Frightening-Randomization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$400

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.3%

Resolved

1,059

Trades

2,844

lifetime

Volume

$39.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 06-13 10:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 79% $-400

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 447 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$226	119	119	+0	Down	+$10	05-10 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	5	$222	115	115	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 09:45
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	4	$205	104	104	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$195	117	117	+0	Up	+$37	05-10 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$178	94	94	+0	Up	+$8	05-08 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	5	$177	99	99	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$175	98	98	+0	Down	+$19	05-10 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$175	89	89	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$167	88	88	+0	Up	+$7	05-08 18:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$165	87	87	+0	Up	+$7	05-10 17:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	4	$165	87	87	+0	Down	+$7	05-10 06:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$162	83	83	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$160	83	83	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 18:00
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$157	80	80	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 05:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$154	78	78	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 19:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$150	82	82	+0	Up	+$12	05-10 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	6	$149	104	104	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$149	77	77	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$148	79	79	+0	Up	+$8	05-10 19:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$145	76	76	+0	Down	+$5	05-10 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$144	82	82	+0	Up	+$18	05-11 05:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	4	$143	74	74	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	6	$143	105	105	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 15:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$142	74	74	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 19:35
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$142	73	73	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 19:20
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	4	$141	72	72	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$140	72	72	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 19:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$135	101	49	+52	Down	$-39	05-10 16:05
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$134	72	72	+0	Up	+$8	05-08 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	14	$129	104	104	+0	Down	+$7	05-11 18:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 10:04:57	btc updown 5m 1781344800	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe00b4b…
06-13 09:52:52	btc updown 5m 1781344200	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa72c4d…
06-13 09:52:25	btc updown 5m 1781344200	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3dbf44…
06-13 09:49:52	btc updown 5m 1781343900	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x8bb79b…
06-13 09:46:34	btc updown 5m 1781343900	Up	SELL	64	41¢	$26	0xe6e084…
06-13 09:46:16	btc updown 5m 1781343900	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xb5d5b8…
06-13 09:39:45	btc updown 5m 1781343300	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xa117a9…
06-13 09:29:34	btc updown 5m 1781342700	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x282c43…
06-13 09:28:04	btc updown 5m 1781342700	Up	SELL	43	24¢	$10	0x56276e…
06-13 09:27:43	btc updown 5m 1781342700	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x16b38d…
06-13 09:26:42	btc updown 5m 1781342700	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0xc30c98…
06-13 09:26:30	btc updown 5m 1781342700	Up	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0xc1793d…
06-13 09:26:24	btc updown 5m 1781342700	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x49344f…
06-13 09:19:39	btc updown 5m 1781342100	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8027cf…
06-13 09:19:15	btc updown 5m 1781342100	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd10443…
06-13 09:09:51	btc updown 5m 1781341500	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9f5b3e…
06-13 09:09:40	btc updown 5m 1781341500	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xfa8a1a…
06-13 09:09:27	btc updown 5m 1781341500	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x324018…
06-13 09:06:43	btc updown 5m 1781341500	Down	SELL	36	39¢	$14	0x996b37…
06-13 09:06:19	btc updown 5m 1781341500	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x7a67be…
06-13 09:04:49	btc updown 5m 1781341200	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x06dbdf…
06-13 08:49:57	btc updown 5m 1781340300	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8ee534…
06-13 08:46:36	btc updown 5m 1781340300	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x1300a1…
06-13 08:45:54	btc updown 5m 1781340300	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x0f8485…
06-13 08:44:21	btc updown 5m 1781340000	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd51652…
06-13 08:41:33	btc updown 5m 1781340000	Up	SELL	45	63¢	$28	0xc8ad54…
06-13 08:41:19	btc updown 5m 1781340000	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x8f7796…
06-11 09:46:19	btc updown 5m 1781171100	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x5fb124…
06-11 09:45:52	btc updown 5m 1781171100	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x599555…
06-11 09:44:18	btc updown 5m 1781170800	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5408f0…
06-11 09:40:03	btc updown 5m 1781170500	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcccb31…
