Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$692

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-03-31

last 10-26 12:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

75% 29% +$561

Other

20% 52% +$174

Crypto

4% 43% -$68

Sports

1% 50% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes		+118	$20	16¢	$18	-$2	10-01 22:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$8.4K	4,724	4,724	+0	Yes	+$727	06-16 11:58
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	7	$881	561	561	+0	No	+$43	09-17 10:29
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	8	$553	430	430	+0	No	+$133	09-29 23:40
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	2	$164	99	99	+0	No	+$24	09-22 20:32
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	5	$151	136	136	+0	Yes	-$9	07-20 02:04
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$129	75	75	+0	Yes	+$21	04-01 20:05
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$98	66	66	+0	Yes	-$2	09-19 15:31
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	3	$84	722	722	+0	open	—	10-25 08:38
moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	2	$78	41	41	+0	Yes	+$4	08-15 03:57
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	4	$77	82	82	+0	Yes	-$3	08-12 15:06
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	2	$77	44	44	+0	Yes	+$10	09-28 01:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$76	93	93	+0	Yes	-$64	04-07 22:58
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	2	$74	56	56	+0	No	+$34	07-30 22:28
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$70	54	54	+0	Yes	+$30	07-18 23:08
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	2	$63	75	75	+0	No	-$37	09-20 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:30 UTC	6	$53	81	43	+38	Down	-$37	08-10 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:50 UTC	6	$52	48	48	+0	Down	+$2	08-10 15:53
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	2	$49	80	80	+0	Yes	+$9	10-04 13:55
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	2	$47	32	32	+0	open	—	08-07 20:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$47	27	27	+0	Yes	+$7	07-29 18:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:40 UTC	3	$45	30	30	+0	Up	+$5	08-10 15:41
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	2	$42	75	75	+0	No	-$28	08-10 15:26
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	1	$40	74	0	+74	No	-$40	08-20 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:05 UTC	4	$39	36	36	+0	Down	+$9	08-10 16:08
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$38	43	43	+0	No	-$2	04-01 19:09
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 bar	2	$37	25	25	+0	Yes	+$12	04-04 21:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	10-16 09:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:35 UTC	3	$30	178	0	+178	Down	-$30	08-10 15:37
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	2	$27	15	15	+0	Yes	+$3	07-21 23:54
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	2	$27	18	18	+0	Yes	+$7	06-16 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 12:56:47	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x6eda89…
10-25 08:38:20	Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	722	3¢	$24	0x28e632…
10-16 09:04:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x7f8266…
10-15 19:53:25	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x9bb05e…
10-14 20:54:27	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x4de57b…
10-05 17:17:56	Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x8e8d01…
10-05 16:02:13	Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0xb220e3…
10-04 13:55:28	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	No	SELL	80	36¢	$29	0x55aa77…
10-01 22:14:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x5572bc…
10-01 22:03:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x1ce863…
10-01 22:01:53	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x53e3eb…
10-01 21:59:47	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xa2f277…
09-30 22:06:44	will manchester city be relegated from the premier league in 2026 27	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x77fdea…
09-29 23:40:15	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	SELL	182	95¢	$172	0x5cd830…
09-29 07:44:56	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x29211f…
09-28 21:34:41	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x1a0718…
09-28 19:23:09	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x04d758…
09-28 11:24:02	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x6b83a8…
09-28 01:50:14	Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xa177a8…
09-27 19:42:53	Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	44	76¢	$33	0xc30413…
09-27 19:42:32	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	SELL	39	83¢	$32	0xcf7d73…
09-25 15:28:33	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xea3d71…
09-25 14:58:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x3e6af7…
09-25 14:57:45	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xc79476…
09-22 20:32:56	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	SELL	99	94¢	$94	0xadcd98…
09-22 20:28:39	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	168	30¢	$50	0xc9b492…
09-20 15:27:45	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x6f69ca…
09-20 15:21:03	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	SELL	203	66¢	$134	0xf8b6de…
09-20 13:25:33	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	75	17¢	$13	0x96a0fa…
09-19 21:58:51	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xa80edb…
09-19 21:19:53	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x6ec3f9…
09-19 15:31:32	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3a267a…
09-19 15:31:15	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	66	73¢	$48	0xf8f1c8…
09-19 15:27:48	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x91b8f4…
