Second-Hand-Scenario — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.71K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

130

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-17 08:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% +$1,709

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$500	1,005	+1,005	Up	-$500	10-15 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$425	851	+851	Up	-$425	05-30 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1PM ET	3	$417	4,090	+4,090	Up	-$417	10-15 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$400	1,135	+1,135	Down	-$400	05-26 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$400	1,312	+1,312	Up	+$912	05-27 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$400	843	+843	Up	-$400	10-15 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$400	750	+750	Down	+$350	05-27 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$400	729	+729	Down	+$329	05-29 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$400	784	+784	Up	+$384	05-26 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$400	680	+680	Up	-$400	05-30 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$400	739	+739	Down	+$339	05-29 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$400	889	+889	Up	+$489	05-27 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$400	788	+788	Up	-$400	05-29 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$395	650	+650	Down	+$255	05-30 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$379	726	+726	Up	-$379	05-30 14:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC	1	$376	1,790	+1,790	Up	+$1,414	10-13 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$374	722	+722	Up	+$348	05-26 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$362	694	+694	Down	+$331	05-26 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$338	711	+711	Up	-$338	07-21 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 09:55 UTC	1	$288	603	+603	Down	+$315	07-21 09:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:35 UTC	2	$250	1,015	+1,015	Down	-$250	10-13 18:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:50 UTC	1	$250	506	+506	Down	+$256	07-20 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$235	477	+477	Down	+$242	05-28 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$235	529	+529	Down	+$294	05-28 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$235	456	+456	Down	+$221	05-28 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$235	457	+457	Down	+$222	05-28 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$220	537	+537	Up	-$220	07-21 10:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:40 UTC	2	$204	469	+469	Down	-$204	07-20 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$200	417	+417	Up	-$200	10-15 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$200	509	+509	Up	-$200	07-21 09:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 08:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0xd6b39e…
10-15 17:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2,407	8¢	$195	0xbc23c1…
10-15 17:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	161	17¢	$28	0x242573…
10-15 17:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	1,522	13¢	$194	0x0e5b3e…
10-15 17:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,005	50¢	$500	0xc03f3c…
10-15 16:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	843	47¢	$400	0xe2d9c9…
10-15 16:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	461	43¢	$200	0x0aa5d8…
10-15 15:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0xcfc83c…
10-13 18:40:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,790	21¢	$376	0xcfa0cf…
10-13 18:37:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	749	17¢	$125	0xdc99ff…
10-13 18:36:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	266	47¢	$125	0xd4f1cf…
10-13 18:31:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	255	49¢	$125	0xcf62f2…
10-13 18:29:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	362	35¢	$125	0x1add11…
10-13 18:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	288	43¢	$125	0xe7443c…
10-13 18:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	513	24¢	$125	0x34034f…
10-13 17:50:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	367	34¢	$123	0x04ac60…
10-13 17:46:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	379	33¢	$125	0x2780b9…
10-13 17:40:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	305	41¢	$125	0x80f9ee…
10-13 13:44:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	292	43¢	$125	0xff1d26…
10-12 21:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0xf52cb4…
10-12 18:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	211	38¢	$80	0x13958a…
10-12 16:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	182	44¢	$80	0xa6cc3b…
10-12 16:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xefd3db…
10-12 16:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	195	41¢	$80	0x9c0295…
10-12 15:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	258	31¢	$80	0x2f0e28…
10-12 13:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	190	42¢	$80	0xea6cca…
10-12 13:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x4f393b…
10-12 08:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x6c2d71…
07-21 11:49:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	349	43¢	$150	0x2275d4…
07-21 11:38:45	bitcoin up or down july 21 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	1,597	11¢	$170	0xef0594…
07-21 11:01:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	338	56¢	$189	0xebd5a9…
07-21 10:50:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	373	39¢	$147	0x9fccdb…
07-21 10:35:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	348	53¢	$185	0x809e07…
