Astonishing-Muscatel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.3%

Resolved

Trades

3,217

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 05-28 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 78% $-4

Sports

1% 0% $-13

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 436 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774026300	4	$394	216	216	+1	open	—	03-20 17:10
btc updown 5m 1774026900	4	$250	245	241	+4	open	—	03-20 17:19
btc updown 5m 1774024500	3	$240	132	131	+1	open	—	03-20 16:39
btc updown 5m 1774024800	2	$235	138	137	+1	open	—	03-20 16:45
btc updown 5m 1774023000	2	$231	122	122	+0	open	—	03-20 16:15
btc updown 5m 1774026000	2	$221	123	122	+1	open	—	03-20 17:05
btc updown 5m 1774011300	2	$219	121	121	+1	open	—	03-20 13:00
btc updown 5m 1774028100	3	$219	236	72	+164	open	—	03-20 17:38
btc updown 5m 1774025700	3	$219	120	119	+0	open	—	03-20 16:58
btc updown 5m 1774005300	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	03-20 11:20
btc updown 5m 1774027800	2	$194	156	154	+2	open	—	03-20 17:33
will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	17	$191	533	533	+0	open	—	03-21 23:40
btc updown 5m 1773931200	6	$160	117	116	+1	open	—	03-19 14:44
btc updown 5m 1775974500	2	$132	78	77	+1	open	—	04-12 06:19
btc updown 5m 1775963700	2	$117	59	59	+0	open	—	04-12 03:20
btc updown 5m 1775972400	2	$110	62	61	+1	open	—	04-12 05:45
btc updown 5m 1774026600	2	$108	270	266	+4	open	—	03-20 17:14
btc updown 5m 1774014600	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	03-20 13:52
btc updown 5m 1774027200	2	$88	56	56	+1	open	—	03-20 17:23
btc updown 5m 1773977700	2	$84	43	43	+0	open	—	03-20 03:39
btc updown 5m 1774021200	5	$76	86	45	+41	open	—	03-20 15:44
btc updown 5m 1773893700	2	$74	49	48	+1	open	—	03-19 04:17
btc updown 5m 1773891300	2	$74	44	44	+1	open	—	03-19 03:40
btc updown 5m 1773933000	4	$70	81	80	+1	open	—	03-19 15:14
btc updown 5m 1774310400	4	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	03-24 00:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$65	819	819	+0	open	—	04-08 00:06
btc updown 5m 1773936600	3	$64	45	44	+1	open	—	03-19 16:15
btc updown 5m 1775975100	1	$62	345	0	+345	open	—	04-12 06:30
btc updown 5m 1774107900	4	$61	36	36	+0	open	—	03-21 15:49
btc updown 5m 1773888900	2	$61	37	36	+0	open	—	03-19 03:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 22:00:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	49	5¢	$3	0xb82003…
05-28 17:10:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	49	13¢	$7	0x592670…
05-28 17:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd296ac…
05-28 17:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x15e08a…
05-28 17:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6010ca…
05-28 17:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x3c591b…
05-28 17:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x6d286e…
05-28 16:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x39bb5a…
05-28 16:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x05a1eb…
05-28 02:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1a37df…
05-28 02:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6f54ad…
05-28 02:21:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc8c0ea…
05-27 23:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x35e953…
05-27 23:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4f7cc7…
05-27 22:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x851280…
05-27 22:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3e347b…
05-27 16:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa53bd6…
05-27 16:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x77470d…
05-27 15:14:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x6bb914…
05-26 21:58:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xd717cf…
05-26 21:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2b4310…
05-26 21:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbe4f78…
05-26 17:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x49ad02…
05-26 17:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa05beb…
05-26 17:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0e2e0d…
05-26 16:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0e1650…
05-26 16:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x137d44…
05-26 16:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xed8219…
05-26 15:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x0d5fc3…
05-26 15:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x2d20b7…
05-26 15:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbbbe0c…
05-26 15:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xef5ec4…
05-26 14:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2a0343…
05-26 14:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x933e7c…
05-26 14:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x430cfe…
05-26 14:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x90f8c8…
05-26 14:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x47c401…
05-26 14:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x34bdb4…
05-26 14:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8dea4e…
05-26 14:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x05cc89…
05-26 13:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x27580c…
05-26 13:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6ca323…
05-26 13:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf4ea64…
05-26 13:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x117259…
05-26 13:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xb42261…
05-26 13:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8bc7b7…
05-26 13:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd82a66…
05-26 13:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x5a5827…
05-26 13:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb090c5…
05-26 13:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc63492…
05-26 13:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4a61f7…
05-26 13:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6a0300…
05-26 13:16:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xb46b86…
05-26 00:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6db26c…
05-25 21:30:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x85aefe…
05-25 20:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xa55a5f…
05-25 20:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x9238bb…
05-25 20:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7c2744…
05-25 20:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8328cd…
05-25 20:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x9dd742…
05-25 20:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x35099b…
05-25 20:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa010c9…
05-25 20:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe760af…
05-25 17:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x0ff633…
05-25 16:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf8413b…
05-25 16:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x5992b7…
05-25 16:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfb6824…
05-25 15:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x427ffa…
05-25 15:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1d994f…
05-25 15:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x738672…
05-25 15:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x7f6c6f…
05-25 15:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x64ce8d…
05-25 15:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x08f5c4…
05-25 15:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x005d0b…
05-25 15:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x34a342…
05-25 15:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe5aa4d…
05-25 15:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3f7ea7…
05-25 14:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa9ca35…
05-25 14:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x89fa27…
05-25 14:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x39cf59…
05-25 14:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x42cf5d…
05-25 14:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7b8551…
05-25 14:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x972133…
05-25 14:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc5c9b3…
05-25 14:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0a3fe4…
05-25 13:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe985b2…
05-25 13:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe0a07b…
05-25 13:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8e76c8…
05-25 13:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x6db2d5…
05-25 13:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xedd15d…
05-25 13:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2050ce…
05-25 13:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xd214fa…
05-25 13:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfc9498…
05-25 13:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xc9384d…
05-25 13:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x41fa8e…
05-25 12:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8d8060…
05-25 12:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc0887a…
05-25 03:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6490e8…
05-25 03:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5fa5be…
05-25 03:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6a756f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	947	$499.8K	41,053	05-28 17:07
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	906	$1.98K	4,609	05-28 17:08
Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca	906	$1.21K	3,459	05-26 15:33
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	880	$46.6K	8,267	05-18 10:18
(anonymous) 0x5770…0a3b	879	$1.26K	2,690	05-28 17:08
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	865	$34.4K	6,624	05-28 17:05
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	862	$128.9K	16,196	05-28 17:08
(anonymous) 0xcfbc…8602	817	$1.75K	2,876	05-28 17:08