Wild-Durian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$408

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-30 11:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 44% $-4

Other

4% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$68	43	43	+0	open	—	04-30 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	5	$48	28	28	+0	open	—	04-30 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$40	73	8	+65	open	—	04-30 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	04-30 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$16	131	6	+125	open	—	05-03 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	04-30 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-30 12:13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 30?	1	$10	124	0	+124	open	—	04-30 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	05-03 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	6	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	05-03 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$6	4	3	+1	open	—	05-03 15:34
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	04-30 12:44
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$5	70	0	+70	open	—	05-02 15:53
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-30 12:36
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-30 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 15:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 15:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 19:24
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-03 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-03 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-03 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-03 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	05-03 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-03 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 15:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 11:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb2fb05…
05-15 19:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3cdd2c…
05-15 19:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb54327…
05-15 19:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x0818f6…
05-15 19:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x771ea3…
05-10 21:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xc10c76…
05-10 21:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x76eb41…
05-10 21:24:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x226d45…
05-10 18:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1415e1…
05-10 18:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x73bde0…
05-10 18:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4aad5f…
05-09 21:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcf8781…
05-09 21:03:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc32882…
05-09 21:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc20c65…
05-09 21:02:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x4f47b8…
05-07 21:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd9f57e…
05-07 21:19:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xb81d9f…
05-06 15:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x59bddc…
05-06 14:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x08d7f8…
05-06 00:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0baac8…
05-04 16:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb85aa9…
05-03 17:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x916c51…
05-03 17:28:18	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x193d69…
05-03 17:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe7cf33…
05-03 17:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xa19101…
05-03 17:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x3c8595…
05-03 16:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8cd684…
05-03 16:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xb03037…
05-03 16:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x2dea34…
05-03 16:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7a952f…
05-03 16:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x77e90a…
05-03 16:32:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd94e79…
05-03 16:32:06	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdc8529…
05-03 16:31:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdef3f6…
05-03 16:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xba2479…
05-03 16:22:58	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0b4599…
05-03 16:22:18	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1c0c10…
05-03 16:22:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xac23cc…
05-03 16:21:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x58096c…
05-03 16:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0xdfb1f0…
05-03 16:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf933e3…
05-03 16:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xf174b2…
05-03 16:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6f74b4…
05-03 16:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x19b776…
05-03 16:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x96d0ab…
05-03 15:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x954d6d…
05-03 15:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x40123f…
05-03 15:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5bd170…
05-03 15:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x02d572…
05-03 15:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3bf205…
05-03 15:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb9e69a…
05-03 15:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xec44ad…
05-03 15:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x546440…
05-03 15:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$1	0x0748b6…
05-03 15:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa33d91…
05-03 15:38:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x25a782…
05-03 15:38:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x626f31…
05-03 15:37:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7723aa…
05-03 15:37:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x008a99…
05-03 15:36:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x13ee55…
05-03 15:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1ff438…
05-03 15:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6af703…
05-03 15:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xaf43d8…
05-03 15:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf3ff4e…
05-03 15:28:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$0	0x9a67dc…
05-03 15:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xe9b3ca…
05-03 15:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbc149b…
05-03 15:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe61031…
05-03 15:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7f9151…
05-03 15:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0cda60…
05-03 10:45:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xbe0bd7…
05-03 10:41:12	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa9e554…
05-03 10:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x90065d…
05-03 10:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x55b7bc…
05-03 10:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3302da…
05-03 10:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x146cfa…
05-03 10:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xc0395a…
05-03 10:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x10e74d…
05-03 10:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2200c1…
05-03 10:18:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6bdfa8…
05-03 10:08:56	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xe017ba…
05-03 10:07:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x047310…
05-03 10:07:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x930f8e…
05-03 10:07:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa3c8fd…
05-03 10:07:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xaf8de7…
05-03 10:06:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa01600…
05-03 10:06:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x14aaa9…
05-03 10:06:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9b4abc…
05-03 10:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x912296…
05-03 03:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1ceb58…
05-03 03:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x27ca60…
05-02 16:00:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x49ef14…
05-02 15:58:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1739e0…
05-02 15:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x63372d…
05-02 15:53:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0xab574b…
05-02 15:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9a1ebf…
05-02 15:49:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2f9f23…
05-02 15:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa70879…
05-02 15:45:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x641ca0…
05-02 15:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x88cba2…