Experienced-Series — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

Trades

258

lifetime

Volume

$7.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-30 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% 50% +$0

Politics

30% 100% +$4

Sports

6% — —

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	5	$933	500	500	+0	open	—	05-23 11:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	2	$786	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	05-23 15:13
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	9	$393	201	201	+0	open	—	05-21 15:17
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$391	201	201	+0	open	—	05-31 11:50
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	1	$229	290	0	+290	open	—	05-23 22:10
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 8?	2	$202	101	101	+0	No	+$0	05-08 18:49
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?	3	$169	100	79	+21	open	—	05-23 02:54
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	3	$150	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 00:07
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 15?	1	$142	150	0	+150	open	—	05-15 08:29
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15?	1	$138	150	0	+150	open	—	05-15 08:02
will oracle q4 remaining performance obligations be above 500b	10	$133	105	125	-20	open	—	06-10 15:55
will trump meet with keir starmer in july 2026 20260626153701910	4	$121	237	0	+237	open	—	06-27 11:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	2	$119	60	60	+0	No	+$1	05-08 04:01
will trump meet with elon musk in july 2026 20260626153701913	4	$109	211	0	+211	open	—	06-27 12:23
will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt0b	5	$106	60	60	+0	open	—	06-30 19:58
will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	4	$105	75	75	+0	open	—	06-27 20:33
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by June 30?	5	$101	75	75	+0	open	—	06-02 22:25
will trump meet with luiz inacio lula da silva in july 2026 20260626153701911	4	$87	134	83	+51	open	—	06-27 12:32
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	4	$76	50	50	+0	No	+$2	05-06 09:27
will gpt bidi 1 be released by july 31 2026	2	$75	74	35	+39	open	—	06-23 20:00
will the invite score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$71	43	43	+0	open	—	06-24 18:12
Will BNB reach $900 in June?	2	$71	50	50	+0	open	—	06-02 11:08
santiago arias 20260609175657506	2	$65	65	65	+0	open	—	06-12 12:58
will trump post iran on truth social this week 20260626215234527	2	$64	42	42	+0	open	—	06-29 10:47
Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above $27.5B?	2	$63	3,100	0	+3,100	open	—	05-21 20:54
will warsh say rate or cut during june press conference 20260608181156651	3	$59	33	33	+0	open	—	06-17 18:32
will trump post crime on truth social this week 20260605144225500	2	$58	40	40	+0	open	—	06-10 17:43
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-08 19:52
will simona waltert advance to the semifinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193807014	2	$55	38	38	+0	open	—	06-30 05:34
Will Anne Hathaway attend UFC Freedom 250?	2	$55	35	35	+0	open	—	06-03 03:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:58:13	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt0b	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xe5b4eb…
06-30 19:34:20	will maria sakkari advance to the fourth round round of 16 in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629185141972	Yes	BUY	70	16¢	$11	0xee08a1…
06-30 19:33:47	will jasmine paolini advance to the fourth round round of 16 in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629185141966	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x2a8b85…
06-30 19:10:41	will cxmt ipo by august 31 2026 20260629164309099	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xa5ae28…
06-30 13:47:04	will nike q4 nike branded footwear revenue be above 7pt6b	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0x849203…
06-30 05:34:46	will simona waltert advance to the semifinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193807014	No	SELL	38	94¢	$36	0x1d6abe…
06-29 23:32:28	will simona waltert advance to the semifinals in ladies singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629193807014	No	BUY	38	51¢	$20	0x9f0574…
06-29 10:47:19	will trump post iran on truth social this week 20260626215234527	Yes	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0xda2631…
06-28 17:14:22	will trump post iran on truth social this week 20260626215234527	Yes	BUY	42	54¢	$23	0xa3267e…
06-27 20:33:58	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	Yes	SELL	71	85¢	$60	0x09801a…
06-27 14:28:47	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x0e4871…
06-27 12:32:59	will trump meet with luiz inacio lula da silva in july 2026 20260626153701911	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x045d51…
06-27 12:31:28	will trump meet with luiz inacio lula da silva in july 2026 20260626153701911	No	SELL	28	94¢	$27	0x679be3…
06-27 12:23:46	will trump meet with elon musk in july 2026 20260626153701913	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xe9a702…
06-27 12:06:49	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5f0fbc…
06-27 12:06:10	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	Yes	BUY	70	52¢	$36	0xa45d3b…
