Concrete-Nasal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

Trades

202

lifetime

Volume

$2.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-30 16:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% 50% +$1

Sports

27% 0% —

Politics

12% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	8	$145	75	75	+0	open	—	01-26 00:55
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	10	$140	74	74	+0	open	—	06-06 03:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	9	$120	62	62	+0	open	—	03-24 21:06
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina	4	$89	48	48	+0	Elena Rybakina	+$1	05-10 15:23
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	03-22 04:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$59	32	32	+0	open	—	06-22 11:47
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$57	30	30	-0	open	—	03-24 04:21
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	03-03 20:58
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$54	28	28	+0	open	—	04-24 12:02
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	04-09 15:00
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	04-27 04:15
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	03-11 18:10
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$47	25	25	+0	open	—	01-16 05:00
will the chicago bears win super bowl 2026	2	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	01-10 00:52
will the san francisco 49ers win super bowl 2026	2	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	01-14 20:42
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	01-21 04:35
will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	01-12 17:58
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	01-21 12:24
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	01-13 22:11
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	01-15 21:10
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	01-20 11:56
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 22:00
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	01-21 20:21
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	4	$39	21	21	+0	open	—	01-13 11:09
will the pittsburgh steelers win super bowl 2026	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	01-08 05:39
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	01-09 17:11
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	03-29 08:54
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	03-25 17:11
fif nep hkg 2026 03 26 draw	3	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	03-24 01:44
will the jacksonville jaguars win super bowl 2026	2	$36	19	19	+0	open	—	01-07 17:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 16:31:57	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x7f2c12…
07-29 12:30:21	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xdcbd41…
07-29 12:28:06	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0xdc29df…
07-27 03:42:19	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xd4ff9f…
07-14 05:26:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x24041c…
07-14 04:52:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0xb48282…
07-12 10:46:20	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x9e47c2…
07-11 15:27:40	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xa137b9…
07-05 14:32:58	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x9cd978…
07-05 14:19:08	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xde1902…
07-05 13:34:02	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xccb608…
07-02 18:01:34	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x428e57…
07-02 17:56:44	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x90f11c…
07-02 17:52:29	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x11075b…
07-02 08:05:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026 272	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x541853…
07-02 06:54:19	gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026 272	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4f113c…
07-02 02:37:46	gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026 272	Yes	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xde618c…
07-02 02:37:22	gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026 272	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0x2a4729…
07-02 01:35:20	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xfa9812…
07-02 01:25:55	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xd0962f…
07-01 11:50:17	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd3a29c…
06-26 15:36:23	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4bd3df…
06-22 11:47:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x3d742d…
06-22 11:39:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xdcf751…
06-18 18:43:11	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	10	92¢	$10	0x29a39e…
06-18 13:43:10	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	No	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x7f91ee…
06-18 12:22:35	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x8bcce3…
06-18 12:18:43	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x399711…
06-17 23:32:41	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xc01c16…
06-10 23:34:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x6d883b…
06-10 23:27:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x5d8ac4…
06-10 20:38:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x287d04…
06-10 20:37:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xe83c82…
06-09 10:07:06	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xc2683b…
06-09 09:54:58	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xba3c8f…
06-09 06:38:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x2ba9d7…
06-09 05:17:52	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x9253c7…
06-06 03:07:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xafa5f8…
06-06 02:59:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x1d4593…
06-06 02:59:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdd191a…
06-05 23:08:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x2f65a2…
06-05 23:03:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x85d044…
06-01 17:10:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$17	0xdcbc73…
06-01 17:01:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0xad9dc9…
06-01 17:01:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x2cec88…
05-28 20:39:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x91c695…
05-28 20:24:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0xa04316…
05-10 15:23:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	SELL	25	97¢	$25	0x013b81…
05-10 15:15:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xa81406…
05-10 12:02:05	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	SELL	22	92¢	$21	0x9cdb4e…
05-10 11:54:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	BUY	22	92¢	$21	0xcf943c…
04-27 22:00:54	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5a5b3e…
04-27 21:58:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x70aca6…
04-27 04:15:16	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x07b6d2…
04-27 03:38:28	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x2ca53f…
04-24 12:02:54	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0xc947b0…
04-24 10:55:04	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x4bfe03…
04-24 10:35:50	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xdbe4cf…
04-15 19:21:00	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x3500f0…
04-15 19:07:00	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0xcf90ad…
04-11 13:50:27	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xf47cdd…
04-11 13:40:33	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x4e3c4f…
04-11 13:32:09	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xf87ef4…
04-09 17:32:35	Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xfa6946…
04-09 17:32:35	Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x0928d5…
04-09 17:32:33	Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc027d7…
04-09 15:00:51	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xdbc8f9…
04-09 15:00:27	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xe28606…
03-30 03:28:06	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x796911…
03-29 08:54:32	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xb6be9a…
03-29 08:53:18	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xdeb1ef…
03-29 08:51:36	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x32c025…
03-26 17:15:15	atp tiafoe sinner 2026 03 26	Jannik Sinner	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0xf4668d…
03-26 17:12:31	atp tiafoe sinner 2026 03 26	Jannik Sinner	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x8f6b30…
03-26 12:14:27	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x068f08…
03-26 12:09:43	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xaff9b0…
03-25 19:13:25	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0xe7b97a…
03-25 18:59:53	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xe97814…
03-25 17:11:35	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$18	0x0be2e2…
03-25 17:06:33	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$18	0xe743cc…
03-25 01:23:03	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0xdd5d99…
03-25 01:20:45	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xbaffe3…
03-25 01:20:13	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x7e939c…
03-24 21:06:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0xf2df10…
03-24 14:51:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xc1f842…
03-24 10:32:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x80b446…
03-24 10:18:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xde8c28…
03-24 08:50:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0x1f947d…
03-24 08:40:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x1d1606…
03-24 08:36:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xc03577…
03-24 04:21:39	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x69628a…
03-24 04:19:57	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xcb2001…
03-24 04:19:57	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0xa30dae…
03-24 01:44:59	fif nep hkg 2026 03 26 draw	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xa3e3c4…
03-24 01:29:39	fif nep hkg 2026 03 26 draw	Yes	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x843bd7…
03-24 01:29:13	fif nep hkg 2026 03 26 draw	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2af2e9…
03-22 04:59:31	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0xe1d629…
03-22 04:53:33	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x37ed43…
03-20 12:41:01	wta blinkov mboko 2026 03 19	Victoria Mboko	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0xeaa392…
03-20 12:38:07	wta blinkov mboko 2026 03 19	Victoria Mboko	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x9cf749…