Bowed-Leaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$159

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-04 04:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 60% +$3

Other

3% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	06-03 03:18
btc updown 5m 1780544100	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	06-04 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	4	$6	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 04:13
btc updown 15m 1780541100	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	06-04 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-17 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	06-02 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	06-02 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	06-03 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	06-02 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-03 02:35
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	2	$3	24	24	+0	open	—	05-03 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$2	20	20	+0	open	—	06-02 01:49
Will MrBeast say "Briefcase" or "Suitcase" during his next YouTube video?	2	$2	8	1	+7	open	—	05-16 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 02:10
btc updown 5m 1780544700	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-04 03:47
btc updown 5m 1780542900	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-04 03:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 13:18
btc updown 5m 1780543500	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	06-04 03:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 04:55:24	btc updown 5m 1780548900	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x854a9c…
06-04 04:53:19	btc updown 5m 1780548600	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x12dad3…
06-04 03:55:55	btc updown 5m 1780545300	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x96d893…
06-04 03:47:42	btc updown 5m 1780544700	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9454a9…
06-04 03:39:58	btc updown 5m 1780544100	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x39a167…
06-04 03:35:36	btc updown 5m 1780544100	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xeca44d…
06-04 03:25:46	btc updown 5m 1780543500	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xedb6a5…
06-04 03:16:06	btc updown 5m 1780542900	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc381d6…
06-04 03:01:45	btc updown 5m 1780542000	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa43cb9…
06-04 02:50:37	btc updown 15m 1780541100	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xf57b5a…
06-04 02:48:19	btc updown 15m 1780541100	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfa40f8…
06-04 01:38:46	btc updown 5m 1780536900	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xf75d50…
06-04 01:25:30	btc updown 5m 1780536300	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x73c9dd…
06-04 01:22:10	btc updown 5m 1780536000	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe5dc83…
06-03 03:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0xb4ff96…
06-03 03:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x78ebee…
06-03 03:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x987c6c…
06-03 03:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe86b4b…
06-03 03:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb96b99…
06-03 02:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x061c0e…
06-03 02:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb408bb…
06-03 00:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe4fa4d…
06-02 13:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0xdfdfcf…
06-02 13:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x31c30b…
06-02 13:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x22245f…
06-02 02:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x6d7aba…
06-02 02:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xaf76c3…
06-02 01:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xd780a4…
06-02 01:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3ca8ee…
06-02 01:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd99c74…
06-02 01:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x15cfce…
05-18 03:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa5a23d…
05-18 03:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x495b37…
05-18 02:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x062d7d…
05-17 02:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb9be00…
05-17 01:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xd02ea0…
05-17 01:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x0aad8b…
05-16 01:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x73ccd5…
05-16 01:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbebde5…
05-16 01:34:24	Will MrBeast say "Briefcase" or "Suitcase" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x250c40…
05-15 04:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x36a311…
05-15 04:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8d7e98…
05-15 04:05:49	Will MrBeast say "Briefcase" or "Suitcase" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf4ba36…
05-15 03:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9a343c…
05-15 03:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2b1f3b…
05-15 03:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3551e7…
05-15 03:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0d4e7b…
05-09 03:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x1a2e24…
05-09 03:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9c9ba6…
05-07 05:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7aaed9…
05-07 04:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x492014…
05-07 02:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xc8a5c3…
05-07 02:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdd9949…
05-07 00:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0xda0c42…
05-07 00:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x18c9ea…
05-06 13:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4418d4…
05-06 12:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x830056…
05-06 04:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xabd9e3…
05-06 04:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x946144…
05-06 04:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x940cfe…
05-06 04:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0xb81f9b…
05-06 03:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xb403ab…
05-06 03:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf01192…
05-05 00:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$2	0x54d893…
05-05 00:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb7b217…
05-03 03:15:20	Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x594aec…
05-03 03:00:26	Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0x852a01…
05-03 02:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xec828b…
05-03 02:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8325e4…
05-03 01:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x3b0e79…
05-03 01:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x331d77…
05-03 01:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7712ef…
05-03 01:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x49a555…
05-03 01:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x35e920…
05-01 01:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x21d67a…
04-30 13:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0b3141…
04-30 13:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x512c40…
04-30 13:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x43b8ec…
04-30 13:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x8c1fe4…
04-30 12:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7e4d40…
04-30 12:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x865e67…
04-30 11:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x49f117…
04-30 11:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x467553…
04-30 11:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x530852…
04-30 11:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xc055b5…
04-30 11:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x75c495…
04-30 10:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x77ed32…
04-30 10:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5be3d4…
04-30 10:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x932c01…
04-30 09:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2b4a64…
04-30 03:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf152ad…
04-30 03:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x05c9d6…
04-30 02:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x863553…
04-30 02:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7e92f4…
04-30 02:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x92a7a0…
04-30 02:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd871eb…
04-28 00:52:58	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc50fda…
04-27 03:39:50	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xce6f1a…