06-27 11:13:23	will trump meet with luiz inacio lula da silva in july 2026 20260626153701911	No	SELL	35	64¢	$22	0xde3498…
06-27 11:10:26	will trump meet with elon musk in july 2026 20260626153701913	Yes	BUY	110	51¢	$56	0x992a1f…
06-27 11:07:55	will trump meet with keir starmer in july 2026 20260626153701910	No	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0x762cb9…
06-27 11:07:07	will trump meet with keir starmer in july 2026 20260626153701910	No	BUY	96	25¢	$24	0xb1e9c1…
06-27 11:06:31	will trump meet with elon musk in july 2026 20260626153701913	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x304914…
06-27 11:05:08	will trump meet with elon musk in july 2026 20260626153701913	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x3edb95…
06-27 01:03:49	will trump meet with joseph aoun in july 2026 20260626153701915	No	BUY	70	58¢	$40	0x9f4519…
06-27 01:00:44	will trump meet with luiz inacio lula da silva in july 2026 20260626153701911	No	BUY	134	15¢	$20	0x17ab8b…
06-27 00:59:20	will trump meet with keir starmer in july 2026 20260626153701910	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x12d537…
06-27 00:58:02	will trump meet with keir starmer in july 2026 20260626153701910	No	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x64c283…
06-26 20:30:37	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt0b	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x1150e3…
06-26 06:02:26	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt3b	Yes	SELL	25	95¢	$23	0x20b3e4…
06-26 03:05:02	will anyone say chat during love island e20 20260624152237858	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x673672…
06-25 11:03:19	will anyone say chat during love island e20 20260624152237858	Yes	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x78e361…
06-25 10:56:32	will darden restaurants say revenue 10 times during earnings call 20260624141322353	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x356a5d…
06-25 01:13:16	will trump say birthday during june 24 rally 20260616194255607	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x70f171…
06-24 18:12:08	will the invite score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xeb9273…
06-23 20:01:50	will nike q4 nike branded footwear revenue be above 7pt6b	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x490c5f…
06-23 20:01:23	will nike q4 nike branded footwear revenue be above 7pt6b	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x58d8a4…
06-23 20:01:17	will nike q4 nike branded footwear revenue be above 7pt6b	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb2ec1e…
06-23 20:00:10	will gpt bidi 1 be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0xfde915…
06-23 05:25:35	will oman send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x3c580e…
06-23 04:46:49	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt3b	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x586fb1…
06-22 11:13:41	will gpt bidi 1 be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	74	58¢	$43	0xb6998d…
06-21 16:58:37	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 35 by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x35f102…
06-20 08:44:02	will south korea send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xef4ddc…
06-19 21:18:13	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	52	71¢	$37	0x6cb936…
06-19 17:40:17	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 70 by june 30	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x28e9ac…
06-19 09:48:07	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt2b	Yes	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xcc8524…
06-19 08:40:50	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 70 by june 30	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x29c7a8…
06-18 05:39:28	will beyonce have a 1 hit in june	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x5ff5d4…
06-17 20:14:16	will south korea send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x6cff78…
06-17 19:14:29	will warsh say i dont know during june press conference 20260608181156663 466 644	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x6e2109…
06-17 18:32:28	will warsh say rate or cut during june press conference 20260608181156651	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x9f0a24…
06-17 11:23:02	will bomb be said 100 times during the iem cologne 2026 grand finals 20260614191816909	Yes	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x292a22…
06-17 11:09:43	will trump say arch or ballroom during june 24 rally 20260616194255624	No	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x3ebca4…
06-17 11:07:58	will trump say birthday during june 24 rally 20260616194255607	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xe32e6b…
06-17 11:06:25	will trump say maga during june 24 rally 20260616194255613	Yes	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x3bdffe…
06-16 23:14:11	nicolas otamendi 20260609174518102	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc06d89…
06-16 23:03:38	nicolas otamendi 20260609174518102	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xc365fe…
06-16 17:28:34	will the death of robin hood score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x0f53b8…
06-15 00:01:04	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt6b	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xa21a16…
