Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

282

Trades

333

lifetime

Volume

$497

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-21

last 10-27 10:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

62% 50% +$10

Sports

14% 40% -$5

Crypto

14% 38% -$17

Politics

9% 55% -$2

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$3

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No		+2	$1	90¢	$2	+$0	10-26 03:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Giants vs. Rams	7	$24	37	37	+0	Rams	-$2	09-22 01:29
Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 44.5	1	$22	24	0	+24	Under	+$2	09-20 23:10
Colts vs. Chiefs	9	$17	21	16	+5	Chiefs	+$2	09-21 04:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 00:50 UTC	1	$11	24	0	+24	Up	-$11	08-29 00:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 00:45 UTC	2	$11	29	0	+29	Down	+$4	08-29 00:48
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 14?	3	$9	8	8	+0	Yes	+$6	10-14 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 24?	3	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$3	10-24 15:21
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	10-02 23:50
Will "Primetime" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$6	99	99	+0	Yes	+$4	09-22 11:41
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 26?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	10-26 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	10-26 07:20
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	10-02 23:50
Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$2	10-26 06:45
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	10-01 22:42
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?	3	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	09-23 16:32
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	2	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	09-26 07:53
Commanders vs. Cowboys	2	$3	20	0	+20	Cowboys	-$3	09-20 22:27
Seahawks vs. Cardinals	2	$3	15	0	+15	Seahawks	-$3	09-20 22:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 01:00 UTC	1	$3	30	0	+30	Down	-$3	08-29 01:03
Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Best Direction at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	4	$3	35	35	+0	No	+$2	09-26 07:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:10 UTC	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	07-23 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:00 UTC	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	07-23 01:00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 22?	2	$3	6	5	+1	No	+$1	10-21 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 18:40 UTC	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	-$3	07-22 18:40
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 02:35 UTC	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	-$3	07-23 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 14:35 UTC	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	-$3	07-23 14:35
Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	1	$3	6	0	+6	No	-$3	09-21 19:53
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 22?	2	$3	4	3	+1	Yes	+$1	10-21 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	07-23 02:20
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 14:55 UTC	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	-$3	07-23 14:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x37712a…
10-27 08:10:30	Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xbf12c6…
10-27 08:09:21	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x3475aa…
10-27 05:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5367b5…
10-27 04:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1f6f7f…
10-26 17:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5ea9d9…
10-26 14:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xdf653f…
10-26 13:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbb4051…
10-26 10:25:29	Will Robinhood say "Bitcoin" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x87b852…
10-26 07:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfe4eed…
10-26 07:23:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x238519…
10-26 07:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x5263fe…
10-26 07:20:17	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xc6176c…
10-26 07:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2d011c…
10-26 06:45:05	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x45ff6b…
10-26 05:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7c1847…
10-26 05:39:06	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xff3583…
10-26 05:09:35	Will Trump say "Moon" this week?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x035bee…
10-26 04:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x00bcfd…
10-26 04:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6ac422…
10-26 03:25:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xb28f39…
10-26 03:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C or below on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x4f362c…
10-26 01:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcea08d…
10-26 01:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa8c547…
10-25 21:06:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 26?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x26c5ba…
10-25 19:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 26?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xad0a22…
10-25 18:27:56	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6f6ded…
10-25 18:23:48	Will Verizon say "AI" / "Artificial Intelligence" 15+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3c9a48…
10-25 17:39:26	Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xddd2cd…
10-25 16:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 26?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xfde33f…
10-25 16:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 26?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6cdf79…
10-25 15:52:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb83ca0…
10-25 15:19:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x162310…
10-25 14:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xac625c…
10-25 09:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1dce83…
10-25 07:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 25?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf1531a…
10-25 06:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 25?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x731216…
10-25 05:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xec5b8c…
10-25 02:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x7760e1…
10-25 01:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9c918b…
10-25 00:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8ef0aa…
10-25 00:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x906882…
10-24 22:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x677d6b…
10-24 17:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 24?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x4411f0…
10-24 17:18:45	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8f6393…
10-24 17:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x711908…
10-24 16:50:11	Will Trump say "Border" 22+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8252f8…
10-24 15:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xfca52f…
10-24 15:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb4a3b3…
10-24 13:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x883f33…
10-24 13:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xfefeb8…
10-24 13:09:44	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x282c91…
10-24 12:30:27	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2cca4f…
10-24 11:39:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3bc603…
10-24 10:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x67e9f0…
10-24 10:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4cdca1…
10-24 10:29:59	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb706ac…
10-24 10:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x832f2b…
10-24 09:53:59	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbdae9e…
10-24 07:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x12fd29…
10-24 07:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xd36553…
10-24 07:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9515e0…
10-24 06:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 24?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x79d391…
10-24 06:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x7b25df…
10-24 03:08:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1ed545…
10-24 02:54:09	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x6f17df…
10-24 02:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8cdb83…
10-24 01:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd9630c…
10-24 00:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc0ed28…
10-24 00:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4d71d7…
10-24 00:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x475876…
10-24 00:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf67af6…
10-23 23:34:53	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $19.5M?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6b631f…
10-23 22:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb651dd…
10-23 19:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x131f30…
10-23 18:54:57	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe5990a…
10-23 18:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4a1a30…
10-23 17:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 24?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x08243a…
10-23 16:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5456d9…
10-23 14:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd7d909…
10-23 13:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x091a96…
10-23 11:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa8b112…
10-23 07:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf3097f…
10-23 07:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa3a5a1…
10-23 05:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4c6837…
10-23 04:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1d629f…
10-23 02:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd856b7…
10-23 00:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x21f184…
10-22 23:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xab02eb…
10-22 21:30:29	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8809f9…
10-22 15:57:18	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc9cae4…
10-22 13:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 22?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x1b78a7…
10-22 10:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4c4b45…
10-22 06:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf8bf21…
10-22 04:36:08	Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x35b4be…
10-22 04:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc76c08…
10-22 01:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0ca301…
10-21 20:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x83b200…
10-21 20:43:38	Will Meta say "Dividend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x79defb…
10-21 20:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 21?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x44a233…