Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$80

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

7.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$412

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$97

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-19

last 10-26 19:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

54% 0% -$51

Other

35% — —

Crypto

10% 25% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+97	$30	32¢	$30	+$0	10-19 11:35
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+99	$33	30¢	$29	-$3	10-19 08:12
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	+56	$30	42¢	$23	-$7	10-19 08:00
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+48	$10	16¢	$7	-$3	10-20 17:45
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+91	$10	8¢	$7	-$3	10-20 17:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	4	$84	303	0	+303	open	—	10-25 20:25
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	2	$52	36	36	+0	No	-$2	10-22 16:11
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$49	120	0	+120	No	-$49	10-25 23:12
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$33	99	0	+99	open	—	10-19 08:12
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	1	$30	97	0	+97	open	—	10-19 11:35
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	1	$30	56	0	+56	open	—	10-19 08:00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	2	$21	42	42	+0	open	—	10-26 19:23
Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	2	$17	68	0	+68	open	—	10-26 19:29
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	3	$15	111	0	+111	open	—	10-26 19:28
Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$12	21	0	+21	open	—	10-22 19:51
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	91	0	+91	open	—	10-20 17:46
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	10-20 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	10-22 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	-$6	10-22 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	Up	-$5	10-22 18:19
Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$5	89	0	+89	open	—	10-25 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$3	4	0	+4	Down	-$3	10-22 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Down	-$3	10-22 16:21
Will Blue & White win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	10-22 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$2	10-22 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$2	29	0	+29	Down	-$2	10-22 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$2	10-22 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	-$2	10-22 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$2	7	0	+7	Down	-$2	10-22 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	-$1	10-22 16:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?	1	$1	43	0	+43	No	-$1	10-19 11:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 20?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	10-19 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Up	-$1	10-22 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	10-23 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	-$1	10-23 18:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:29:27	Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0xfe134a…
10-26 19:28:11	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xa46ba2…
10-26 19:23:03	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	42	26¢	$11	0x1837c5…
10-26 19:13:36	Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x3d20a4…
10-25 23:12:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x44192c…
10-25 23:03:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xacf7a0…
10-25 22:49:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xf4afca…
10-25 22:34:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xdc0e43…
10-25 22:19:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x25b516…
10-25 22:07:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xca210d…
10-25 21:23:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x124c78…
10-25 20:26:50	Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x60864f…
10-25 20:25:38	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	51	41¢	$21	0x828937…
10-24 13:41:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xbf4d3b…
10-24 09:52:51	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x2fbe40…
10-23 20:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x204fad…
10-23 20:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xdd6ae0…
10-23 20:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70fdad…
10-23 18:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2b8e67…
10-23 18:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x877b2d…
10-23 18:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1c3c1f…
10-23 12:51:42	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	53	17¢	$9	0xf3fd08…
10-22 20:07:11	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd3d1e8…
10-22 19:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xbfbc5e…
10-22 19:51:32	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xd90dd6…
10-22 18:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x67a850…
10-22 17:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x549b0c…
10-22 16:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd21fdb…
10-22 16:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x481ae5…
10-22 16:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa4b83d…
10-22 16:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc88250…
10-22 16:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8c01b0…
10-22 16:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x50e215…
10-22 16:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc525d9…
10-22 16:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x78b6ac…
10-22 16:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x50793e…
10-22 16:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdc0d4c…
10-22 16:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2e3679…
10-22 16:11:48	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	SELL	36	70¢	$25	0x972b73…
10-22 14:51:03	Will Blue & White win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0a3302…
10-20 17:47:36	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	BUY	36	75¢	$27	0xc1104e…
10-20 17:46:53	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x8dee5b…
10-20 17:45:08	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x72ff0a…
10-19 12:50:03	Will Blue & White win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xea322b…
10-19 12:48:14	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	146	24¢	$35	0x364d0c…
10-19 11:44:35	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0d0cf8…
10-19 11:43:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x03bd7b…
10-19 11:41:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2f0676…
10-19 11:35:33	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x68d2f8…
10-19 08:50:41	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	102	26¢	$27	0x03e269…
10-19 08:12:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	99	33¢	$33	0x1dd78c…
10-19 08:00:32	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x915f9f…