07-21 10:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	711	48¢	$338	0x743a73…
07-21 10:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	537	41¢	$220	0x47e9e6…
07-21 10:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	324	37¢	$120	0x47b344…
07-21 09:55:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	603	48¢	$288	0x16eb25…
07-21 09:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	509	39¢	$200	0x56992b…
07-21 09:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	255	47¢	$120	0xe01e85…
07-21 09:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	301	40¢	$120	0xe02f93…
07-20 19:15:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	211	38¢	$80	0x46707f…
07-20 18:25:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	224	46¢	$103	0xe8a782…
07-20 18:21:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	222	36¢	$80	0x7fad31…
07-20 18:18:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	174	46¢	$80	0x83aefc…
07-20 16:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	178	45¢	$80	0x786c71…
07-20 15:55:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	182	44¢	$80	0xe17702…
07-20 15:20:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	178	45¢	$80	0x9a2d42…
07-20 14:01:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x473928…
07-20 13:55:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	167	48¢	$80	0xd353f2…
07-20 13:50:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	165	48¢	$80	0x95957f…
07-20 12:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	506	49¢	$250	0x2042cd…
07-20 12:41:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	237	38¢	$90	0x72e7e7…
07-20 12:40:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	233	49¢	$114	0x8faf14…
07-20 12:38:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	229	35¢	$80	0x35dbf3…
07-20 12:05:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	404	43¢	$175	0x7fea1e…
07-20 11:56:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	293	41¢	$120	0x199ca9…
07-20 11:52:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	180	46¢	$83	0xe7c8da…
07-20 11:40:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	177	47¢	$83	0x241b1b…
07-20 11:11:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	169	49¢	$83	0xdb1dea…
07-20 10:24:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x33e1d5…
07-20 10:21:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	269	30¢	$80	0x857b9d…
07-20 10:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	209	48¢	$100	0x5b800d…
07-20 10:10:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	73	30¢	$22	0xefe102…
07-20 10:10:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	179	47¢	$84	0x0dcd53…
07-20 10:00:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	209	38¢	$80	0xbfcc91…
07-20 09:46:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	120	44¢	$53	0x0bac0e…
07-19 20:05:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0x2e0fdd…
07-19 20:04:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	108	49¢	$53	0xb50ad3…
07-19 20:00:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	110	48¢	$53	0x307560…
07-19 14:50:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	106	50¢	$53	0x80382c…
07-19 14:26:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	105	21¢	$22	0x1db689…
07-19 14:25:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	115	46¢	$53	0xf82c73…
07-19 14:15:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	224	43¢	$96	0xb2b900…
07-19 14:00:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	113	47¢	$53	0x917b99…
07-19 13:55:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	139	38¢	$53	0x33dee4…
07-19 13:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	113	47¢	$53	0x9d09bd…
07-19 13:45:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	115	46¢	$53	0x33b0bc…
07-19 13:43:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	120	44¢	$53	0xc0206d…
07-19 13:36:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	151	35¢	$53	0xab1cf9…
07-19 13:24:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	110	48¢	$53	0xa8cf84…
07-19 13:04:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	107	49¢	$53	0x7ec8cf…
07-19 12:09:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	129	41¢	$53	0x72804f…
07-19 12:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	139	38¢	$53	0x66cba4…
05-30 14:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	726	52¢	$379	0x88b54b…
05-30 14:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	851	50¢	$425	0xd51f18…
05-30 14:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	650	61¢	$395	0x265428…
05-30 14:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	680	59¢	$400	0xdda468…
05-30 14:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	431	46¢	$200	0x3d2d5c…
05-29 17:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	729	55¢	$400	0x8f9ec4…
05-29 17:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	788	51¢	$400	0x8f5efe…
05-29 17:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	394	51¢	$200	0x6714cd…
05-29 17:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	372	54¢	$200	0x5a8a19…
05-29 16:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x5b580a…
05-29 16:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	739	54¢	$400	0x84d609…
05-29 16:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	448	44¢	$197	0x8f2716…
05-28 20:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	529	44¢	$235	0xf68a06…
05-28 19:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	457	51¢	$235	0x05d7a3…
05-28 17:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	477	49¢	$235	0x651102…
05-28 09:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	456	51¢	$235	0x5c9403…
05-28 09:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	365	55¢	$200	0xf598cc…