Realistic-Stalk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved

153

Trades

218

lifetime

Volume

$356

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 11-05 14:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Other

92% 83% -$3

Crypto

8% 55% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 25?	1	$7	8	0	+8	Yes	+$1	05-25 13:20
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 26?	1	$6	8	0	+8	No	-$6	05-26 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 24?	1	$6	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	05-24 15:17
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 29?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	09-28 18:54
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on September 28?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$0	09-28 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on September 30?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	$0	09-29 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 27?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$0	09-27 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 24?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$0	09-24 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 22?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	05-22 14:26
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 17?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-17 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 3?	2	$5	3	2	+0	No	+$0	10-03 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 23?	2	$5	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-23 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 2?	2	$5	2	2	+0	No	+$0	10-01 17:33
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 1?	2	$5	2	2	+0	No	+$0	10-01 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 22?	2	$5	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-22 05:28
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 30?	2	$5	2	2	+0	No	$0	09-29 12:59
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 23?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-23 14:07
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 21?	2	$5	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-21 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 20?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-20 06:46
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 13:15 UTC	2	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	03-10 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 19?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-19 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 17?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-17 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 18?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-18 09:23
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 11:50 UTC	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	-$4	03-10 11:53
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 12:30 UTC	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	03-10 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 8?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-08 08:32
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 16?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-15 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 15?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-14 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 7?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-07 12:01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 28?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	07-28 15:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 14:40:42	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 5?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xbc6018…
11-05 14:17:40	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x284646…
11-04 16:50:22	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8ba586…
11-01 20:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 3?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8b7236…
11-01 19:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on November 1?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x7f3cd2…
10-31 20:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on November 1?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaa556d…
10-27 18:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 27?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x071e3a…
10-26 17:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 26?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x8c837e…
10-25 18:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 25?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xdda3c6…
10-24 19:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 24?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6dc2b8…
10-24 17:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 24?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x981e58…
10-23 15:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 23?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdfef29…
10-22 14:49:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 22?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfd6a23…
10-20 16:51:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 20?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc67814…
10-19 14:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 19?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfc8eb4…
10-18 16:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 18?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0xb9c37b…
10-17 10:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 17?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x966dda…
10-16 08:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 16?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe4a18b…
10-15 22:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4246a5…
10-15 15:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 15?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x99be11…
10-14 15:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 14?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x70dd6c…
10-13 17:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 13?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd3462d…
10-13 13:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9d19c4…
10-11 20:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 13?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfb5f17…
10-11 19:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 11?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x03a114…
10-11 18:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 11?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd21fa1…
10-10 18:31:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 12?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x4a5e63…
10-10 16:47:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xde0668…
10-09 18:47:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 9?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xbef290…
10-09 18:03:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 9?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xeac488…
10-09 18:02:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 9?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xa39c5d…
10-09 13:30:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 9?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x940fa4…
10-08 18:43:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on October 8?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x4d66a1…
10-07 12:23:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 7?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1b9a97…
10-07 06:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 7?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x39d46d…
10-06 15:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 7?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0c478d…
10-06 06:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 6?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x98448c…
10-05 05:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 6?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd52a1a…
10-05 05:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 5?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd476da…
10-04 05:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 5?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf31629…
10-03 15:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x400a52…
10-03 14:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x33e297…
10-03 07:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 3?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xff871d…
10-01 17:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 3?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x51476d…
10-01 17:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 2?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x63d999…
10-01 08:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 2?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xdb8bfb…
10-01 06:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4bc6ad…
09-29 13:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe45ca5…
09-29 12:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 30?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x31cac9…
09-29 06:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 30?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x76e1d2…
09-29 06:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on September 30?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x74b5bf…
09-28 18:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x2b6c55…
09-28 18:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 29?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x103f54…
09-28 07:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 29?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x744168…
09-28 07:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on September 28?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x49d933…
09-27 07:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on September 28?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0bb7d7…
09-27 07:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6c5a1f…
09-26 05:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 27?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x56f50c…
09-24 08:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 24?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x246d98…
09-23 08:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 24?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x2104c9…
09-23 07:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 23?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb81d98…
09-22 05:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 23?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xcc309a…
09-22 05:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 22?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x12a024…
09-21 07:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 22?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6e537e…
09-21 07:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 21?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x37e90b…
09-20 06:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 21?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xcb245f…
09-20 06:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 20?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3d9d54…
09-19 06:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 20?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb90d17…
09-19 06:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 19?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x075407…
09-18 18:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 19?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x466f6f…
09-18 09:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 18?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb1f5d7…
09-17 08:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 18?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd27e5b…
09-17 08:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 17?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5f78a4…
09-15 17:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 17?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xda3770…
09-15 17:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 16?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3a92eb…
09-14 15:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 16?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1bfb4a…
09-14 15:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x10fb83…
09-14 05:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 15?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x48d802…
09-14 05:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5fad80…
09-13 10:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 14?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe929f7…
09-13 09:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x350db3…
09-12 08:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xbf7258…
09-12 08:40:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 12?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x79b488…
09-11 14:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 12?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1fbd40…
09-10 07:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 10?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1f9cc5…
09-09 09:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9c4793…
09-09 09:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 9?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x33cdef…
09-08 12:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 9?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd94c7b…
09-08 08:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 8?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7ad948…
09-07 12:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 8?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x77edb7…
09-07 12:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 7?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x556a95…
09-06 10:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x806d4a…
09-06 10:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on September 6?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7f4eec…
09-04 16:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on September 6?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xae4b4d…
09-04 16:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on September 4?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x44d9c1…
09-03 14:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on September 4?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x71447e…
09-03 13:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 3?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd61e97…
09-01 22:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 3?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x32647a…
08-31 22:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 1?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe99ddb…
08-30 11:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 31?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x221042…