Homely-Grassland — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$70

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

384

Trades

952

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-16

last 09-27 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

42% 77% -$96

Politics

31% 67% +$8

Sports

14% 84% +$127

Tech

8% 83% +$40

Crypto

4% 60% -$9

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	No		+0	-$5	21¢	$0	+$5	09-27 21:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	19	$916	547	547	+0	No	+$4	05-29 20:08
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	17	$565	1,867	1,133	+733	No	+$3	06-24 23:10
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	2	$445	250	250	+0	FaZe	+$0	05-29 19:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	11	$440	433	333	+100	No	+$28	05-29 21:22
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	11	$411	220	200	+20	No	+$4	06-30 17:47
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 4?	22	$242	196	161	+35	Yes	+$2	07-04 20:25
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	4	$183	120	120	+0	No	+$3	06-24 22:17
will 14 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259753	8	$156	125	125	+0	No	+$12	07-14 00:28
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	2	$140	87	87	+0	Yes	$0	07-05 02:25
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	18	$127	162	162	+0	No	-$19	06-23 04:39
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	6	$124	100	100	+0	No	-$6	06-16 18:54
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	4	$123	63	63	+0	Yes	+$1	06-23 22:41
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	10	$121	112	100	+12	No	+$18	07-19 22:22
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	6	$120	68	68	+0	No	+$0	06-16 07:59
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	5	$102	53	53	+0	No	+$4	05-26 00:08
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	3	$100	55	55	+0	open	—	06-20 23:29
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	10	$98	124	144	-20	No	-$56	06-30 16:23
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	4	$96	55	55	+0	open	—	07-13 13:40
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	7	$95	101	41	+60	No	+$6	07-19 22:21
will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs england fifa world cup match 20260705031113090	2	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	+$6	07-06 01:18
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	3	$92	50	50	+0	No	+$1	07-09 20:17
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	2	$89	50	50	+0	No	+$1	06-23 02:51
will there be 1 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829177	3	$89	46	46	+0	Yes	+$3	06-24 16:44
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	7	$86	124	124	+0	No	+$1	05-25 19:29
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	10	$82	55	48	+7	Yes	-$1	06-30 03:40
Trump kiss by May 31?	17	$82	55	55	+0	Yes	+$3	05-20 04:01
starmer out by july 31 2026	3	$82	70	20	+50	Yes	+$7	06-21 03:22
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$81	50	50	+0	open	—	06-25 23:55
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	5	$79	70	40	+30	Yes	-$62	07-15 16:35
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	5	$79	50	50	+0	open	—	07-08 21:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 21:18:44	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	No	SELL	37	23¢	$8	0x38d295…
09-24 08:41:23	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	No	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xffad9a…
09-24 08:32:29	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x1a73f7…
09-24 08:30:59	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	No	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0x651493…
09-22 21:54:40	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	No	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x1f4d1a…
09-22 21:53:20	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	No	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0x840eb5…
08-30 17:56:33	Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x625fa9…
07-22 18:12:45	will tesla say spacex during earnings call 20260713183304179	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x9a26cc…
07-22 17:04:12	will tesla say spacex during earnings call 20260713183304179	Yes	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x239880…
07-22 06:22:09	will tesla say spacex during earnings call 20260713183304179	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x44fae6…
07-19 22:22:03	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xd4d895…
07-19 22:21:36	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x61be5a…
07-16 21:43:22	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$6	0x322dcc…
07-15 22:19:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x180d48…
07-15 22:16:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa91e91…
07-15 22:14:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf5fc0a…
07-15 21:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x925ca8…
07-15 21:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xaa4118…
07-15 21:43:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x1dc921…
07-15 21:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x00c535…
07-15 21:42:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xad35f0…
07-15 21:42:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x43fc7d…
07-15 21:41:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x05f49b…
07-15 21:24:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xcfe21c…
07-15 21:22:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x0878a7…
07-15 19:24:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5637a6…
07-15 19:24:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc4288e…
07-15 19:23:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xdc7e6d…
07-15 19:23:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x77af49…
07-15 19:23:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x5cfa56…
07-15 19:23:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2b5bca…
07-15 19:23:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x110c32…
07-15 19:22:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xa9c342…
07-15 19:21:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x06d1ce…
07-15 16:49:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1603c2…
07-15 16:44:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x87f2cf…
07-15 16:35:02	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x0e8df3…
