Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$34

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$779

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-21

last 10-26 20:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

48% 69% +$8

Politics

40% 0% -$4

Tech

7% 100% +$2

Crypto

5% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+100	$44	10¢	$10	-$34	10-23 00:51
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+2	$1	38¢	$1	$0	10-23 12:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$304	200	200	+0	open	—	10-23 12:15
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	2	$48	100	0	+100	Yes	+$2	10-23 13:25
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	2	$44	100	0	+100	open	—	10-23 00:51
Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 11.5% to 12.5%?	3	$42	60	0	+60	open	—	10-25 02:55
Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	5	$41	79	0	+79	No	-$2	10-24 11:30
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	3	$32	60	0	+60	open	—	10-24 15:45
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	3	$31	60	0	+60	open	—	10-24 12:58
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	10-23 15:23
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	10-25 14:30
Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	10-24 00:11
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5	2	$10	17	0	+17	Over	+$7	10-25 14:39
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	2	$8	20	0	+20	Yes	-$8	10-24 15:59
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	1	$7	20	0	+20	Yes	-$7	10-24 06:48
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	1	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	10-24 14:16
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	1	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	10-23 16:05
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	1	$6	20	0	+20	open	—	10-26 05:20
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	10-23 18:47
Pendikspor vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5	1	$5	8	0	+8	Over	+$3	10-25 11:59
Motherwell FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5	1	$5	9	0	+9	Under	-$5	10-25 14:44
Club Brugge vs. St. Truidense VV: O/U 2.5	1	$5	9	0	+9	Over	-$5	10-25 15:39
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Wisla Plock: O/U 1.5	1	$5	9	0	+9	Under	-$5	10-25 14:21
HJK Helsinki vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 1.5	1	$5	9	0	+9	Over	+$4	10-25 13:38
Palermo FC vs. Carrarese Calcio: O/U 2.5	1	$5	9	0	+9	Over	+$4	10-25 14:47
AVS Futebol SAD vs. CD Tondela: O/U 2.5	1	$5	8	0	+8	Over	+$3	10-25 11:50
Rasisalai United vs. Ayutthaya United FC: O/U 2.5	1	$5	8	0	+8	Over	+$3	10-25 11:33
Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5	1	$5	9	0	+9	Under	+$4	10-25 12:03
Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	10-23 14:29
Albirex Niigata vs. Sagan Tosu: O/U 4.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$0	10-21 10:09
Bali United vs. Garuda Yaksa: O/U 5.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$1	10-21 08:34
RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Kataller Toyama: O/U 5.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$1	10-21 10:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:21:45	Walsall FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x51dfe1…
10-26 05:20:53	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x14af36…
10-26 02:49:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x168b60…
10-25 23:57:41	Sportivo San Lorenzo vs. Cerro Porteno: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0xb39a1a…
10-25 23:46:56	CD Universidad de Concepción vs. CD Limache: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xb10ee9…
10-25 23:01:08	CA River Plate vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x371167…
10-25 21:49:02	Alianza FC vs. Internacional de Bogotá: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf908ac…
10-25 21:11:38	Sporting CP vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x773dba…
10-25 20:36:24	CA Independiente vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2a70b6…
10-25 18:36:54	Tlaxcala FC vs. CF Correcaminos UAT: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x188595…
10-25 18:36:05	FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Pardubice: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x8a3f27…
10-25 18:12:44	CD Castellón vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x515ea9…
10-25 16:18:44	Moss FK vs. Aasane Fotball: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf48b17…
10-25 16:18:29	Lillestrøm SK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1a6247…
10-25 15:39:54	Club Brugge vs. St. Truidense VV: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x0ade29…
10-25 14:47:26	Palermo FC vs. Carrarese Calcio: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4ba2ab…
10-25 14:44:35	Motherwell FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd939b2…
10-25 14:39:30	Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x83f0f9…
10-25 14:33:27	Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x019a04…
10-25 14:30:50	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x2d2446…
10-25 14:21:44	Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Wisla Plock: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x956e32…
10-25 13:38:24	HJK Helsinki vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x8600c3…
10-25 12:03:35	Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc5ea43…
10-25 11:59:18	Pendikspor vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3df59a…
10-25 11:50:20	AVS Futebol SAD vs. CD Tondela: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa6d124…
10-25 11:33:17	Rasisalai United vs. Ayutthaya United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3b0bac…
10-25 09:19:57	Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Tochigi City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xed9b69…
10-25 02:55:26	Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 11.5% to 12.5%?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xe6b38a…
10-25 02:55:23	Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 11.5% to 12.5%?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xc9176c…
10-25 02:55:17	Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 11.5% to 12.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x0d5ae6…
10-24 15:59:15	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x9c7c12…
10-24 15:59:15	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x25c9e0…
10-24 15:45:47	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb0aaf9…
10-24 14:16:35	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xeb30f9…
10-24 14:14:06	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x5e13f1…
10-24 12:58:09	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xfee6df…
10-24 12:58:05	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xa3f47d…
10-24 12:57:57	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xaf2878…
10-24 11:30:24	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb95090…
10-24 11:30:20	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x117d17…
10-24 11:30:11	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0xdb776c…
10-24 11:30:06	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xe7923e…
10-24 11:30:00	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xdfa8a5…
10-24 06:48:06	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x755495…
10-24 05:14:50	Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4c8eac…
10-24 00:11:56	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x05eaaf…
10-23 18:47:06	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xc00f90…
10-23 16:05:54	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x8886cb…
10-23 15:23:47	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xd81645…
10-23 14:29:39	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x96b1c2…
10-23 14:29:02	Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x910dd9…
10-23 13:25:54	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xd04e17…
10-23 12:41:35	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb29057…
10-23 12:15:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0xa5c073…
10-23 10:29:54	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x14c006…
10-23 06:54:57	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x5ad4c5…
10-23 00:51:47	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	44¢	$39	0xd2b721…
10-23 00:51:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xbaac15…
10-22 20:46:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xdc7ce8…
10-21 10:10:02	RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Kataller Toyama: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x9049d4…
10-21 10:09:48	Albirex Niigata vs. Sagan Tosu: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2fccdc…
10-21 10:09:36	Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. Blaublitz Akita: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb8a9fb…
10-21 10:09:23	V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x7620d1…
10-21 10:09:09	Shimizu S-Pulse vs. FC Machida Zelvia: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x84b208…
10-21 10:08:56	Shimizu S-Pulse vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc5837a…
10-21 10:08:42	Fagiano Okayama vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2a9dd1…
10-21 10:08:29	Nagoya Grampus vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7c00c4…
10-21 10:05:51	Bali United vs. Garuda Yaksa: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xcb21da…
10-21 09:02:36	Bali United vs. Garuda Yaksa: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8abdd6…
10-21 08:38:14	Bali United vs. Garuda Yaksa: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe849e7…
10-21 08:34:45	Bali United vs. Garuda Yaksa: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xcdef88…
10-21 06:24:23	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2c3031…