Realized P&L
-$204
Unrealized P&L
+$1.02K
Hit rate
36.2%
Resolved
41
Trades
428
lifetime
Volume
$9.77K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$1.99K
12 positions
First seen
2026-06-07
last 07-13 13:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Politics
67% 23% +$1,316
Other
19% 0% -$870
Tech
14% 0% -$650
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,814 $109 46¢ $843 +$734 06-07 07:18
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +873 $110 90¢ $789 +$679 06-11 08:02
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +299 $99 37¢ $111 +$11 06-13 10:45
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +661 $100 15¢ $102 +$2 06-12 23:36
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +383 $102 10¢ $38 -$64 06-07 07:17
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? No +1,171 $117 3¢ $37 -$80 06-07 14:49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +25 $10 92¢ $23 +$13 06-10 12:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +332 $103 6¢ $20 -$82 06-10 13:18
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +406 $97 3¢ $13 -$84 06-11 03:27
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +40 $6 23¢ $9 +$3 06-07 08:36
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +719 $101 1¢ $7 -$93 06-11 01:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +74 $25 3¢ $2 -$22 06-11 03:17