Actual-Design — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$151

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

352

Trades

681

lifetime

Volume

$2.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 10-30 01:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 31% -$151

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	21	$47	55	45	+10	Down	+$4	10-04 12:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:10 UTC	23	$36	50	25	+25	Down	-$7	10-04 12:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:00 UTC	12	$35	35	18	+17	Up	+$0	10-04 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8AM ET	10	$32	25	25	+0	Down	+$2	09-01 12:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:40 UTC	2	$26	21	21	+0	Down	+$4	08-31 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:45 UTC	12	$26	30	20	+10	Down	-$3	10-05 02:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:55 UTC	2	$26	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	08-31 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:05 UTC	2	$25	22	21	+0	Up	+$3	08-31 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:15 UTC	2	$24	20	20	+0	Down	-$1	08-31 15:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:20 UTC	2	$22	22	21	+0	Down	-$1	08-31 17:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:25 UTC	2	$22	20	20	+0	Up	-$3	08-31 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:15 UTC	2	$22	21	21	+0	Up	$0	08-31 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:00 UTC	2	$21	21	21	+0	Up	-$2	08-31 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$19	15	15	+0	Up	+$9	10-29 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:05 UTC	2	$19	37	0	+37	Down	-$3	08-31 16:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:45 UTC	2	$19	38	0	+38	Down	+$2	08-31 17:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:50 UTC	2	$19	38	0	+38	Down	+$2	08-31 15:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:35 UTC	2	$19	37	0	+37	Down	-$3	08-31 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	5	$19	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	10-08 00:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:50 UTC	2	$19	37	0	+37	Down	-$2	08-31 14:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:05 UTC	2	$19	37	0	+37	Up	+$2	08-31 15:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:55 UTC	2	$19	36	0	+36	Up	+$1	08-31 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9AM ET	5	$18	15	10	+5	Up	-$1	09-01 13:43
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$17	15	15	+0	Up	+$13	10-27 13:34
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$7	10-29 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:05 UTC	3	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	10-04 12:08
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	10-29 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	6	$15	20	10	+10	Up	+$0	10-07 15:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:00 UTC	2	$15	17	17	+0	Up	+$0	08-31 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	6	$15	20	10	+10	Down	+$0	10-07 14:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 01:58:33	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd61734…
10-29 17:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x6d48a8…
10-29 17:04:23	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe88154…
10-29 17:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf6c32d…
10-29 17:03:50	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe7fcd1…
10-29 16:29:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x327d06…
10-29 14:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xe3bd6a…
10-29 14:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3ed884…
10-29 14:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x6a94aa…
10-29 14:04:59	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x1bb668…
10-29 14:04:31	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2a03c9…
10-29 13:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x61c084…
10-29 13:23:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa1fa24…
10-29 13:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x8fc08f…
10-29 13:13:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x58e456…
10-29 12:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0xbf6030…
10-29 12:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc4bb8d…
10-29 12:54:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7975f6…
10-29 12:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x369d1b…
10-29 12:54:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfd49dc…
10-29 12:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe9557c…
10-29 12:48:35	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2cb4af…
10-29 12:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x97db7e…
10-29 12:33:22	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x539c2c…
10-29 12:29:10	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0x69133c…
10-29 12:28:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xcf2dea…
10-29 12:28:10	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x72acd4…
10-29 11:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xb53bd1…
10-29 11:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4455c8…
10-29 11:33:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x83fd5f…
10-29 10:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x1769c7…
10-29 10:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd0e74b…
10-29 09:38:50	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x9cbec3…
10-29 08:48:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb65f4c…
10-29 07:53:41	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7f75bc…
10-29 07:44:35	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x91c88e…
10-29 07:43:44	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3b3d75…
10-29 07:39:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x6e4aeb…
10-29 07:38:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x054040…
10-29 07:04:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0xa2c518…
10-29 07:03:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x271f17…
10-29 06:59:37	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xe87359…
10-29 06:58:26	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc8f3a1…
10-29 06:43:55	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xe1166f…
10-29 06:43:14	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb8adbf…
10-29 06:04:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0xf0d538…
10-29 06:04:23	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xec8d70…
10-29 06:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd25195…
10-29 04:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8b6994…
10-29 02:23:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x6cad85…
10-29 01:08:43	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xbe7e97…
10-29 01:07:28	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x32ecd6…
10-29 00:22:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5717df…
10-28 20:49:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x519d5a…
10-28 20:39:20	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x2559a4…
10-28 20:24:01	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x27d22e…
10-28 20:22:29	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3c6987…
10-28 19:29:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x22121a…
10-28 19:28:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa4d0cc…
10-28 19:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8dd25a…
10-28 19:04:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd4db83…
10-28 19:03:34	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9d5129…
10-28 18:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x939345…
10-28 18:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0c7764…
10-28 18:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xffead9…
10-28 17:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x3bd354…
10-28 14:58:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x45604c…
10-28 13:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xceaa94…
10-28 13:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x970e53…
10-28 12:23:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa9d27d…
10-28 12:19:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd8021b…
10-28 08:03:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3c9c3c…
10-28 06:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb0f076…
10-28 00:47:26	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa37cd2…
10-27 23:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2124a5…
10-27 23:08:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x4fabe0…
10-27 20:58:50	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf0e4db…
10-27 17:18:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x1020dd…
10-27 13:48:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x12acea…
10-27 13:34:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x5ba446…
10-27 13:34:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xe2b79b…
10-27 13:24:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xa71ba6…
10-27 13:24:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x37153d…
10-27 05:34:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x3df9e2…
10-27 04:03:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4c9072…
10-27 02:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1b47b0…
10-27 01:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc22666…
10-27 00:19:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xdc3378…
10-27 00:18:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x376e3c…
10-26 20:49:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x5eea9c…
10-26 20:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x3fc8d8…
10-26 20:24:41	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x14f970…
10-26 20:24:08	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x66cdee…
10-26 19:59:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x639b95…
10-26 19:58:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9cb486…
10-26 19:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe8350f…
10-26 18:04:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x26978f…
10-26 16:48:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x2a6607…
10-26 16:09:21	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x9996da…
10-26 16:09:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x6cf429…