-26 05:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x453f1c…
10-26 05:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x70a30a…
10-26 05:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xfde7e8…
10-26 05:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf55306…
10-26 05:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x84eb9b…
10-26 05:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6b5724…
10-26 05:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf79ca1…
10-26 05:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf6581b…
10-26 05:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6eb19c…
10-26 05:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x90544c…
10-26 05:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4b3f0c…
10-26 05:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x249f89…
10-26 05:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9efaa4…
10-26 05:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xacf4d1…
10-26 05:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6317dd…
10-26 05:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe3a7cc…
10-26 05:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x65b393…
10-26 05:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x228935…
10-26 05:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x09f302…
10-26 05:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd3ba2f…
10-26 05:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x615bab…
10-26 05:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x140859…
10-26 05:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4cf48c…
10-26 05:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xdc12d7…
10-26 05:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x921e41…
10-26 05:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xdf338f…
10-26 05:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf96350…
10-26 05:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb7cac6…
10-26 05:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3be3e4…
10-26 05:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1b51f9…
10-26 05:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9b597f…
10-26 05:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x664297…
10-26 05:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1ca819…
10-26 05:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x1e7715…
10-26 05:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x8d627a…
10-26 05:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xd66e1e…
10-26 05:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xdcf50c…
10-26 05:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xae5917…
10-26 05:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x38b336…
10-26 05:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xe210b0…
10-26 05:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x7ee314…
10-26 05:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	26	61¢	$16	0xf9b1d3…
10-26 05:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5c8ece…
10-26 05:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x30eea5…
10-26 05:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4cb5cf…
10-26 05:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x29547b…
10-26 05:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe51ff4…
10-26 05:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe439f9…
10-26 05:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4febb…
10-26 05:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1ca854…
10-26 05:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x23fa87…
10-26 05:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1f28ff…
10-26 05:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x114c2c…
10-26 05:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe938a0…
10-26 05:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe5e973…
10-26 05:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x20c24f…
10-26 05:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8169a2…
10-26 05:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x08fe21…
10-26 05:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xace594…
10-26 05:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xfa78ac…
10-26 05:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x12c0e2…
10-26 05:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0ce0db…
10-26 05:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc4f463…
10-26 05:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x026c35…
10-26 05:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeb56e9…
10-26 05:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x645a9d…
10-26 05:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xfc562d…
10-26 05:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x68146d…