06-10 13:29:51	btc updown 5m 1781097900	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x719bb9…
06-10 13:29:40	btc updown 5m 1781097900	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc32c38…
06-10 13:16:42	btc updown 5m 1781097300	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x61e7ea…
06-10 13:15:52	btc updown 5m 1781097300	Down	SELL	34	72¢	$25	0xa3683b…
06-10 13:15:48	btc updown 5m 1781097300	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xf9a6f9…
06-10 13:14:52	btc updown 5m 1781097000	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x8ad29e…
06-10 13:14:12	btc updown 5m 1781097000	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x22ea42…
06-10 12:49:19	btc updown 5m 1781095500	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x147718…
06-10 12:44:52	btc updown 5m 1781095200	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x740903…
06-10 12:44:15	btc updown 5m 1781095200	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xba6890…
06-09 20:04:34	btc updown 5m 1781035200	Up	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xdb6908…
06-09 20:04:34	btc updown 5m 1781035200	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xb1d9aa…
06-09 20:04:34	btc updown 5m 1781035200	Up	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x3cfb67…
06-09 20:04:13	btc updown 5m 1781035200	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x8f9ad4…
06-09 20:03:34	btc updown 5m 1781035200	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x13e6b2…
06-09 20:03:13	btc updown 5m 1781035200	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcc63c3…
06-09 19:58:43	btc updown 5m 1781034900	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$9	0x16d408…
06-09 19:58:37	btc updown 5m 1781034900	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x756aa2…
06-09 19:52:43	btc updown 5m 1781034600	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfa8df7…
06-09 19:51:51	btc updown 5m 1781034600	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa7e27d…
06-09 19:41:46	btc updown 5m 1781034000	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf1bbd7…
06-09 19:34:31	btc updown 5m 1781033400	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x94b7a6…
06-09 19:32:34	btc updown 5m 1781033400	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe2fec8…
06-09 19:28:42	btc updown 5m 1781033100	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x023e98…
06-09 19:13:54	btc updown 5m 1781032200	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x66d013…
06-09 19:12:06	btc updown 5m 1781032200	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd1a2ad…
06-09 19:06:31	btc updown 5m 1781031900	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe712bc…
06-09 18:57:34	btc updown 5m 1781031300	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe9668e…
06-09 18:54:37	btc updown 5m 1781031000	Up	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x465d93…
06-09 18:54:09	btc updown 5m 1781031000	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x91f342…
06-09 18:39:58	btc updown 5m 1781030100	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$5	0x2b2a5f…
06-09 18:04:42	btc updown 5m 1781028000	Down	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x823f0b…
06-09 17:54:30	btc updown 5m 1781027400	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd0265c…
06-09 17:41:52	btc updown 5m 1781026800	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x13a2d8…
06-09 17:34:22	btc updown 5m 1781026200	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x432422…
06-09 17:24:21	btc updown 5m 1781025600	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0x407c97…
06-09 17:21:18	btc updown 5m 1781025600	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x8182ff…
06-09 17:20:57	btc updown 5m 1781025600	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9df46c…
05-19 17:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4ba045…
05-19 16:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4de946…
05-19 15:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x411ca5…
05-19 15:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8c8674…
05-19 15:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc63dc6…
05-19 15:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8d6ddc…
05-19 12:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd0851c…
05-19 12:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x978c2d…
05-19 12:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfbcba2…
05-19 03:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xbd0800…
05-19 02:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	37	72¢	$26	0xf90bed…
05-19 02:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xa74295…
05-18 17:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	39	70¢	$27	0xd1bdda…
05-18 17:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x7f228d…
05-18 17:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x161b1d…
05-18 12:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3be3b2…
05-18 11:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbb1564…
05-18 11:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa10fa7…
05-18 11:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x06299d…
05-18 11:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x35ee0b…
05-18 10:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9c0851…
05-18 10:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	38	68¢	$26	0x465c2f…
05-18 10:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x385609…
05-18 10:29:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe04cad…
05-18 07:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x7fd66d…
05-18 07:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x391e01…
05-18 07:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc34130…
05-18 07:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2f0f4f…
05-18 07:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2e2f68…
05-18 05:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2cdddb…
05-18 05:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5fb3a6…