Incomplete-Umbrella — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.09K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

1,291

Trades

3,523

lifetime

Volume

$22.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-13 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 40% -$872

Other

2% 10% -$227

Sports

0% 67% +$9

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	9	$235	262	210	+52	Up	+$26	05-04 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	12	$186	164	164	+0	Up	+$6	05-01 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	7	$163	633	133	+500	Up	+$3	05-01 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	6	$162	236	137	+99	Up	+$12	05-22 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	9	$161	211	185	+27	Up	-$9	05-04 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	5	$147	179	125	+54	Down	-$3	05-01 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$145	179	166	+13	Down	+$35	05-22 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	8	$141	122	122	+0	Down	+$21	05-04 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 14:10 UTC	9	$141	228	184	+44	Down	-$7	04-21 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	6	$138	190	130	+60	Up	-$12	05-04 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	5	$135	147	107	+40	Down	-$15	05-04 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$134	238	145	+93	Up	-$13	05-22 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	7	$127	703	203	+500	Up	+$7	05-01 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	6	$126	116	116	+0	Up	+$16	05-22 13:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:25 UTC	4	$120	218	218	+0	Up	+$20	08-31 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	5	$114	130	75	+56	Up	+$4	05-04 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$112	77	77	+0	Up	+$12	05-02 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	5	$112	88	88	+0	Up	+$12	05-04 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	8	$109	171	171	+0	Down	+$19	05-22 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	6	$101	97	97	+0	Down	+$31	05-04 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	8	$97	94	94	+0	Down	+$17	05-24 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 14:05 UTC	8	$96	106	94	+13	Up	+$12	04-21 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$95	237	156	+81	Down	-$5	05-22 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$95	209	100	+109	Down	-$5	08-13 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$90	148	52	+96	Up	-$10	05-14 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$89	68	68	+0	Down	+$39	05-22 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$87	152	74	+78	Down	-$13	05-25 20:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 08:30 UTC	3	$87	114	64	+50	Down	-$13	08-26 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$85	187	74	+114	Down	-$15	05-19 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$83	81	81	+0	Up	+$33	05-19 08:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 12:15:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x6565d2…
10-13 12:12:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x355fba…
10-13 12:12:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xc5b810…
10-13 12:11:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xba369a…
10-13 12:10:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x6c5ca9…
10-13 12:10:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x40d360…
10-13 12:05:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x780983…
10-13 12:03:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x0693ad…
10-11 19:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xaf0b14…
10-11 18:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0408ec…
10-11 18:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xf13704…
10-11 18:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x288e9b…
10-11 18:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8d7907…
10-11 11:00:27	Exact Score: 1. FC Köln 3 - 3 Borussia Mönchengladbach?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0x5be37e…
10-11 10:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x996c95…
10-11 10:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xf0f636…
10-11 10:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd734f5…
10-11 10:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x4f35c1…
10-11 10:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc7d518…
10-11 09:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x15dd23…
10-10 19:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x152780…
10-10 19:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x5d1d11…
10-10 19:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xfefcfe…
10-10 19:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0x026765…
10-10 19:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x64ae6f…
10-10 19:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc8e54d…
10-10 19:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	80¢	$14	0xf9551d…
10-10 19:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x27a777…
10-10 19:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb8285e…
10-10 17:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0xf5106c…
10-10 17:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x374775…
10-10 17:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb07741…
10-10 17:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5d4e60…
10-10 17:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x0c781a…
10-10 17:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x97c2f2…
10-10 17:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0x1eec20…
10-10 17:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xb43785…
10-10 17:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x1fcdd2…
10-10 16:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xc86283…
10-10 16:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x05f6b8…
10-10 16:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2930e8…
09-04 12:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x986cad…
09-04 12:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x6793a2…
09-04 12:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x22cce9…
09-04 12:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0x3aecd0…
09-04 12:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x8b4fee…
09-04 12:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x018485…
09-04 12:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xbe0c01…
09-04 12:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	23	47¢	$11	0x4c2d86…
09-04 12:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x3ec3be…
09-04 12:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x9d983f…
09-04 12:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x755903…
09-04 11:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdbdcb8…
09-04 11:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xc6c4d2…
09-04 11:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xcaef23…
09-04 11:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x17db58…
09-04 11:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xf925a8…
09-04 11:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xf67866…
09-04 11:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0ca763…
09-04 11:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x023231…
09-04 11:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7a2705…
09-04 11:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0x957a7e…
09-04 11:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x60940d…
09-04 07:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8b85ad…
09-04 07:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0xbe2a2b…
09-04 07:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x774d43…
09-04 07:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xece049…
09-04 07:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x419456…
09-04 07:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xdcf662…
09-04 07:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x828b25…
09-04 07:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x382069…
09-04 07:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x36d16d…
09-04 07:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0xae6548…
09-04 07:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf4fe9e…
09-04 07:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd5e623…
09-04 07:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0xcb8b7d…
09-04 07:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5b42eb…
09-02 00:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xff9c65…
09-02 00:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	14	32¢	$5	0x8cb216…
09-02 00:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x7eff94…
09-01 23:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xe1bdfb…
09-01 22:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	97	7¢	$7	0x431fc3…
09-01 22:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	97	5¢	$5	0x0a4b6f…
09-01 22:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x438325…
09-01 22:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x1c8668…
09-01 22:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x4c0d89…
09-01 22:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb904e4…
09-01 22:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0xe19dbe…
09-01 22:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2e935e…
09-01 21:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0xa6fa8e…
09-01 21:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x400fc7…
09-01 21:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x339af0…
09-01 21:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x98974f…
09-01 21:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x51e122…
09-01 20:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2b5f88…
09-01 20:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x4545bd…
09-01 20:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	89	49¢	$44	0xaebd02…
09-01 20:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xa0cb67…
08-31 20:25:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4b6dda…
08-31 20:22:24	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x63daca…