Lanky-Series — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$693

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.5%

Resolved

1,248

Trades

3,649

lifetime

Volume

$19.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 11-08 11:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

37% 51% -$66

Politics

35% 21% -$311

Other

21% 44% -$111

Tech

4% 0% -$79

Sports

4% 17% -$127

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	7	$965	1,407	1,407	+0	Yes	+$1	10-22 05:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	5	$588	952	952	+0	open	—	11-08 11:27
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	4	$506	307	307	+0	Yes	+$44	06-12 19:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	8	$502	367	367	+0	open	—	11-05 20:59
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?	8	$397	470	470	+0	No	-$80	06-06 16:18
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	3	$380	345	345	+0	open	—	10-25 20:33
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	6	$347	297	297	+0	No	-$3	06-20 22:14
israel closes its airspace by june 9	3	$319	175	175	+0	No	+$0	06-08 11:29
will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	8	$305	390	390	+0	Yes	-$30	06-14 21:40
Will Nike be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?	4	$302	309	309	+0	No	+$9	06-24 20:04
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	5	$236	218	218	+0	Yes	-$2	06-06 10:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	5	$223	123	123	+0	Yes	-$5	10-30 00:12
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	2	$202	163	163	+0	No	+$3	06-09 14:26
will vitality reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	3	$189	222	222	+0	No	-$10	06-07 20:15
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	5	$189	136	136	+0	No	-$10	06-04 13:22
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	4	$188	227	227	+0	open	—	06-03 17:19
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$187	263	263	+0	Yes	-$3	06-06 23:14
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	3	$186	252	252	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 20:11
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	2	$184	174	174	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 09:04
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	5	$177	175	175	+0	Yes	-$22	06-07 08:23
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	9	$172	333	333	+0	Yes	$0	08-30 20:20
us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	6	$164	132	132	+0	Yes	-$5	06-14 10:34
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	5	$156	97	97	+0	No	-$7	06-12 00:16
Will Mario Almici win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?	6	$153	232	232	+0	No	-$41	06-03 15:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$153	96	96	+0	No	+$3	06-24 20:04
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?	6	$149	128	128	+0	Yes	+$0	06-24 20:04
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	4	$149	97	97	+0	No	-$1	06-24 06:12
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$148	79	79	+0	Yes	$0	07-01 21:57
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	4	$148	109	109	+0	No	-$3	07-02 14:11
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	2	$147	79	79	+0	Yes	$0	06-21 21:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 11:27:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	SELL	99	18¢	$18	0xad7c4a…
11-07 14:07:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	SELL	763	28¢	$214	0xbc1c68…
11-07 14:07:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	862	28¢	$241	0xa3a469…
11-07 04:43:19	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x519f5c…
11-07 04:01:21	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xbfe5c9…
11-07 03:31:10	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xa3b71a…
11-06 22:30:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	SELL	90	64¢	$57	0xde97c7…
11-06 22:29:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	90	64¢	$57	0xdbe135…
11-05 20:59:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xb781cd…
11-05 20:59:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x1685e8…
11-05 20:59:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	59	72¢	$43	0xeafc99…
11-05 20:59:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x87fd6c…
11-05 20:59:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	86	68¢	$58	0x27c7da…
11-05 20:59:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x267694…
11-05 20:59:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	17	68¢	$12	0x1b5106…
11-05 20:59:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	367	68¢	$250	0x4058ef…
11-02 21:07:06	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0xcdad16…
10-31 01:42:49	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0xffb7ef…
10-31 01:42:48	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x9a01a4…
10-30 00:12:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x4acbd7…
10-29 23:55:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x9477de…
10-29 23:55:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0x566964…
10-29 23:40:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	Yes	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x015221…
10-29 23:39:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	24	85¢	$20	0x33d8cd…
10-29 23:39:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	Yes	SELL	89	89¢	$79	0xbc2c8c…
10-29 23:34:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	Yes	BUY	123	92¢	$114	0xee9e97…
10-29 23:34:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	64	90¢	$57	0x02175a…
10-25 20:33:11	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	96	55¢	$53	0xb72a32…
10-25 20:31:18	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	249	55¢	$137	0x083060…
10-25 20:30:53	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	345	55¢	$190	0xa1861c…
10-22 05:45:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	330	75¢	$248	0xbd6310…
10-22 05:45:41	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	330	75¢	$248	0x2e2845…
10-22 05:24:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	39	22¢	$8	0xdfa5cd…
10-22 05:24:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	248	22¢	$54	0xb02fc2…
10-22 05:24:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	250	22¢	$54	0xa050c9…
10-22 05:24:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	540	22¢	$118	0x679ab0…
10-22 05:24:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,077	22¢	$235	0xd475ab…
10-20 21:38:17	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	14	61¢	$9	0x78d479…
