Likely-Receipt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$67

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$1.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$824

1 position

First seen

2026-04-06

last 07-04 09:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Politics

73% — —

Sports

27% 45% -$67

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		-846	-$827	97¢	$-824	+$3	05-11 07:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$827	0	846	-846	open	—	05-11 07:33
nba nyk atl 2026 04 06 total 227pt5	8	$33	68	0	+68	Under	-$33	04-06 14:53
nba mil bkn 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	1	$13	26	0	+26	Nets	+$13	04-07 05:51
nba tor cle 2026 04 18 total 217pt5	2	$12	26	0	+26	Over	-$12	04-17 05:16
nba hou lal 2026 04 18 total 206pt5	1	$12	24	0	+24	Under	+$12	04-16 06:20
nhl car nyi 2026 04 14 total 6pt5	2	$11	24	0	+24	Under	-$11	04-14 06:15
nhl car phi 2026 04 13 total 6pt5	2	$11	24	0	+24	Under	-$11	04-13 04:06
nhl phi pit 2026 04 18 total 6pt5	1	$7	15	0	+15	Under	-$7	04-18 05:30
nhl bos cbj 2026 04 12 total 6pt5	1	$7	15	0	+15	Under	-$7	04-12 04:49
nhl col cal 2026 04 14 total 6pt5	1	$7	13	0	+13	Under	+$6	04-15 00:28
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5	1	$4	9	0	+9	Over	-$4	04-29 07:39
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 210.5	1	$4	8	0	+8	Under	+$4	05-01 05:51
nhl car las 2026 06 09 total 6pt5	2	$4	8	0	+8	Over	-$4	06-08 09:04
nhl bos buf 2026 04 21 total 6pt5	1	$4	9	0	+9	Under	-$4	04-21 07:14
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5	2	$4	6	0	+6	Under	+$2	06-01 08:31
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5	1	$4	8	0	+8	Under	-$4	04-26 04:32
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5	1	$4	8	0	+8	Under	-$4	04-23 05:47
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	1	$4	6	0	+6	Spurs	+$2	05-20 06:45
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5	2	$4	5	0	+5	Over	+$1	05-14 06:42
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5	2	$4	8	0	+8	Under	-$4	04-28 06:48
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5	2	$4	7	0	+7	Over	+$3	05-04 06:47
nba phx okc 2026 04 22 total 214pt5	1	$4	8	0	+8	Over	-$4	04-22 01:04
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5	1	$4	5	0	+5	Over	+$1	05-25 08:24
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 212pt5	1	$4	6	0	+6	Under	-$4	06-04 05:53
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	1	$4	7	0	+7	Over	+$3	05-05 04:48
nhl mon tb 2026 04 21 total 5pt5	1	$4	8	0	+8	Under	+$4	04-20 06:45
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5	1	$4	6	0	+6	Over	+$2	05-30 06:33
nhl ott car 2026 04 20 total 5pt5	1	$4	7	0	+7	Under	-$4	04-19 05:41
nhl edm lak 2026 04 11 total 6pt5	1	$4	7	0	+7	Under	-$4	04-11 08:34
mlb stl min 2026 06 13 total 8pt5	1	$3	7	0	+7	Over	-$3	06-13 04:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 09:29:23	mlb tor sea 2026 07 04 spread home 1pt5	Seattle Mariners	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe44a69…
07-04 09:29:23	mlb tor sea 2026 07 04 spread home 1pt5	Seattle Mariners	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x65cd3a…
07-02 01:56:58	mlb mia col 2026 07 02 total 12pt5	Over	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x20a578…
07-01 08:37:13	mlb pit phi 2026 07 01 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xf4f844…
06-30 07:01:44	mlb pit phi 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4fc033…
06-29 08:31:59	mlb sd chc 2026 06 29 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x851db4…
06-28 06:45:50	mlb phi nym 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x44f77e…
06-27 06:54:19	mlb hou det 2026 06 27 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8f886d…
06-26 06:06:07	mlb tex tor 2026 06 26 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xfc5869…
06-25 08:20:13	mlb oak sf 2026 06 25 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xd32c3a…
06-24 07:37:25	mlb tex mia 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Texas Rangers	BUY	1	41¢	$1	0xf48433…
06-24 07:37:23	mlb tex mia 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Texas Rangers	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x256d55…
06-23 09:23:20	mlb hou tor 2026 06 23 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7840f0…
06-22 07:27:46	mlb nyy det 2026 06 22 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xce67b4…
06-22 07:27:44	mlb nyy det 2026 06 22 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x86fdfc…
06-21 08:11:08	mlb sf mia 2026 06 21 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x513dae…
06-20 07:21:02	mlb cws det 2026 06 20 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xe585e9…
06-19 07:40:53	mlb tor chc 2026 06 19 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa655e2…
06-19 07:40:53	mlb tor chc 2026 06 19 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x00f34b…
06-18 07:02:58	mlb tor bos 2026 06 18 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x224ea5…
06-16 06:31:03	mlb mia phi 2026 06 16 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xc8634a…
06-15 03:03:19	mlb mia phi 2026 06 15 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xbc59b1…
06-14 05:42:01	Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xa3f6e1…
06-13 04:27:55	mlb stl min 2026 06 13 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x4ca2db…
06-12 06:20:03	mlb sea wsh 2026 06 12 spread away 1pt5	Seattle Mariners	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xbf8571…
06-12 06:20:03	mlb sea wsh 2026 06 12 spread away 1pt5	Seattle Mariners	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x509298…
06-12 06:20:03	mlb sea wsh 2026 06 12 spread away 1pt5	Seattle Mariners	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x46e56e…
06-11 06:46:03	mlb ari mia 2026 06 11 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6d17bf…
06-10 07:36:07	nhl las car 2026 06 11 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2bf81f…
06-10 07:36:06	nhl las car 2026 06 11 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xe66a85…
06-09 04:49:43	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 219pt5	Over	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc8f894…
06-09 04:49:43	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 219pt5	Over	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x078708…
06-08 09:04:40	nhl car las 2026 06 09 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xeac3cb…
06-08 09:04:30	nhl car las 2026 06 09 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb035c8…
06-07 08:24:00	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 213pt5	Over	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xf0fea4…
