Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
454
lifetime
Volume
$5.40K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$237
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 06-30 09:48
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
45%
Other
35%
Sports
11%
Tech
10%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +50 $46 90¢ $45 $-0 06-24 23:43
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +50 $34 84¢ $42 +$8 05-28 07:25
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +45 $40 86¢ $39 $-1 06-21 02:47
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +50 $38 66¢ $33 $-5 06-24 23:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-16 80¢ $-16 $-0 06-20 02:53
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season? No -16 $-14 84¢ $-14 +$0 06-26 04:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +20 $10 66¢ $13 +$3 06-23 04:13
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 06-30 03:31
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-26 05:02
Will Nicki Minaj perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-13 06:55
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -5 $-4 89¢ $-4 $-0 06-23 21:59
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 06-21 00:00
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season? Yes +20 $19 16¢ $3 $-16 06-13 19:59
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -5 $-3 58¢ $-3 +$0 05-29 19:08
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No -5 $-2 32¢ $-2 $-0 05-29 21:27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -20 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-01 17:14