07-15 16:29:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x77ecc1…
07-15 16:29:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe28b0d…
07-15 16:24:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:20 UTC	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xbe96d1…
07-15 16:21:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x71cff9…
07-15 16:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xb29ce1…
07-15 16:11:44	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x5c31a0…
07-15 15:10:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	29	62¢	$18	0x4133f6…
07-15 14:53:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	21	62¢	$13	0x1119e8…
07-15 06:23:58	will general motors say electric car during earnings call 20260713183530320	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xea06f5…
07-15 06:01:07	will tesla say spacex during earnings call 20260713183304179	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x35a2ca…
07-15 05:56:35	will the announcers say hand of god during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905969	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xbe26ac…
07-15 05:53:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:50 UTC	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x47791d…
07-15 05:53:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xe417a8…
07-15 05:53:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:50 UTC	Down	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x189747…
07-15 05:51:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8fbdf6…
07-15 05:50:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x954c18…
07-15 05:49:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x3193d8…
07-15 05:47:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xf32c91…
07-15 05:47:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x5dd415…
07-15 05:47:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x348776…
07-15 05:32:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x247471…
07-15 05:29:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x830f5d…
07-15 05:23:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xd80313…
07-15 05:19:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7bfeca…
07-15 05:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf0af83…
07-15 05:13:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xbcfaee…
07-15 05:12:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:10 UTC	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x3a1c72…
07-15 05:11:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x2a9039…
07-15 05:11:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x0e21c8…
07-15 05:08:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xba5b03…
07-15 05:06:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xbe6f1d…
07-15 05:01:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x153c50…
07-14 22:04:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x46f7e0…
07-14 22:03:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x96f50c…
07-14 22:03:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xc354ca…
07-14 22:03:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x693499…
07-14 22:03:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x7aba92…
07-14 22:02:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x28fda9…
07-14 20:02:40	nba lebron to sign with former team 20260701212006851	No	SELL	24	37¢	$9	0x44687a…
07-14 18:39:11	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x622746…
07-14 00:28:37	will 14 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259753	Yes	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x117eff…
07-14 00:07:35	will 18 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259754	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x8a0899…
07-14 00:05:29	will 14 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259753	Yes	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xb52eae…
07-14 00:05:25	will 14 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259753	Yes	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xa899d9…
07-14 00:05:16	will 14 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259753	Yes	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xff2a13…
07-14 00:01:38	will 18 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259754	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x6f1067…
07-14 00:01:32	will 18 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259754	Yes	SELL	55	15¢	$8	0xd3ad70…
07-13 23:58:52	will 14 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259753	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x930223…
07-13 21:46:22	will 18 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259754	Yes	SELL	116	17¢	$20	0x4e9026…
07-13 21:29:58	will 18 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259754	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x340b81…
07-13 21:25:31	will 18 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259754	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0xcadc8a…
07-13 21:19:35	will 18 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259754	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xd5eb5a…
07-13 21:13:05	will 14 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259753	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x9a130b…
07-13 21:10:43	will 18 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259754	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xa4cbfc…
07-13 21:08:35	will 18 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259754	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x64a0fd…
07-13 21:06:44	will 14 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259753	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x3d19ef…
07-13 21:04:28	will 14 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259753	Yes	BUY	125	57¢	$72	0x9f4424…
07-13 21:02:56	will 18 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259754	Yes	BUY	128	12¢	$16	0x2cd8e7…
07-13 20:48:07	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xafec1d…
07-13 13:40:19	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xe0cd87…
07-11 13:02:13	will south sudan have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x59f4b7…
07-10 09:49:40	nba lebron to sign with former team 20260701212006851	No	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xa002c6…
07-10 02:29:04	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xa70243…