10-20 21:31:14	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	39	63¢	$25	0xfb6731…
10-20 21:31:09	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	53	61¢	$32	0x945920…
10-17 02:07:06	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	SELL	25	84¢	$21	0x920959…
10-15 22:16:36	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Cloud9	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0xecaa3f…
10-15 21:40:47	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0xfb0e64…
10-15 19:19:19	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x326904…
10-15 12:50:22	LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	Team WE	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x6eef52…
10-12 12:52:18	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x475e33…
10-07 22:38:52	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x605c99…
10-07 22:38:43	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x5adb4d…
10-06 01:20:01	Falcons vs. Saints	Saints	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xe406e2…
10-04 22:58:44	lol tl2 ly 2026 10 04 game3	LYON	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x5a7689…
10-02 16:56:51	Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x1172ac…
10-01 18:24:02	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D	Aurora	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xbca8dc…
10-01 16:01:47	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	Aurora	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xeff77b…
09-30 14:16:35	dota2 bb4 og 2026 09 30	OG	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xcaec65…
08-30 21:10:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0xde1726…
08-30 20:25:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe95e73…
08-30 20:20:25	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x9501f7…
08-30 20:20:19	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0xf1e7f9…
08-30 20:20:13	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	55	81¢	$45	0x053ed8…
08-30 19:09:09	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	No	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xa66e58…
08-30 14:53:55	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	No	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0xfb7df9…
08-30 14:53:55	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	No	SELL	84	15¢	$13	0xa26f31…
08-30 14:53:55	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	No	SELL	131	15¢	$20	0x688881…
08-30 14:53:55	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	No	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0x0cb1bc…
08-30 14:53:48	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	No	BUY	278	15¢	$42	0x20ecdc…
08-30 14:03:25	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc15f69…
08-16 17:49:10	lol g2 fnc 2026 08 16 game1	Fnatic	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xfe81ca…
08-16 17:48:51	lol g2 fnc 2026 08 16 game1	G2 Esports	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x58cdca…
08-16 12:08:46	lol drx bro2 2026 08 16 game2	HANJIN BRION	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0xa7bbf8…
08-16 10:58:57	dota2 lgd ty 2026 08 16	Team Yandex	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x6aa3a0…
08-16 09:25:24	lol t1 gen 2026 08 16 game2	T1	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xa58213…
08-16 08:46:27	lol t1 gen 2026 08 16 game1	T1	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xd57bb3…
08-16 06:17:57	dota2 ts8 tr7 2026 08 16 game2	Team Resilience	BUY	5	55¢	$2	0xa8074f…
08-15 20:53:07	atp djokovi tirante 2026 08 15	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0xb120ec…
08-15 15:40:22	dota2 ngx ts8 2026 08 15 game2	Team Spirit	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x7dea12…
08-15 14:34:31	dota2 liquid aur1 2026 08 15	Team Liquid	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x09de5c…
08-15 12:26:27	lol fox1 dnf 2026 08 15 game2	BNK FEARX	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x6704db…
08-15 09:25:25	dota2 ironwi liquid 2026 08 15	Iron Wing	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x5d2a83…
08-15 09:08:51	dota2 ironwi liquid 2026 08 15	Team Liquid	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x6916f1…
08-15 07:30:31	dota2 ngx vg 2026 08 15 game2	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x205dba…
08-15 07:00:10	dota2 ironwi liquid 2026 08 15 game1	Iron Wing	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x163ed2…
08-15 05:59:58	dota2 lgd xtreme 2026 08 14	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x5f114c…
08-14 21:31:54	atp borges kokkina 2026 08 13	Nuno Borges	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xb1c533…
08-14 19:00:52	lol gx vit 2026 08 14	GIANTX	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x8843a3…
08-14 16:31:03	lol shft sk 2026 08 14 game2	SK Gaming	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x963e96…
08-14 15:38:13	cs2 fut mouz 2026 08 14	MOUZ	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xbd16ac…
08-14 13:45:04	lol al jdg 2026 08 14	Anyone's Legend	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5085a6…
08-14 13:12:28	dota2 aur1 ty 2026 08 14	Team Yandex	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa71157…
08-14 12:03:49	dota2 aur1 ty 2026 08 14 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xa34bd3…
08-14 10:31:54	dota2 liquid ts8 2026 08 14	Team Liquid	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x796506…
08-14 10:22:55	lol t1 dk 2026 08 14	Dplus KIA	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7e6c1f…
08-14 09:40:06	lol t1 dk 2026 08 14 game2	T1	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x8bd101…
08-14 09:35:04	lol t1 dk 2026 08 14 game2	Dplus KIA	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x16282c…
08-14 02:58:45	dota2 ts8 aur1 2026 08 13 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x02b028…
08-13 14:29:15	dota2 vsn2 flc 2026 08 13	TEAM VISION	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd69ce5…
08-13 13:40:27	dota2 vsn2 flc 2026 08 13	Team Falcons	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x8872aa…
08-13 12:34:33	lol gen hle1 2026 08 13 game2	Gen.G	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x889d31…
08-13 11:26:55	lol gen hle1 2026 08 13 game1	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xd24947…
08-13 07:17:43	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game1	GamerLegion	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe6bdc8…
08-12 17:23:52	cs2 vit 100t 2026 08 12	Vitality	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x2f1f64…