Bowed-Leaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$252

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 10-10 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 37% -$10

Other

35% 50% +$9

Politics

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	8	$21	23	18	+5	No	-$3	05-09 02:56
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	4	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	10-06 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Down	+$9	06-03 03:18
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	2	$11	7	7	+0	Yes	+$3	10-04 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:35 UTC	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$5	06-04 03:39
Italy vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	10-05 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	3	$8	11	6	+5	Up	-$2	06-03 02:35
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Peru?	2	$6	8	6	+2	No	+$4	10-07 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	04-30 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	04-30 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	4	$6	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 04:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 02:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	06-04 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	04-30 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-17 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-03 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 03:58
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	2	$4	6	0	+6	No	-$4	05-04 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-16 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 03:05
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Getafe CF?	2	$3	16	5	+11	No	-$1	10-10 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	06-03 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 02:25
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	2	$3	24	24	+0	No	-$1	05-03 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 00:44
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	2	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	05-06 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	04-30 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 17:59:25	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Getafe CF?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x63fd57…
10-09 17:31:14	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Getafe CF?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x874b9c…
10-07 01:32:57	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Peru?	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x0d4f02…
10-06 23:33:13	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Peru?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x8e180c…
10-06 20:38:02	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x24a3c2…
10-06 00:52:02	Will Finland win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xee7446…
10-06 00:41:38	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xcf3af9…
10-06 00:31:26	Will Finland win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x23359d…
10-06 00:28:08	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x4b9815…
10-05 23:52:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x5ba530…
10-05 21:14:47	Italy vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x364209…
10-05 16:25:20	Italy vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd4a51b…
10-04 20:44:43	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf9c5ee…
10-04 11:54:05	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x38278e…
06-04 04:55:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x854a9c…
06-04 04:53:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x12dad3…
06-04 03:55:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x96d893…
06-04 03:47:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9454a9…
06-04 03:39:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:35 UTC	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x39a167…
06-04 03:35:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xeca44d…
06-04 03:25:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xedb6a5…
06-04 03:16:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc381d6…
06-04 03:01:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa43cb9…
06-04 02:50:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xf57b5a…
06-04 02:48:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfa40f8…
06-04 01:38:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xf75d50…
06-04 01:25:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x73c9dd…
06-04 01:22:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe5dc83…
06-03 03:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0xb4ff96…
06-03 03:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x78ebee…
06-03 03:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x987c6c…
06-03 03:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe86b4b…
06-03 03:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb96b99…
06-03 02:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x061c0e…
06-03 02:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xb591ec…
06-03 02:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xf3b761…
06-03 02:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb408bb…
06-03 00:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe4fa4d…
06-02 13:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0xdfdfcf…
06-02 13:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x31c30b…
06-02 13:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x22245f…
06-02 02:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x6d7aba…
06-02 02:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xaf76c3…
06-02 01:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xd780a4…
06-02 01:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3ca8ee…
06-02 01:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd99c74…
06-02 01:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x15cfce…
06-02 01:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7648d7…
05-18 03:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa5a23d…
05-18 03:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x495b37…
05-18 02:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x062d7d…
05-17 02:14:39	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x3dbad5…
05-17 02:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb9be00…
05-17 01:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xd02ea0…
05-17 01:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x0aad8b…
05-16 01:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x73ccd5…
05-16 01:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbebde5…
05-16 01:34:24	Will MrBeast say "Briefcase" or "Suitcase" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x250c40…
05-15 04:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x36a311…
05-15 04:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8d7e98…
05-15 04:05:49	Will MrBeast say "Briefcase" or "Suitcase" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf4ba36…
05-15 03:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9a343c…
05-15 03:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2b1f3b…
05-15 03:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3551e7…
05-15 03:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0d4e7b…
05-09 03:15:46	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x3398e9…
05-09 03:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x1a2e24…
05-09 03:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9c9ba6…
05-09 02:56:17	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x08dd8e…
05-07 05:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x18ce16…
05-07 05:14:16	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0x217dbe…
05-07 05:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7aaed9…
05-07 04:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x492014…
05-07 02:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xc8a5c3…
05-07 02:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdd9949…
05-07 01:04:45	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x830f09…
05-07 00:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0xda0c42…
05-07 00:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x18c9ea…
05-07 00:50:56	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb3be41…
05-07 00:42:44	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xf47008…
05-06 13:15:20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xafb939…
05-06 13:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4418d4…
05-06 12:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x830056…
05-06 04:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xabd9e3…
05-06 04:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x946144…
05-06 04:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x940cfe…
05-06 04:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0xb81f9b…
05-06 03:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xb403ab…
05-06 03:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf01192…
05-06 03:39:42	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xc7fc48…
05-06 03:34:10	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x8e91f4…
05-06 00:42:44	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xd51734…
05-05 00:47:32	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x72ecab…
05-05 00:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$2	0x54d893…
05-05 00:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb7b217…
05-04 01:47:40	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc13447…
05-04 01:20:24	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x0e5325…
05-04 01:05:44	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa1b402…
05-03 03:15:20	Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x594aec…
05-03 03:00:26	Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0x852a01…