09-19 08:39:48	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x29780a…
09-18 08:03:51	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x608fd5…
09-17 22:37:34	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	99	70¢	$70	0xb48494…
09-17 10:29:16	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x4cb0a4…
09-16 23:27:49	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x9a5738…
09-16 21:40:09	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	BUY	223	75¢	$167	0x829631…
09-16 21:39:22	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	SELL	261	62¢	$162	0x41c4a9…
09-16 20:24:19	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	BUY	195	78¢	$152	0x701331…
09-16 20:15:12	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	BUY	55	78¢	$43	0xeab7c6…
09-16 19:41:48	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xc2bb0d…
09-16 19:41:00	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0xf96a9b…
08-20 15:44:27	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x1c2974…
08-15 03:57:46	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x5ddd92…
08-14 10:04:21	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	Yes	BUY	41	90¢	$37	0x66eec6…
08-12 15:06:51	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	27	82¢	$22	0x6b80fc…
08-11 15:19:34	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xcc7b40…
08-11 15:18:34	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	No	SELL	54	27¢	$15	0xd1420a…
08-10 16:08:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:05 UTC	Down	SELL	19	60¢	$12	0xa21374…
08-10 16:07:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x977049…
08-10 16:07:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:05 UTC	Up	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0x02d55e…
08-10 16:05:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xcd9f97…
08-10 16:02:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xfd75d1…
08-10 15:59:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x23444b…
08-10 15:53:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:50 UTC	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x8b483f…
08-10 15:52:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x06986a…
08-10 15:52:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:50 UTC	Down	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x70da0c…
08-10 15:50:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x668427…
08-10 15:50:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:50 UTC	Up	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x5d0703…
08-10 15:50:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc50b89…
08-10 15:45:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x0ffb9e…
08-10 15:43:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1354ce…
08-10 15:41:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0xe5ea09…
08-10 15:40:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd154e1…
08-10 15:40:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc19359…
08-10 15:37:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	104	10¢	$10	0x4c3beb…
08-10 15:35:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x4163b2…
08-10 15:35:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xe418ac…
08-10 15:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	43	18¢	$8	0xfdab65…
08-10 15:33:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xc409af…
08-10 15:33:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xed3318…
08-10 15:33:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x3afda8…
08-10 15:32:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x415bba…
08-10 15:31:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x53bccc…
08-10 15:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6c4535…
08-10 15:26:55	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	79	2¢	$2	0xd99a1b…
08-10 15:26:52	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	77	4¢	$3	0xf062d3…
08-10 15:26:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	75	9¢	$7	0x2445c7…
08-07 20:24:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	32	86¢	$27	0x55a20e…
08-06 15:10:57	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	No	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xc990ae…
08-02 09:31:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	75	47¢	$35	0x591944…
08-02 09:31:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x70db00…
07-31 19:47:38	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x15f111…
07-31 17:07:54	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xf5ffd3…
07-31 17:07:45	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0xf43f0f…
07-31 14:21:23	will trump say venezuela during cabinet meeting 20260727172357451	Yes	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0x04f274…
07-31 14:16:24	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during cabinet meeting 20260727172357454	Yes	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0xf5bff0…
07-31 14:15:48	will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357438	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x37cf12…
07-31 14:15:38	will trump say job 20 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357437	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x19cf96…
07-31 14:15:26	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xee19bc…
07-30 22:28:11	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x618e38…
07-30 18:08:18	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x8ccf87…
07-29 18:42:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x96e858…
07-29 17:16:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x7f2e82…
07-26 21:36:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x5bd5e8…
07-26 15:44:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x7b40b7…
07-26 15:42:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xee99b9…