Disastrous-Path — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

377

Trades

866

lifetime

Volume

$47.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-31 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 181 days

Categories

Other

92% 96% +$106

Crypto

8% 97% +$13

Politics

0% 33% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 31?	2	$497	250	250	+0	No	+$2	05-31 22:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 31?	2	$493	248	248	+0	No	+$2	05-31 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 3?	3	$493	247	247	+0	No	+$1	06-03 13:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 30?	6	$481	243	243	+0	No	+$4	05-30 21:40
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 30?	4	$476	239	239	+0	No	+$1	05-30 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 28?	2	$464	233	233	+0	No	+$1	05-28 15:38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 27?	2	$452	227	227	+0	No	+$2	06-27 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on May 27?	5	$450	226	226	-0	No	+$1	05-27 10:47
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 28?	5	$437	221	221	+0	No	+$5	05-28 10:45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 15?	5	$432	217	217	+0	No	+$1	06-15 17:54
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on April 25?	2	$414	207	207	+0	No	+$0	04-26 09:43
bitcoin above 80k on april 22	2	$414	211	211	+0	No	-$5	04-22 04:43
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 1?	7	$399	209	209	+0	No	-$7	06-01 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 29?	3	$396	199	199	+0	No	+$2	05-30 06:51
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 29?	5	$389	196	196	+0	No	+$2	05-29 16:32
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 25?	2	$362	182	182	+0	No	+$1	06-25 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 7?	18	$348	208	208	+0	No	-$64	06-07 20:45
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C or higher on June 19?	15	$342	186	174	+12	No	-$14	06-19 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 7?	4	$299	151	151	+0	No	+$1	07-07 08:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 4?	4	$292	146	146	-0	No	+$1	07-04 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on July 2?	4	$289	145	145	+0	No	+$1	07-02 19:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 8?	5	$284	146	146	+0	No	+$7	06-08 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 30?	3	$280	141	141	+0	No	+$1	05-31 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 5?	6	$279	187	93	+93	No	+$0	06-05 09:47
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on July 8?	4	$279	140	140	+0	No	+$1	07-08 12:50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 28?	5	$265	133	133	+0	No	+$1	05-29 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?	13	$254	131	131	+0	No	-$3	06-26 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 20?	5	$252	127	127	+0	No	+$1	06-20 20:43
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C or higher on May 31?	1	$249	251	0	+251	No	+$2	05-31 22:10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 26?	2	$245	123	123	+0	No	+$1	05-27 05:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 22:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 1?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xe5c7fe…
10-31 11:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C or higher on October 31?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xe769ab…
10-30 08:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3a0c9e…
10-30 08:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8c03d3…
10-30 08:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x14059a…
10-28 14:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x6d5295…
10-28 13:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 28?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x7c3d8e…
10-27 09:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 28?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x6644bc…
10-27 09:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 27?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x352e58…
10-26 08:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0xa90d4e…
10-23 17:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3cb902…
10-23 17:21:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 24?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x3452f5…
10-22 07:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on October 23?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x781af7…
10-22 07:54:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on October 20?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x2046af…
10-19 12:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0x3502bb…
10-19 12:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 19?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xd4f6ef…
10-18 10:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 19?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xee5bd6…
10-18 10:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 19?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x42c504…
10-18 10:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 18?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1e3911…
10-18 10:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 18?	No	SELL	24	51¢	$12	0xa21c92…
10-18 10:41:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 18?	No	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0x3efa45…
10-18 10:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 18?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x8882ae…
10-18 10:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 18?	No	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xfa750f…
10-18 10:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 18?	No	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0x6fbe75…
10-17 08:31:56	highest temperature in warsaw on october 18 2026 10c	No	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0xede14c…
10-17 08:31:18	highest temperature in warsaw on october 18 2026 10c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x70cae6…
10-17 08:29:54	highest temperature in warsaw on october 18 2026 10c	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x2ed0d1…
10-17 08:24:45	highest temperature in shanghai on october 18 2026 28c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x534d3e…
10-17 08:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 17?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x1d9a23…
10-17 08:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 17?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x7c59a9…
10-16 14:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 17?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x9a27ba…
10-16 14:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 17?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe124d6…
10-16 14:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 17?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x898d2f…
10-16 14:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 16?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xdc8aa2…
10-15 13:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 16?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x32ad97…
10-15 13:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 16?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xbbd81b…
10-15 13:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 15?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x49d9a5…
10-14 07:41:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x64de6e…
10-14 07:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 14?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x803455…
10-13 07:53:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 14?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x054d4c…
10-13 07:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 13?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xc64ddd…
10-12 03:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 13?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4a7f76…
10-12 03:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 13?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x82e39c…
10-11 08:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on October 11?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xcfb7cb…
10-10 11:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on October 11?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xa583ae…
10-10 11:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on October 11?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2bd51d…
10-10 11:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 10?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x9a6207…
10-09 07:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 10?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9203f4…
10-09 07:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 10?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa1a953…
10-09 07:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc26203…
10-09 07:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 10?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xc4f2b8…
10-09 07:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ab3ae…
10-09 07:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbf5563…
10-08 08:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 8?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x86a049…
10-08 08:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 8?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc8abda…
10-08 08:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 8?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x5f50cf…
10-07 12:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 8?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x2a0731…
10-07 12:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 8?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5163ff…
10-07 12:44:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf2aec1…
10-07 12:42:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf4bdc2…
10-07 12:40:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on October 8?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x881c37…
10-07 12:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 7?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xb4ac97…
10-07 12:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 7?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xfd3e5c…
10-06 06:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 7?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0xf25317…
10-06 06:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 7?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe8d266…
10-06 06:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 7?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x3beb82…
10-06 06:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 6?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x43da98…
10-05 18:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 6?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x037a80…
10-03 07:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 3?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x178b38…
10-03 07:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 3?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0x997e50…
10-03 07:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 3?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x903df1…
10-03 06:45:23	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 3?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xbdc4ee…
10-03 06:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 3?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x4b5c45…
10-03 06:44:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 3?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xf61571…
10-02 09:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 3?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8ac8ce…
10-02 09:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 3?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x503b90…
10-02 09:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 2?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xbebb36…
10-01 06:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 2?	No	BUY	73	98¢	$72	0x38dbfe…
10-01 06:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 2?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xfa59b0…
09-29 21:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 30?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$89	0x0806bd…
09-29 06:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or below on September 29?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0xb9c8b0…
09-28 21:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or below on September 29?	No	BUY	89	96¢	$85	0xf58b22…
09-27 07:11:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 28?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$73	0x571b5f…
09-27 06:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 28?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf5e5e7…
09-27 06:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 27?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x308a3b…
09-26 11:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 27?	No	BUY	84	98¢	$83	0xfd2143…
09-26 11:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 26?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x93c796…
09-25 07:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 26?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xff9d4c…
09-25 07:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 26?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0xdcb0c6…
09-25 07:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on September 25?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$81	0x14292f…
09-24 13:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on September 25?	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x65ae84…
09-24 13:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 24?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xc6d11c…
09-23 03:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 24?	No	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0xc88f42…
09-23 03:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 23?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xc37270…
09-22 13:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 23?	No	BUY	79	99¢	$79	0x9cc692…
09-22 13:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or below on September 22?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xbcd73c…
09-22 13:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 22?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x5bda2c…
09-21 09:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 22?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x09941f…
09-21 09:12:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or below on September 22?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x29a203…
09-21 09:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or below on September 22?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ed9d7…