Soft-Provision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved

Trades

906

lifetime

Volume

$581

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$23

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 11-01 15:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 51% -$2

Politics

11% 75% $0

Other

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-455	-$10	5¢	$-23	-$12	09-29 20:10
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+46	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	09-08 09:14
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+15	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	09-07 14:37
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+1	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	11-01 11:48
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+0	$0	0¢	$0	$0	05-14 12:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	10	$10	0	455	-455	open	—	09-29 20:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 04:05 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	03-13 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 02:55 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Up	-$6	03-13 02:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 03:10 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$6	03-13 03:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 02:00 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$6	03-13 01:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 02:15 UTC	5	$10	30	0	+30	Down	-$10	03-13 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 02:35 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$2	03-13 02:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 04:30 UTC	5	$10	24	0	+24	Up	-$10	03-13 04:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 02:10 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$6	03-13 02:09
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 02:00 UTC	5	$10	33	0	+33	Down	-$10	03-13 02:04
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 02:45 UTC	5	$10	25	0	+25	Down	+$15	03-13 02:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:55 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Up	-$2	03-13 01:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:15 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$2	03-13 01:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 02:40 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$2	03-13 02:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 02:15 UTC	5	$10	19	0	+19	Down	+$5	03-13 02:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 01:30 UTC	5	$10	27	0	+27	Up	+$17	03-13 01:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 04:00 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$1	03-13 03:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 02:45 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Up	-$2	03-13 02:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 02:30 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$2	03-13 02:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 03:55 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$2	03-13 03:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 03:05 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$2	03-13 03:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 03:50 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$2	03-13 03:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 04:00 UTC	5	$10	39	0	+39	Down	-$10	03-13 04:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 03:15 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$2	03-13 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 02:05 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$3	03-13 02:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 03:45 UTC	5	$10	56	0	+56	Up	-$10	03-13 03:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 04:10 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$2	03-13 04:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 03:20 UTC	5	$10	20	0	+20	Up	-$2	03-13 03:19
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 01:45 UTC	5	$10	25	0	+25	Down	-$10	03-13 01:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 01:45 UTC	5	$10	25	0	+25	Up	+$15	03-13 01:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 15:04:55	Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x689c7d…
11-01 11:48:00	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x32c58c…
11-01 10:33:21	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xcc6f87…
10-26 17:31:44	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xf763a3…
10-23 20:08:44	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xbea0c8…
10-22 14:43:24	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe484a8…
10-22 14:43:24	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x48bb7a…
10-21 07:44:06	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xf668d7…
10-21 07:44:06	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xd7c3af…
10-20 06:26:16	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x9afa9c…
10-19 20:59:10	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe66b27…
10-19 20:59:10	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb37293…
10-19 20:59:10	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x7d735e…
10-19 18:19:12	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xcd0c76…
10-18 22:50:51	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x6da08b…
10-15 01:40:58	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xe7f755…
10-12 21:29:03	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	102	0¢	$0	0x9bddad…
10-12 21:29:03	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x1e49ff…
10-12 14:55:41	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc6cd37…
10-12 14:06:56	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xdf3414…
10-12 14:06:56	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x1180af…
10-12 11:39:20	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc9acc4…
10-12 09:49:40	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc424f8…
10-12 09:39:13	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x773213…
10-12 08:45:49	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x3eda2c…
10-12 08:26:43	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xaaf44e…
10-12 08:25:40	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x66a8d2…
10-12 06:59:41	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc8d4a9…
10-12 03:11:29	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb75db8…
10-12 01:30:27	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x035aa2…
10-11 23:53:35	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x2fdd28…
10-11 23:38:42	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x7f156d…
10-11 21:28:28	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x0a1c26…
10-11 21:28:26	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xfaa953…
10-11 21:28:26	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x4d497b…
10-11 21:28:26	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x2f5547…
10-11 21:28:26	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x09a7e6…
10-11 21:26:52	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xb6c1d4…
10-11 20:34:25	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	57	0¢	$0	0x1606f4…
10-11 20:34:25	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0x0ae078…
10-11 18:03:52	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x4a0a89…
10-11 14:30:54	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x5dbaa1…
10-11 12:08:13	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe5abd8…
10-11 08:56:00	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0xdf2f78…
10-11 08:53:57	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xce4bb3…
10-11 06:05:08	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe64526…
10-11 01:28:32	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x8ce7f1…
10-11 00:56:52	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xd533c9…
10-11 00:56:52	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xc6e312…
10-11 00:03:39	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb71525…
10-10 23:37:25	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x515e71…
10-10 20:46:55	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xf826ba…
10-10 20:46:55	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xcb44d1…
10-10 20:46:55	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0xa8453b…
10-10 20:46:55	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0xa3eb55…
10-10 20:46:55	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	69	0¢	$0	0x304557…
10-10 20:46:55	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x21cc2a…
10-10 20:46:55	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x13f9d9…
10-10 17:17:00	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xd5ddb7…
10-10 17:09:51	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x58b2f8…
10-10 17:02:49	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xab7319…
10-10 16:59:34	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x69a8a9…
10-10 15:58:54	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0x10191a…
10-10 12:03:51	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x0ab744…
10-10 07:57:27	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xce1138…
10-10 07:11:19	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x696b38…
10-10 05:20:43	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	102	0¢	$0	0x8bd19f…
10-10 04:22:34	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe1c592…
10-10 03:35:27	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xa8200d…
10-09 22:34:50	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xec8f49…
10-09 21:51:35	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x55d4bc…
10-09 20:27:44	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xf454e3…
10-09 20:08:02	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	99	0¢	$0	0x7f4db5…
10-09 15:29:40	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	51	1¢	$0	0x8afe1e…
10-08 09:30:44	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xbad545…
10-07 19:20:34	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x848d8f…
10-04 17:32:04	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xdf244e…
10-04 17:32:04	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0x8f585d…
10-04 17:32:04	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x89e98c…
10-04 17:32:04	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0x3cfe70…
10-02 11:26:03	Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x66407f…
10-02 03:47:32	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xfd965e…
10-02 03:47:32	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xafac6c…
10-02 02:11:56	israel election sami abu shehadeh effectively banned	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x7c0378…
10-02 02:11:54	israel election sami abu shehadeh effectively banned	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xd1f1bd…
10-02 02:11:54	israel election sami abu shehadeh effectively banned	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x3b0456…
10-01 21:01:54	israel election sami abu shehadeh effectively banned	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x67cdd7…
10-01 18:51:00	Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0xdd92c8…
10-01 12:34:51	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x0c5441…
10-01 12:27:14	israel election sami abu shehadeh effectively banned	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x48aee6…
09-29 21:17:26	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x8c7c7d…
09-29 21:11:27	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xee1850…
09-29 21:09:32	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x8ae792…
09-29 21:07:02	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x4090b0…
09-29 21:05:24	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x445a9c…
09-29 20:10:42	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xcc8ece…
09-27 12:17:06	israel election sami abu shehadeh effectively banned	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x887538…
09-27 12:15:17	Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x359a03…
09-27 11:52:18	Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xd2e13d…
09-27 11:34:08	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x3b9e12…