Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

121

Trades

390

lifetime

Volume

$2.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 09-20 02:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

56% 43% -$207

Tech

24% 50% +$137

Sports

7% 50% -$10

Politics

7% 55% +$18

Crypto

6% 50% +$5

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+20	$7	40¢	$8	+$1	07-07 11:57
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes		+10	$1	9¢	$1	$0	07-12 05:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	2	$310	185	185	+0	Yes	+$16	02-06 14:43
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	3	$284	199	199	+0	No	+$66	06-12 15:10
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	4	$92	50	50	+0	Yes	+$7	03-01 07:56
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	2	$82	50	50	+0	No	+$0	02-09 21:22
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	12	$73	370	0	+370	No	-$73	07-26 17:52
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	8	$64	40	40	+0	No	+$8	04-07 18:33
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	5	$62	146	0	+146	Yes	+$84	06-27 06:21
will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of february 828 163 164 179 126 514	3	$52	28	28	+0	No	+$1	01-30 19:19
cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	10	$49	110	0	+110	Team Falcons	-$49	06-20 20:35
nvda up or down on january 30 2026	2	$43	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	01-30 19:45
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	6	$42	130	30	+100	Yes	-$23	02-11 20:08
will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 31	2	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$1	01-30 18:18
will robinhood say silver during earnings call	7	$39	70	0	+70	No	+$31	02-09 22:57
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?	5	$35	30	30	+0	No	+$13	07-08 18:12
will mrbeasts latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1	11	$34	888	0	+888	No	-$34	02-12 08:01
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	3	$34	110	0	+110	No	-$34	08-26 17:09
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	2	$34	44	0	+44	No	+$10	09-20 02:13
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	9	$34	143	0	+143	No	-$34	02-14 16:33
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	2	$33	30	30	+0	Yes	+$15	07-15 19:10
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	5	$32	30	30	+0	No	+$17	07-05 11:15
highest temperature in nyc on february 10 2026 36forhigher	4	$30	40	0	+40	Yes	-$30	02-10 21:59
apo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 09 2026 2pt03	2	$29	40	0	+40	Yes	+$11	02-07 20:53
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	4	$28	50	0	+50	Yes	-$28	04-07 23:13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 17?	2	$25	30	0	+30	No	+$5	09-16 21:32
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?	2	$24	50	0	+50	Yes	+$26	04-07 20:59
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	5	$23	190	0	+190	Yes	-$23	07-21 22:12
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$22	30	0	+30	Yes	+$8	05-11 20:49
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$22	80	80	+0	No	+$7	02-11 20:58
over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	2	$21	40	0	+40	No	+$19	07-14 22:43
highest temperature in ankara on february 9 2026 8c	6	$21	30	30	+0	No	+$5	02-09 09:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 02:13:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xa89747…
09-19 22:25:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x9b8dd7…
09-16 21:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 17?	No	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x4228ab…
09-16 19:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 17?	No	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0xe5606f…
08-28 03:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x254c3a…
08-28 03:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x661a54…
08-28 00:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xde3cc5…
08-28 00:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0xe56efb…
08-28 00:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	267	0¢	$1	0x874735…
08-27 21:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa4f7e8…
08-27 21:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x176c84…
08-27 21:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc6d4fa…
08-27 21:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc1c30c…
08-27 21:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb9421e…
08-27 21:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x658d56…
08-27 21:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe236d9…
08-27 21:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x99c4f2…
08-27 21:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x64d0c3…
08-27 19:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x8abf99…
08-27 18:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x57c9fe…
08-27 18:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x19abc8…
08-26 18:13:36	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x3337c8…
08-26 17:09:01	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1ab6fb…
08-26 16:37:33	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xe78fe3…
08-06 02:40:32	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x7e3046…
08-06 01:53:39	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x56fcd2…
08-06 01:41:27	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x8a16f9…
08-06 01:41:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xdcc567…
08-06 01:41:21	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xde946f…
08-06 01:41:18	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x6dbbb0…
07-31 13:45:00	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	626	2¢	$13	0x386f15…