06-14 05:34:07	will george strait attend any game at the 2026 nba finals 20260601230730835	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xec2be3…
06-14 01:40:42	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt0b	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xcd93a6…
06-12 13:35:10	shogo taniguchi 20260609171501492	No	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x46a86e…
06-12 13:29:22	will malik tillman be in the starting 11 for the usas first 2026 fifa world cup group stage match 20260611180532030	No	BUY	44	12¢	$5	0x7da393…
06-12 13:21:57	nathan ake 20260609173030756	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x1e8a4c…
06-12 13:17:57	william saliba 20260609174813082	No	BUY	110	3¢	$3	0x9e21bb…
06-12 13:12:09	timothy castagne 20260609173850414	No	BUY	60	14¢	$8	0x3713e8…
06-12 13:11:54	thomas meunier 20260609173850408	No	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x220414…
06-12 12:58:33	santiago arias 20260609175657506	No	SELL	65	89¢	$58	0xa4cbd7…
06-12 10:49:28	thiago almada 20260609174518099	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xfb1a5e…
06-12 10:47:57	nicolas otamendi 20260609174518102	No	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0x2f353a…
06-12 09:41:51	santiago arias 20260609175657506	No	BUY	65	10¢	$7	0xadfaf3…
06-11 20:46:12	will lennar q2 deliveries be above 17500	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x8f1c49…
06-11 20:45:43	will lennar q2 deliveries be above 17500	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbcc8d4…
06-11 20:45:36	will lennar q2 deliveries be above 17500	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x44d684…
06-11 20:45:04	will lennar q2 deliveries be above 17500	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb0b864…
06-11 20:06:46	will rh q1 revenue be above 750m	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb442f0…
06-11 17:28:52	will trump post israel on truth social this week 20260605144225505	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x56ef35…
06-11 01:46:34	will carmelo anthony attend any game at the 2026 nba finals 20260601230730825	Yes	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x4a09a6…
06-11 00:09:46	will larry david attend game 4 of the 2026 nba finals 20260610162512194	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x30e591…
06-10 21:09:42	will timothee chalamet attend game 4 of the 2026 nba finals 20260610162512183	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2baacc…
06-10 21:07:46	will larry david attend game 4 of the 2026 nba finals 20260610162512194	Yes	BUY	32	60¢	$19	0xe0b466…
06-10 20:08:12	will oracle 2026 capital expenditures be above 47pt5b	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xafae23…
06-10 20:07:21	will oracle 2026 capital expenditures be above 47pt5b	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x498027…
06-10 17:43:45	will trump post crime on truth social this week 20260605144225500	Yes	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xbd69c7…
06-10 15:55:25	will oracle q4 remaining performance obligations be above 500b	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6be59b…
06-10 15:55:24	will oracle q4 remaining performance obligations be above 500b	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9c04f7…
06-10 15:55:22	will oracle q4 remaining performance obligations be above 500b	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc42f01…
06-10 13:04:06	will oracle q4 remaining performance obligations be above 500b	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7b5a43…
06-10 12:30:33	will oracle q4 remaining performance obligations be above 500b	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x74738c…
06-10 04:58:09	will oracle q4 remaining performance obligations be above 500b	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x1de5c8…
06-10 04:41:16	will trump post knicks on truth social this week 20260608140318641	Yes	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0x4f899b…
06-09 17:16:52	will jenni gibbons be chosen for the artemis iii mission	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xbffd8e…
06-09 16:11:13	will jenni gibbons be chosen for the artemis iii mission	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xe9fd75…
06-09 13:16:28	will warsh say i dont know during june press conference 20260608181156663	No	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x8657e2…
06-09 12:03:30	will warsh say inflation 40 times during june press conference 20260608181156645	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x484732…
06-09 12:03:09	will warsh say inflation 40 times during june press conference 20260608181156645	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x40b6a1…
06-09 11:58:07	will warsh say rate or cut during june press conference 20260608181156651	Yes	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0xcbfa3c…
06-09 11:57:55	will warsh say rate or cut during june press conference 20260608181156651	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xeed52b…
06-09 11:39:31	will the invite score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	43	67¢	$29	0xb3e6ee…
06-09 11:14:30	will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x3c52ad…
06-08 18:09:58	will trump post knicks on truth social this week 20260608140318641	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xee7e59…