Careful-Cofactor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

Trades

592

lifetime

Volume

$5.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-10 22:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% +$20

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776486600	8	$433	227	225	+1	open	—	04-18 04:35
btc updown 5m 1776486000	8	$253	152	149	+3	open	—	04-18 04:25
btc updown 5m 1776486300	4	$159	100	97	+3	open	—	04-18 04:30
btc updown 5m 1776485400	8	$158	90	89	+1	open	—	04-18 04:15
btc updown 5m 1776485700	5	$149	88	87	+2	open	—	04-18 04:20
btc updown 5m 1776485100	5	$134	99	95	+4	open	—	04-18 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$91	65	65	+0	open	—	05-14 18:20
btc updown 5m 1776350400	3	$88	60	58	+2	open	—	04-16 14:45
btc updown 5m 1776321000	2	$85	61	59	+3	open	—	04-16 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$76	51	51	+0	open	—	05-18 07:35
btc updown 5m 1776351900	2	$71	52	50	+2	open	—	04-16 15:10
btc updown 5m 1776349800	3	$55	37	35	+1	open	—	04-16 14:35
btc updown 5m 1776351000	3	$55	101	0	+101	open	—	04-16 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$55	39	39	+0	Up	+$23	05-12 14:20
btc updown 5m 1776347100	2	$54	30	29	+0	open	—	04-16 13:50
btc updown 5m 1776484800	6	$53	41	29	+13	open	—	04-18 04:05
btc updown 5m 1776351300	2	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	04-16 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	5	$52	36	36	+0	Up	+$20	05-12 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$50	45	45	+0	open	—	05-25 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$48	0	49	-49	open	—	06-02 03:35
btc updown 5m 1776670800	5	$46	38	18	+19	open	—	04-20 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$46	35	35	+0	open	—	06-02 03:25
btc updown 5m 1776484500	3	$45	37	35	+2	open	—	04-18 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$44	29	29	+0	Up	+$12	05-12 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	06-02 04:00
btc updown 5m 1776500400	3	$42	24	24	+0	open	—	04-18 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	8	$42	31	19	+11	open	—	05-14 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$42	64	0	+64	open	—	05-04 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$42	126	26	+100	Down	+$10	05-12 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	6	$42	32	32	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 22:20:58	btc updown 5m 1781130000	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x3ea8c4…
06-10 21:05:04	btc updown 5m 1781125500	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x01f426…
06-10 21:04:16	btc updown 5m 1781125200	Up	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0x6a33d9…
06-10 20:56:07	btc updown 5m 1781124900	Down	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x41e331…
06-10 20:51:01	btc updown 5m 1781124600	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7ff6fd…
06-10 20:46:07	btc updown 5m 1781124300	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x83b53b…
06-10 20:45:21	btc updown 5m 1781124000	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xbbc81a…
06-10 20:44:18	btc updown 5m 1781124000	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xcb3439…
06-10 20:38:45	btc updown 5m 1781123700	Up	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x6a82a7…
06-10 20:37:48	btc updown 5m 1781123700	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb2767a…
06-02 04:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7a72a6…
06-02 04:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x77761f…
06-02 04:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x0fbe51…
06-02 03:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	81¢	$19	0xccf658…
06-02 03:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x11d40d…
06-02 03:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0xe081db…
06-02 03:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0x8f9d6a…
06-02 03:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xec6ec1…
06-02 03:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x59beb2…
06-02 03:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	49	99¢	$48	0x08686d…
06-02 03:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0xe913b0…
06-02 03:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x554742…
06-02 03:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x7a657a…
06-02 03:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0xaf8832…
06-02 03:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0x900e7e…
06-02 03:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xb609ef…
06-02 03:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0xc61906…
06-02 03:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x5201f7…
06-02 03:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4dbfe3…
06-02 03:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x30d84d…
06-02 03:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x7a97ec…
06-02 03:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x53d6fb…
06-02 03:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xad6db9…
06-02 03:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf02aac…
06-02 02:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0x34b1e8…
06-02 02:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5448a7…
06-02 02:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x199abd…
06-02 02:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x814ec4…
06-02 02:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x20ecb1…
05-25 13:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x83f77b…
05-25 13:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4bb80b…
05-25 13:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x332f06…
05-25 13:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0x990266…
05-25 13:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x667e50…
05-25 13:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf24ae0…
05-25 13:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2a351e…
05-25 13:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xd13c6b…
05-25 13:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x80ff5b…
05-25 13:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x58c955…
05-25 13:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x51f5b5…
05-25 13:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8a05d7…
05-25 13:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x4a4ca4…
05-25 13:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6b9b96…
05-25 13:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x64654f…
05-25 13:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x210af0…
05-25 13:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd0a605…
05-25 13:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8850d6…
05-25 13:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xd4bb19…
05-25 13:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb9af15…
05-25 13:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb6fea1…
05-25 13:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x6a45e2…
05-25 13:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x00edd4…
05-25 13:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x272023…
05-25 13:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x352ee9…
05-25 12:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0x1384b9…
05-25 12:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0xef1370…
05-25 12:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xb35416…
05-25 12:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9b4b82…
05-18 15:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x68e182…
05-18 15:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x622abb…
05-18 07:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb07959…
05-18 07:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x461c26…
05-18 07:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x814efa…
05-18 07:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	51	48¢	$25	0xd68108…
05-14 18:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	65	99¢	$65	0x8506b2…
05-14 18:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0x57e7bc…
05-14 18:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x82e731…
05-14 18:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xcabd40…
05-14 18:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x31ac82…
05-14 18:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4e0c56…
05-14 18:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x1bcacc…
05-14 18:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa5af1d…
05-14 18:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0d0a70…
05-14 18:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf526ed…
05-14 18:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x566089…
05-14 18:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x954b87…
05-14 18:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6c6253…
05-14 18:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x04f19f…
05-14 18:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x673911…
05-14 17:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6009c4…
05-14 17:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe932c4…
05-14 17:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9f94da…
05-14 17:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x871f96…
05-14 17:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4d3d2e…
05-14 17:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x49640b…
05-14 17:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd868bf…
05-14 17:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xb56d0f…
05-14 17:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd57eac…
05-14 17:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x70f23e…
05-14 17:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd48259…