Jolly-Minnow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.8%

Resolved

988

Trades

1,382

lifetime

Volume

$4.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 07-02 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 77% -$48

Other

29% 81% -$26

Politics

17% 82% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 33% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 29?	6	$93	47	47	+0	No	+$0	05-29 21:30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	4	$40	21	21	+0	No	+$1	05-29 04:18
between 39 and 41 million views	4	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	06-01 11:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$1	05-29 04:07
Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$1	05-31 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 29?	2	$30	16	16	+0	No	+$1	05-29 16:45
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	4	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	06-15 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 1?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 15:15
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 81°F or below on June 1?	2	$19	9	9	+0	No	+$0	06-01 19:00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 1?	2	$19	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	06-01 19:45
Will Tyler Vandenberg advance from the CA-06 primary election?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-09 11:45
between 41 and 43 million views	2	$18	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	06-01 10:30
43 million or more views	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	06-01 08:00
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	06-01 21:45
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	2	$18	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	06-01 19:15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on June 1?	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	$0	06-01 19:30
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 78°F or higher on May 31?	2	$17	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 22:15
Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-05-31?	2	$17	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	06-01 01:15
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	2	$17	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 13:15
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-05-31?	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$0	05-31 21:00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 31?	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$0	06-01 01:15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 31?	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$0	05-31 19:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$0	06-01 01:00
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	2	$17	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 10:00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 3?	2	$17	8	8	+0	No	+$0	06-03 21:45
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election by less than 10%?	2	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	06-04 05:45
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election by less than 10%?	2	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	06-05 03:30
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 3?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	06-03 21:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	06-02 04:00
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan mayoral election by less than 5%?	2	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	06-04 14:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 02:00:29	will jonathan hofeller be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212486	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x495df8…
06-26 12:30:05	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbdb4ac…
06-17 22:30:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb6f8c2…
06-17 20:00:10	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc87e1f…
06-16 17:15:07	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x240306…
06-16 11:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa4c9b3…
06-16 08:00:13	Will Sam McCown be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf05352…
06-16 07:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x016e95…
06-16 06:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x12c54f…
06-16 06:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a59cb…
06-16 06:25:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	No	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x1e2828…
06-16 06:20:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe29318…
06-16 06:00:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2bb3bf…
06-16 06:00:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1a6f2c…
06-16 05:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x176bbe…
06-16 03:15:06	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc3bfed…
06-16 02:30:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x63f0ae…
06-15 18:15:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x1b32cb…
06-15 17:05:09	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x534f10…
06-15 17:05:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfb78e1…
06-15 17:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaff7d0…
06-15 15:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 15?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf84891…
06-15 15:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 15?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe264f1…
06-15 15:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b0bb0…
06-15 15:30:06	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1f48de…
06-15 11:00:12	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8804e6…
06-15 11:00:06	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6ae351…
06-15 10:00:13	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8d333c…
06-15 10:00:07	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2ee875…
06-15 07:20:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x57d31b…
06-15 07:15:09	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc9e851…
06-15 01:40:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8d5e0d…
06-15 01:40:43	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x581940…
06-14 09:50:09	2026 rbc canadian open top20 tommy fleetwood	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9ed18b…
06-14 09:45:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0aa37c…
06-14 06:10:07	Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1deeb3…
06-14 03:50:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0190c6…
06-14 03:45:06	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 13?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd8ceeb…
06-13 19:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 13?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x3a65fe…
06-13 18:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 13?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x816a04…
06-13 18:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xe1b5bf…
06-13 18:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x208020…
06-13 18:00:10	Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0d7f63…
06-13 14:05:16	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf98d7c…
06-13 14:00:07	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x70df8e…
06-13 12:50:12	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcd8352…
06-13 12:50:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xefe84d…
06-13 05:00:19	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb76731…
06-13 05:00:15	will jonathan hofeller be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212486	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe9c4d5…
06-13 05:00:09	will biology be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260605165706085	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdfb6d7…
06-13 04:15:07	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7d3b5f…
06-13 03:00:09	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc6d1b7…
06-13 02:20:06	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5c2b3b…
06-13 02:00:07	Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-06-12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x109cb9…
06-13 01:55:06	Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-06-12?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf71fc4…
06-13 01:50:06	will iran close its airspace by june 13 20260609184136051	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x584a8f…
06-13 01:45:15	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa56bb2…
06-13 01:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd18ab4…
06-13 01:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcc68c7…
06-13 01:40:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x433380…
06-12 21:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x054c73…
06-12 21:30:10	Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xdbe0bb…
06-12 20:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 12?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4b9464…
06-12 20:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x74161b…
06-12 20:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x634b93…
06-12 20:15:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on June 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc5b87b…
06-12 14:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x01d8c5…
06-12 14:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x176185…
06-12 14:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x500edf…
06-12 13:05:15	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a8147…
06-12 13:05:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1aa6f6…
06-12 13:05:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on June 12?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6b97e5…
06-12 13:00:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7f2154…
06-12 13:00:09	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd633e9…
06-12 13:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 12?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe56904…
06-12 04:15:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb16134…
06-12 04:00:18	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4c6e5a…
06-12 03:45:07	Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by 5–10%?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0x98d7cc…
06-12 01:50:06	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa1e597…
06-12 01:45:16	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0005ec…
06-12 01:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdd43b7…
06-12 01:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5b4d02…
06-11 23:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 11?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x63965e…
06-11 23:00:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 11?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x20f627…
06-11 22:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa2165f…
06-11 22:05:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x59f61e…
06-11 22:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5b45c9…
06-11 22:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x59da57…
06-11 21:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 11?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8421e1…
06-11 21:45:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7ba5fc…
06-11 21:05:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x56bf33…
06-11 21:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 11?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2d76ef…
06-11 20:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1a9d61…
06-11 20:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x98f544…
06-11 20:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xadfcb6…
06-11 20:30:09	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb16982…
06-11 18:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 11?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfc0d68…
06-11 18:00:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x137a1b…
06-11 17:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 11?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x799353…
06-11 17:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdc13d5…