Judicious-Snake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.5%

Resolved

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$1.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 05-22 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 69% +$29

Other

5% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	8	$193	131	131	+0	open	—	05-22 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	7	$106	65	65	+0	open	—	05-21 07:00
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$95	97	68	+30	open	—	05-22 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	6	$93	65	65	+0	Up	+$11	05-12 12:00
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$92	54	54	+0	open	—	05-22 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$81	104	104	+0	open	—	05-22 11:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	3	$66	37	37	+0	open	—	05-21 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3	$62	33	33	+0	open	—	05-22 10:00
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$62	38	38	+0	Down	+$14	05-12 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$53	43	43	+0	open	—	05-22 10:45
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	5	$48	645	645	+0	open	—	05-11 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	6	$40	32	32	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	3	$40	54	0	+54	open	—	05-22 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	3	$35	24	24	+0	open	—	05-21 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$33	35	35	+0	Up	$-7	05-12 12:06
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$31	19	19	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 09:50
btc updown 5m 1776192900	3	$30	39	20	+19	open	—	04-14 18:58
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$30	52	0	+52	open	—	05-21 14:49
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$27	22	22	+0	open	—	05-21 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$26	16	16	+0	Down	+$6	05-12 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$24	26	26	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$24	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$23	14	14	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 09:40
btc updown 5m 1774525500	4	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	03-26 11:50
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	04-13 18:25
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	05-22 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$20	22	22	+0	Down	$-11	05-11 15:18
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$20	9	15	-6	Up	+$4	05-12 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 10:50
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 11:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 11:35:26	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x918cb4…
05-22 11:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	104	26¢	$27	0xa9b4f3…
05-22 11:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x82bf70…
05-22 11:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xea90b9…
05-22 11:29:53	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x3471e5…
05-22 11:28:57	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xd0a066…
05-22 10:49:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	68	42¢	$28	0x4fef4d…
05-22 10:49:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	97	69¢	$67	0x144bad…
05-22 10:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	88	95¢	$83	0x31326e…
05-22 10:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0ca984…
05-22 10:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	81	83¢	$67	0x26e423…
05-22 10:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	34	23¢	$8	0x19faa9…
05-22 10:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x0c04cc…
05-22 10:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xcec98a…
05-22 10:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x4ef0c3…
05-22 10:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd82bc6…
05-22 10:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0x644562…
05-22 10:44:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe5c716…
05-22 10:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x458c8e…
05-22 10:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	26	42¢	$11	0xa00e38…
05-22 10:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x62378e…
05-22 10:03:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x88db48…
05-22 10:03:05	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xf7f20d…
05-22 10:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0xfaa924…
05-22 10:01:48	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x520fc0…
05-22 10:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x4068b4…
05-22 10:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0xac3e23…
05-22 09:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x9ebf12…
05-22 09:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x1b12d2…
05-22 08:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xfb1f41…
05-22 08:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x99f05f…
05-22 08:12:40	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x931a3f…
05-22 08:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x3807aa…
05-21 14:49:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xd4b070…
05-21 14:49:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xadc32c…
05-21 14:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x90a93e…
05-21 14:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf2ae73…
05-21 14:44:58	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xf5f00c…
05-21 14:44:46	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x16072f…
05-21 14:44:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x009765…
05-21 14:43:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xe1663b…
05-21 14:43:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x158a17…
05-21 14:43:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	22	58¢	$12	0x694fab…
05-21 14:42:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x957596…
05-21 07:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	24	94¢	$22	0xd46ac1…
05-21 07:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7c6c3f…
05-21 07:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x512f71…
05-21 07:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x8607c6…
05-21 06:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x9a53ce…
05-21 06:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	33	86¢	$29	0x991806…
05-21 06:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x7eb4ad…
05-21 06:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x6e667a…
05-21 06:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	67¢	$9	0x41dd5e…
05-21 06:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x91a2f5…
05-14 10:50:59	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	882	0¢	$4	0x70dedb…
05-14 10:22:35	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0x3e66c2…
05-14 10:22:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0x08f15d…
05-12 12:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	35	38¢	$13	0x1e5270…
05-12 12:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x3ad9ca…
05-12 12:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x3557a5…
05-12 12:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x37572d…
05-12 12:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x83e042…
05-12 12:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	49	99¢	$48	0x7aa5b0…
05-12 11:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x7ce002…
05-12 11:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0xfae86f…
05-12 11:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x0fe00b…
05-12 11:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17	24¢	$4	0xa396e5…
05-12 11:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x43c094…
05-12 10:00:09	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x46ea2f…
05-12 09:58:47	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x272c84…
05-12 09:55:15	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x910ff9…
05-12 09:54:33	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xc6e615…
05-12 09:54:19	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0x1de1b5…
05-12 09:50:23	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xfedad4…
05-12 09:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x37a219…
05-12 09:47:01	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0xcaa9f1…
05-12 09:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe319e1…
05-12 09:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x9bd174…
05-12 09:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd38c83…
05-12 09:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x56977e…
05-12 09:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x7d1c4b…
05-12 09:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd295c4…
05-12 09:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x67024a…
05-12 09:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xe8bae0…
05-12 09:38:22	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xdd2490…
05-12 09:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x7f9411…
05-12 09:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xba36d8…
05-12 09:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xff23b0…
05-12 09:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb56769…
05-12 09:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x32a7f6…
05-12 09:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x476047…
05-12 08:49:29	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x12fef6…
05-12 08:49:16	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x3fc323…
05-12 06:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf349da…
05-12 06:45:14	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x651eb9…
05-12 06:43:36	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe88c4e…
05-12 06:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xef7972…
05-12 06:40:14	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x5184f9…
05-12 06:37:28	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd854f8…
05-12 06:36:20	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc2773c…