Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$77

Unrealized P&L

-$64

Hit rate

43.9%

Resolved

386

Trades

1,200

lifetime

Volume

$5.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$313

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 07-18 06:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

84% 82% +$121

Pop-Culture

10% 63% -$15

Politics

3% 89% -$14

Crypto

3% 62% -$24

Tech

0% 100% +$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	-195	-$129	88¢	$-173	-$44	07-07 18:22
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	-60	-$49	95¢	$-57	-$8	06-14 16:59
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	-60	-$20	81¢	$-49	-$29	07-02 19:41
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	-181	-$28	11¢	$-20	+$8	06-30 12:13
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	-44	-$8	28¢	$-12	-$5	06-17 20:31
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	-60	-$11	3¢	$-2	+$10	05-30 00:53
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	-59	-$3	1¢	$-1	+$3	06-20 11:31
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	-60	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	06-25 21:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?	10	$153	197	-197	Yes	-$45	05-31 08:45
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	11	$133	180	-180	Yes	-$47	05-31 13:05
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	4	$129	195	-195	open	—	07-07 18:22
Will "Iceman - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 13?	3	$108	120	-120	Yes	-$12	06-02 19:44
Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?	4	$101	120	-120	Yes	-$19	07-11 18:35
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	3	$88	120	-120	Yes	-$32	05-26 12:00
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	3	$84	120	-120	Yes	-$36	05-30 14:01
Will Olivia Rodrigo have 4 songs in Billboard top 10 for week of June 27?	5	$67	120	-120	Yes	-$53	06-23 00:29
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	1	$64	91	-91	Yes	-$27	07-17 12:50
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	3	$63	117	-117	Yes	-$54	06-27 17:54
Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?	1	$59	60	-60	Yes	-$1	07-01 02:03
Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	2	$56	60	-60	Yes	-$4	06-20 20:54
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 18?	1	$54	60	-60	Yes	-$6	07-03 21:08
Will "Little Brother" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	1	$53	60	-60	Yes	-$7	06-27 17:06
Will "Nemesis" be the top global Netflix show this week?	5	$53	57	-57	Yes	-$4	05-23 07:10
Will Olivia Rodrigo have 5 songs in Billboard top 10 for week of June 27?	4	$53	60	-60	No	+$53	06-17 22:27
Will "Future - The Real Me" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	1	$53	60	-60	Yes	-$7	07-11 19:57
Will Paulette Tejada win Chopped Castaways Season 1?	2	$52	60	-60	Yes	-$8	06-30 03:14
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	9	$51	93	-93	Yes	-$42	05-26 02:27
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	2	$51	60	-60	Yes	-$9	07-11 19:09
Will "Little Brother" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	1	$51	60	-60	No	+$51	07-01 16:36
Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	1	$50	60	-60	Yes	-$10	06-14 15:20
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	5	$50	60	-60	No	+$50	06-06 19:58
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	1	$49	60	-60	open	—	06-14 16:59
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?	10	$49	52	-52	Yes	-$3	06-04 09:47
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 25?	1	$49	60	-60	Yes	-$11	07-11 19:11
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	7	$48	180	-180	No	+$48	06-23 16:58
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	7	$47	70	-70	Yes	-$23	06-02 14:29
Will "Office Romance" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	1	$46	60	-60	Yes	-$14	06-05 19:36
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	6	$46	60	-60	Yes	-$14	05-23 16:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 06:52:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	13¢	$8	0xa63905…
07-17 21:23:46	Will "The Real Me" - Future first week album sales be between 125k and 150k?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfaffb8…
07-17 20:29:49	Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$3	0xb67708…
07-17 18:38:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x1a31e8…
07-17 17:26:25	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	18¢	$16	0x1a5d5a…
07-17 12:50:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	70¢	$64	0x9bfc51…
07-16 21:34:05	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x0a2ad6…
07-16 20:36:26	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	54¢	$12	0x7fabeb…
07-16 19:02:50	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xcaa2f7…
07-16 09:15:50	Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?	Yes	SELL	44	75¢	$33	0xe97070…
07-16 00:58:19	Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x92920b…
07-16 00:58:13	Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xb53430…
07-15 22:10:58	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x7c9135…
07-15 21:53:17	Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	15¢	$6	0x618aba…
07-15 18:50:58	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xa78fdf…
07-15 18:36:37	Will Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	36	17¢	$6	0xb93108…
07-15 15:55:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	7¢	$3	0xe04562…
07-15 15:24:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	21¢	$6	0xb12b9e…
07-15 14:16:59	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	26	38¢	$10	0xa037e7…
07-15 09:49:02	Will Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x6b4d4b…
07-15 09:32:37	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0xc7df3a…
07-15 03:28:46	Will Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	37	40¢	$15	0x73a001…
07-15 00:32:08	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xcd8502…
07-15 00:27:44	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	5¢	$3	0x2fa8c6…
07-14 20:40:19	Will Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0x42ee73…
07-14 20:22:37	Will Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0xc36e36…
07-14 16:47:44	Will Jack Lowden – “Slow Horses” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xfd4bb7…