06-06 07:17:06	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 3pt5	Knicks	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x453f1f…
06-04 05:53:52	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 212pt5	Over	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x90cee8…
06-03 06:39:25	Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5	Over	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xcc08e1…
06-03 06:39:25	Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5	Over	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x5ded9a…
06-02 09:16:58	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xa1c0ed…
06-01 08:31:41	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb13888…
06-01 08:31:41	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x2d2950…
05-31 08:24:00	Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb28401…
05-31 08:23:58	Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xb051fb…
05-30 06:33:33	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xfd33d6…
05-29 08:16:26	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5	Under	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc1f7a6…
05-28 07:34:43	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf93cbe…
05-27 03:59:48	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x56049d…
05-26 06:23:09	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8f9837…
05-25 08:24:28	Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x6f99e6…
05-24 05:40:27	Spread: Spurs (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x209bd4…
05-23 09:15:21	Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4da415…
05-22 07:31:41	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x13988a…
05-20 06:45:53	Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	Spurs	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x9f8b4a…
05-20 06:39:58	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5	Over	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xb55b61…
05-18 05:32:04	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0b8075…
05-15 05:32:41	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Sabres	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x97089f…
05-15 05:32:37	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Sabres	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x553751…
05-14 06:42:50	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x4e90af…
05-14 06:42:50	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x42dc8d…
05-13 07:12:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x6ec490…
05-12 07:35:46	Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x17f692…
05-11 07:41:13	Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xfcddb7…
05-11 07:33:29	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	846	98¢	$827	0x0fa744…
05-09 00:26:06	Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x4b17fb…
05-08 07:04:08	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Knicks	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0e9f52…
05-08 07:04:06	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Knicks	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x7632ce…
05-06 07:05:54	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xefdf43…
05-05 04:48:42	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x26e941…
05-04 06:47:40	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5	Over	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x276d81…
05-04 06:47:38	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5	Over	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x0fe565…
05-03 00:50:42	Spread: Spurs (-14.5)	Spurs	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xccd200…
05-02 07:30:04	76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5	Over	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x0e72c0…
05-01 05:51:36	Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 210.5	Under	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xaa0ce3…
04-29 07:39:42	Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5	Under	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xf6196e…
04-28 06:48:32	76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x8f66fa…
04-28 06:48:32	76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x223c00…
04-26 04:32:40	Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5	Over	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x84a887…
04-24 04:40:42	Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5	Under	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x8912e2…
04-23 05:47:32	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x977474…
04-22 01:04:10	nba phx okc 2026 04 22 total 214pt5	Under	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x539a1e…
04-21 07:14:36	nhl bos buf 2026 04 21 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x5014f7…
04-20 06:45:34	nhl mon tb 2026 04 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x83995f…
04-19 05:41:16	nhl ott car 2026 04 20 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x657b75…
04-18 05:30:56	nhl phi pit 2026 04 18 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x4d3b44…
04-17 05:16:14	nba tor cle 2026 04 18 total 217pt5	Under	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xe02976…
04-17 05:16:14	nba tor cle 2026 04 18 total 217pt5	Under	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x1e979f…
04-16 06:20:54	nba hou lal 2026 04 18 total 206pt5	Under	BUY	24	48¢	$12	0x75abae…
04-15 00:28:44	nhl col cal 2026 04 14 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xdc292b…
04-14 06:15:25	nhl car nyi 2026 04 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0xde0fb3…
04-14 06:15:25	nhl car nyi 2026 04 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb13449…
04-13 04:06:07	nhl car phi 2026 04 13 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0xfba552…
04-13 04:06:07	nhl car phi 2026 04 13 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd3fd2c…
04-12 04:49:23	nhl bos cbj 2026 04 12 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xb42273…
04-11 08:34:07	nhl edm lak 2026 04 11 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x3ad257…
04-07 05:51:33	nba mil bkn 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	Nets	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xa895bf…
04-06 14:53:13	nba nyk atl 2026 04 06 total 227pt5	Over	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb5244d…
04-06 14:51:53	nba nyk atl 2026 04 06 total 227pt5	Over	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x66c296…
04-06 14:51:49	nba nyk atl 2026 04 06 total 227pt5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa8e323…
04-06 14:51:49	nba nyk atl 2026 04 06 total 227pt5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1af82e…