Frightening-Randomization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$924

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

2,303

Trades

4,446

lifetime

Volume

$101.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 10-06 14:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

57% 78% -$460

Crypto

43% 81% -$464

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?	2	$1.0K	510	510	+0	Yes	+$10	06-05 14:23
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 26?	3	$956	487	487	+0	Yes	+$16	05-26 22:52
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 23?	4	$851	432	432	+0	Yes	+$11	05-24 05:39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 23?	4	$839	432	432	+0	No	-$7	05-23 13:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 24?	2	$813	413	413	+0	Yes	+$13	05-24 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 27?	2	$806	407	407	+0	Yes	+$6	05-28 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 4?	3	$786	398	398	+0	Yes	+$8	06-05 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 6?	3	$637	328	328	+0	Yes	+$17	06-07 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 29?	2	$619	330	330	+0	Yes	+$39	05-29 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?	4	$619	327	327	+0	Yes	+$19	07-16 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?	3	$605	305	305	+0	No	+$5	07-25 05:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 24?	2	$604	305	305	+0	No	+$4	07-24 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 24?	2	$543	274	274	+0	Yes	+$3	05-24 13:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 24?	4	$434	227	227	+0	Yes	+$20	05-25 04:42
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 7?	3	$433	224	224	+0	Yes	+$13	06-07 17:19
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 4?	2	$426	216	216	+0	No	+$6	06-04 14:31
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 6?	2	$426	216	216	+0	No	+$6	06-06 22:23
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?	3	$425	215	215	+0	Yes	+$5	07-05 09:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 6?	2	$424	215	215	+0	No	+$6	06-06 12:50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	3	$423	225	225	+0	Yes	+$23	07-14 12:50
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 31?	3	$421	216	216	+0	Yes	+$11	06-01 06:18
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 11?	3	$410	210	210	+0	No	+$10	07-11 05:08
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 23?	3	$407	206	206	+0	Yes	+$5	05-23 21:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 22?	2	$407	420	0	+420	No	+$13	05-22 12:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?	2	$406	206	206	+0	Yes	+$6	07-22 01:42
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 9?	4	$405	304	304	+0	Yes	+$3	07-09 10:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?	4	$403	206	206	+0	No	+$3	07-02 10:12
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 5?	2	$400	410	0	+410	Yes	+$10	06-05 22:07
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 24?	3	$395	204	204	+0	No	+$12	05-24 15:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?	4	$386	220	220	+0	No	-$14	07-17 06:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 14:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0c18f3…
10-06 14:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe458e6…
10-06 14:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x39a2b0…
10-06 14:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa4c406…
10-06 14:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4a6878…
10-06 13:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x89afb6…
10-06 12:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa2e86e…
10-06 12:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xdc430f…
10-06 12:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x2731ae…
10-06 07:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xfe30d4…
10-06 07:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x23509e…
10-06 07:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x86b1d5…
10-06 07:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x11e739…
10-06 07:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x4c3fe5…
10-06 07:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x909613…
10-06 07:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 6?	No	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0x1136b4…
10-06 03:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 6?	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x8a825b…
10-06 02:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 6?	No	SELL	37	78¢	$29	0xbef334…
10-06 02:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 6?	No	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0xc0106d…
09-24 17:56:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x5962bd…
09-18 21:59:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc5bc09…
09-18 21:41:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa25c51…
09-18 15:35:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x88c688…
09-16 10:34:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	24	92¢	$22	0xa42427…
09-15 19:39:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x4efb58…
09-14 08:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 14?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xdd0de2…
09-14 00:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 14?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x023c0e…
09-12 10:19:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 11?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x9da700…
09-10 16:13:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 11?	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x317a8d…
09-10 16:09:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 11?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0x6e4994…
09-10 15:11:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 11?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x1a2315…
09-10 08:49:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 10?	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$17	0x65b527…
09-09 20:34:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x677a17…
09-09 19:59:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 10?	No	SELL	31	39¢	$12	0xda0691…
09-09 15:24:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 10?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x877d4e…
09-07 12:41:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 8?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x212e6b…
09-07 12:08:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 8?	No	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0xc91d52…
09-07 08:32:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 8?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x02db72…
09-06 04:04:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 5?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xd246c4…
09-04 06:09:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 5?	No	BUY	31	89¢	$28	0x82e95f…
09-03 14:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc5d414…
09-03 14:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x57354a…
09-03 13:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8bd0a7…
09-03 13:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5d2f6a…
09-03 13:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe86c56…
09-03 13:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xdb5cfa…
09-03 13:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4ed2e5…
09-03 13:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x52196a…
09-03 13:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x71b57d…
09-03 13:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x32ed51…
09-03 07:51:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 3?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x22e85e…
09-02 15:57:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x35e3b7…
09-02 09:42:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-02 09:40 UTC	Down	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xfb1265…
09-02 09:42:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-02 09:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xb8d373…
09-02 09:42:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-02 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb5423c…
09-01 14:11:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	23	90¢	$20	0xd6e128…
09-01 07:20:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0xbeb869…
08-31 17:48:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7ad142…
08-31 13:44:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd27a08…
08-31 13:44:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xcf9762…
08-31 11:09:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe70f20…
08-31 11:09:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6ff932…
08-31 11:07:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xda9b48…
08-31 11:07:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd8dc89…
08-31 11:04:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9124a6…
08-31 10:57:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4d828d…
08-27 01:03:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf7a608…
08-27 01:03:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb9fda4…
08-27 00:57:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb5a9ba…
08-27 00:52:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xece701…
08-27 00:43:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3ee9a3…
08-27 00:43:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x093034…
08-27 00:29:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1e2a59…
08-27 00:29:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb0c037…
08-27 00:23:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5e5456…
08-27 00:17:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x70121c…
08-27 00:08:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3457d8…
08-26 16:07:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbd46ad…
08-26 15:52:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2ce19a…
08-26 15:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 15:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xe638df…
08-26 15:36:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb54958…
08-26 15:26:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfb4e0d…
08-26 15:22:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc1449c…
08-26 15:12:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1af4ec…
08-26 14:58:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xa7e1dc…
08-26 14:58:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x014c44…
08-26 14:48:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4e27c5…
08-26 14:42:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcbd2bd…
08-26 14:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc15c04…
08-26 14:24:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7277f0…
08-26 14:23:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xd34469…
08-26 14:23:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5c75ed…
08-26 14:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x33e00c…
08-26 13:51:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x56f4b1…
08-26 13:38:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf8f2c6…
08-26 13:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x187e85…
08-26 13:36:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2a1fa9…
08-26 12:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x384d00…
08-26 12:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x538f20…
08-26 12:47:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3257f1…