07-26 17:52:27	Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9d0b3d…
07-23 23:01:57	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0x2c0da9…
07-23 23:01:40	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xab52e5…
07-23 23:01:40	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x0c8770…
07-23 23:01:39	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x1563d1…
07-23 17:51:22	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x2ee86e…
07-23 17:24:51	Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x62ab2d…
07-23 17:14:31	Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	6¢	$8	0x272c05…
07-23 17:12:54	Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x486cfd…
07-23 08:27:19	Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	165	0¢	$1	0x9499e0…
07-23 05:54:09	Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	80	7¢	$6	0x73f8e1…
07-22 14:25:10	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	98	35¢	$34	0x28ff5d…
07-21 22:30:57	iran successfully targets shipping on july 19	No	BUY	15	77¢	$11	0x74d9da…
07-21 22:12:31	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x27d218…
07-21 19:44:36	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x0865ee…
07-21 19:26:43	Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x3b026b…
07-21 19:25:33	Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x9f705b…
07-21 19:09:40	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2516ce…
07-21 18:43:46	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x80cc02…
07-21 18:43:46	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	114	2¢	$3	0x03710a…
07-21 18:33:15	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0xab3516…
07-21 17:59:09	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x6e7f3b…
07-21 17:53:57	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x714cca…
07-21 17:52:13	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x409819…
07-21 17:52:12	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	97	6¢	$5	0x6e6587…
07-21 17:50:36	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xe557c8…
07-21 01:24:18	Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x299bab…
07-20 19:06:21	Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x362390…
07-20 16:08:04	Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x5ad60e…
07-20 15:44:39	Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x71b57f…
07-20 14:44:54	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xde7509…
07-19 20:51:39	Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x615c86…
07-19 20:50:16	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x5bdcd7…
07-19 20:18:28	Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x916658…
07-19 19:01:39	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x271cb4…
07-19 18:32:57	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x8b4019…
07-19 18:01:36	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xc78175…
07-19 17:59:39	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x7ed95a…
07-19 17:59:36	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5fc650…
07-19 17:46:58	Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x76f0e1…
07-19 13:32:31	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	176	0¢	$1	0xa7d4cc…
07-17 08:06:22	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x024f35…
07-17 06:58:00	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xcb6167…
07-17 00:04:49	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x4d9580…
07-16 20:18:28	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x326762…
07-16 20:18:19	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x8410a0…
07-16 20:18:13	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 28 2026	Yes	SELL	138	10¢	$14	0x146e11…
07-16 20:18:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 29 2026	Yes	SELL	41	13¢	$5	0xb88d20…
07-16 00:25:38	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xa19482…
07-15 22:13:49	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0x385999…
07-15 20:38:58	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x06b8be…
07-15 19:59:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa14286…
07-15 19:47:34	will trump say biden 5 times at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716009	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x4dffb9…
07-15 19:42:16	will trump say stock market at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716021	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc37d1b…
07-15 19:34:26	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb974d7…
07-15 19:22:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x92dc68…
07-15 19:10:58	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	Yes	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0xd20302…
07-15 17:04:26	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x403062…
07-15 16:28:58	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	253	1¢	$2	0x5340cc…
07-15 13:47:07	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x77d909…
07-15 12:38:10	will meta dip to 640 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x3bffe5…
07-15 12:03:31	Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xf63549…
07-15 12:03:31	Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x704a63…
07-15 10:03:16	will meta dip to 640 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x5eed8e…
07-15 09:51:46	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	98	3¢	$3	0xeca8c9…
07-15 07:37:10	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3ca2db…
07-15 05:57:37	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x79fd85…
07-15 05:57:31	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x6425f8…
07-15 05:00:28	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3ec3e3…