United-Jute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.32K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

11.6%

Resolved

1,269

Trades

3,658

lifetime

Volume

$23.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$65

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-27 16:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

52% 17% -$821

Crypto

29% 47% -$241

Politics

11% 14% -$113

Tech

5% 33% -$80

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$50

Sports

1% 17% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+25	$18	97¢	$25	+$7	06-01 10:30
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	-20	-$6	98¢	$-20	-$14	05-19 23:26
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	No	-20	-$8	97¢	$-19	-$12	05-21 07:28
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+25	$8	3¢	$1	-$8	06-01 09:42
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	-20	-$11	3¢	$-1	+$11	05-21 09:21
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	-20	-$15	2¢	$-0	+$14	05-19 23:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	254	$1.9K	1,842	1,842	+0	Up	-$31	05-09 11:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	192	$1.7K	1,304	1,313	-9	Yes	-$17	05-09 09:06
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	36	$693	714	714	+0	Yes	-$7	05-13 15:52
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	55	$639	723	723	+0	Yes	-$24	05-12 15:28
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	55	$582	499	697	-198	No	-$42	05-25 14:26
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	53	$548	979	1,069	-90	Yes	-$50	05-20 18:48
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	36	$493	545	545	+0	No	-$14	05-10 11:48
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	44	$472	528	528	+0	Yes	-$16	05-11 19:14
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	10	$404	401	401	+0	No	-$3	05-12 22:34
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	52	$389	208	258	-50	Yes	-$11	05-03 08:42
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	46	$342	405	285	+121	No	-$30	06-30 09:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	21	$334	241	241	+0	Yes	+$1	05-03 22:30
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?	36	$325	342	342	+0	Yes	-$10	05-09 20:57
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	7	$324	362	362	+0	No	-$6	05-12 21:02
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	28	$315	316	373	-56	Yes	-$10	05-31 01:25
israel closes its airspace by june 9	23	$315	325	252	+73	No	-$4	06-08 07:35
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.1B and $2.7B at market close on IPO day?	36	$301	349	284	+65	Yes	-$23	06-30 15:57
Will Trump announce Aaron Lukas as the next Director of National Intelligence?	23	$297	290	290	+0	No	-$24	05-23 03:15
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	24	$282	300	311	-11	Manziel	-$13	05-24 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?	22	$258	243	238	+5	No	-$15	05-10 02:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	39	$251	304	304	+0	Yes	-$1	05-09 14:57
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 10?	24	$249	398	398	+0	No	-$18	05-10 11:48
will spy dip to 740 by june 15 2026	11	$228	180	256	-75	Yes	-$10	06-17 16:12
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	11	$216	219	229	-10	Yes	-$14	06-01 14:36
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?	20	$215	295	188	+107	Yes	-$15	06-08 22:41
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?	26	$204	255	149	+106	No	-$2	06-08 22:48
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?	37	$200	205	205	+0	No	-$8	05-10 11:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	2	$199	145	145	+0	Yes	-$1	05-02 20:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	15	$185	145	145	+0	Yes	-$2	05-03 22:30
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	8	$183	129	129	+0	No	+$0	05-16 12:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 16:39:41	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	36¢	$14	0x820899…
10-27 16:32:42	Will ExxonMobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	51	21¢	$11	0xaf3253…
10-27 16:03:24	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xbbd5b2…
10-27 16:03:24	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xbbd5b2…
10-27 15:31:29	Will ExxonMobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x1a2b89…
10-27 15:31:29	Will ExxonMobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0x1a2b89…
10-27 15:28:36	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	36¢	$14	0xaf988f…
10-27 14:43:18	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x835364…
10-27 14:43:18	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x835364…
10-27 13:24:18	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xf7550c…
10-27 13:19:39	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xf296ea…
10-27 13:18:29	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x9348a1…
10-27 13:18:29	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x4c6ed0…
10-27 13:18:29	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x4c6ed0…
10-26 12:55:50	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0xd96cf6…
10-26 12:52:30	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb41a9c…
10-26 12:52:30	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xb41a9c…
10-26 09:32:35	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	40¢	$18	0x039baf…
10-26 08:00:03	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xbaa2b1…
10-26 07:45:33	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x9214b4…
10-26 07:40:21	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0xdba41c…
10-26 07:37:24	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0x2520fc…
10-26 07:37:24	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x19c0e7…
10-26 07:37:24	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x19c0e7…
10-26 07:36:06	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xf3a7c5…
10-26 07:33:17	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5f2703…
10-26 07:32:38	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xb3d982…
10-26 07:32:38	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xb3d982…
10-26 04:22:11	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	Yes	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0xc95927…
10-26 04:14:18	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x9a1063…
10-26 04:14:17	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	No	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0xd8e4b7…
10-26 04:14:17	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	Yes	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0xd8e4b7…
10-26 04:14:17	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	No	SELL	19	62¢	$12	0x3b13db…
10-26 01:09:05	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	32	36¢	$12	0x6ced61…
10-26 01:07:03	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	18	37¢	$7	0xd29639…
10-26 01:03:45	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xb20b9e…
10-26 01:00:38	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xca1a1c…
10-26 01:00:38	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xca1a1c…
10-25 23:25:18	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	19	35¢	$7	0xcdce4b…
10-25 23:02:21	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xe5919a…
10-25 22:47:12	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	No	SELL	1	62¢	$0	0xb6e960…
10-25 22:47:12	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0xb6e960…
10-25 22:47:12	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x121b86…
10-25 22:33:23	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc3b91f…
10-25 22:33:09	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x6f7b96…
10-25 21:56:17	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xd8e2e8…
10-25 21:41:41	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xfe235d…
10-25 21:41:39	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	30¢	$7	0x67ee77…
10-25 21:41:21	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6aee40…
10-25 21:41:20	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x669b83…
10-25 21:36:50	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0x8fc1ad…
10-25 20:34:17	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x83f5c7…
10-25 20:33:57	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x96f566…
10-25 20:30:26	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xd926e2…
10-25 20:22:29	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x41a330…
10-25 20:22:29	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x41a330…
07-31 19:33:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x74db8e…
07-31 19:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x51b36b…
07-31 19:25:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x57bcb3…
07-31 18:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x69c104…
07-31 17:40:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa6f83c…
07-31 16:50:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe7038e…
07-31 16:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xce1ab2…
07-31 15:45:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd9c428…
07-31 15:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4498f9…
07-31 15:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd8b422…
07-31 14:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9a8bfd…
07-31 14:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7ccf3f…
07-31 14:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3a5c24…
07-31 14:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb33714…
07-31 14:05:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x253944…
07-31 14:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9580eb…
07-31 13:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa3a4c4…
07-31 13:45:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf198c6…
07-31 13:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc37480…
07-31 13:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1610c3…
07-31 12:40:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfd6ba1…
07-31 12:25:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x720b0a…
07-31 11:45:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x023ca8…
07-31 11:40:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x054273…
07-31 11:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x31e17a…
07-31 10:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf93ad0…
07-31 10:30:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd0a007…
07-31 10:25:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc3c999…
07-31 10:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9ba21a…
07-31 09:55:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x82718b…
07-31 09:45:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x92ee6a…
07-31 09:40:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x41aa8c…
07-31 09:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc2282f…
07-31 08:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc79308…
07-31 07:35:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1bb8f5…
07-31 07:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8d677f…
07-31 07:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa4ca08…
07-31 05:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe2cf25…
07-31 05:00:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf75500…
07-31 04:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x271565…
07-31 04:25:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4c713a…
07-31 02:30:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc3c2a5…
07-31 01:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5aa7a7…
07-31 01:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbcd9b1…