07-14 16:39:53	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	73¢	$25	0xbb0d6b…
07-14 13:59:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	18¢	$8	0xf1dd56…
07-14 05:45:22	Will Carlos-Manuel Vesga – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x6ac732…
07-14 00:50:52	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x418f4b…
07-13 21:18:52	Will Laurie Metcalf – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0xb510ed…
07-13 20:46:58	Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0xaafa05…
07-13 19:57:37	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xdd9073…
07-13 19:07:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x882304…
07-13 18:16:40	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xd183ec…
07-13 17:08:41	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x55596e…
07-13 06:55:04	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	45¢	$9	0xe2098d…
07-13 03:47:17	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0xa7531c…
07-13 03:47:07	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xdb4ffc…
07-13 03:33:29	Will Cherry Jones – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xf1c372…
07-13 02:37:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	22¢	$8	0x7bd08e…
07-13 01:47:01	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xfccb8f…
07-13 01:41:35	Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x1cab70…
07-13 00:31:43	Will Bryce Dettloff win Love Island USA Season 8?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x8ab22e…
07-12 21:40:53	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x6bf585…
07-12 18:41:10	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	8¢	$2	0xeff77b…
07-12 17:29:16	Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x614f82…
07-12 16:20:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	31¢	$9	0x02f0b5…
07-12 13:36:37	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0xc2f3f8…
07-12 13:36:29	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x338573…
07-12 12:31:11	Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x7c57f4…
07-12 12:31:01	Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xd86a03…
07-12 11:44:07	Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x3711b6…
07-12 11:42:32	Will Cherry Jones – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0xf8c296…
07-12 11:42:01	Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0xfe0267…
07-12 11:34:55	Will Zendaya – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0x8e860f…
07-12 11:24:38	Will Laurie Metcalf – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0x992d3c…
07-12 11:24:05	Will Leslie Bibb – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x56ada2…
07-12 10:48:32	Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0xbc57c2…
07-12 09:56:31	Will Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	42	10¢	$4	0xc92959…
07-12 09:37:43	Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0x13a4fd…
07-12 09:31:08	Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x93d9dd…
07-12 09:31:08	Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	16	28¢	$5	0x037fd9…
07-12 08:54:07	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x16599d…
07-12 05:11:20	Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x7435c7…
07-12 04:40:26	Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x363ff6…
07-12 04:39:59	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x38a445…
07-12 04:19:32	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0x214b75…
07-12 02:57:25	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x318e82…
07-12 00:39:53	Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0xba6a4e…
07-12 00:23:53	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x3a4706…
07-12 00:23:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	14¢	$11	0xfdbcea…
07-11 22:55:19	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xc1a088…
07-11 22:55:19	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x180431…
07-11 20:46:58	Will "MORNING DEW (DONK) - Beyonce" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xbf059b…
07-11 20:45:58	Will "GOLDEN HOUR: Part.5 - ATEEZ" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	Yes	SELL	41	22¢	$9	0xce9573…
07-11 20:17:17	Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xa56d4c…
07-11 20:11:38	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xf8d77b…
07-11 20:02:47	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	24¢	$8	0x398849…
07-11 19:57:32	Will "Future - The Real Me" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	Yes	SELL	60	88¢	$53	0x192d46…
07-11 19:50:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xaea2a7…
07-11 19:31:55	Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	34	46¢	$15	0x101ba5…
07-11 19:11:11	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 25?	Yes	SELL	60	81¢	$49	0x512bb3…
07-11 19:09:55	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0xcc958f…
07-11 19:09:55	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	46	85¢	$40	0x322d68…
07-11 18:51:35	Will Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x4e57d4…
07-11 18:35:55	Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?	Yes	SELL	25	92¢	$23	0x306803…
07-11 17:26:59	Will Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xe51faa…
07-11 17:26:58	Will Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xea3f2b…
07-11 17:26:56	Will Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xc3cbfb…
07-11 16:47:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	49¢	$23	0x5a306e…
07-11 16:01:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xa32c83…
07-11 15:16:34	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xce6f5b…
07-11 15:16:32	Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	29¢	$5	0x1a41e8…
07-11 14:50:19	Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0xae788b…
07-11 13:18:55	Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?	Yes	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x75ceae…
07-11 11:41:53	Will Melanie Moreno win Love Island USA Season 8?	Yes	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0xab91d7…
07-11 11:21:40	Will Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	Yes	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0xd6d2bc…
07-11 10:08:19	Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	10¢	$3	0xa29ebb…