Immediate-Afoul — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$223

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-05 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 77% -$2

Politics

5% 100% +$22

Other

4% 33% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	1	$423	424	0	+424	No	+$1	04-13 10:01
will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	1	$422	423	0	+423	No	+$0	04-06 15:56
will bitcoin reach 73k on march 9	1	$421	422	0	+422	No	+$1	03-09 16:03
will bitcoin reach 81000 on march 5	1	$421	421	0	+421	No	+$0	03-05 19:55
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 November 2-8?	1	$420	422	0	+422	No	+$2	11-05 17:14
will ethereum reach 2400 august 10 16 2026	1	$407	408	0	+408	No	+$1	08-11 18:02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 September 7-13?	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	09-11 19:55
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$400	421	0	+421	Yes	+$21	11-03 15:58
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?	1	$400	401	0	+401	No	+$1	10-18 19:22
will ethereum reach 2300 july 6 12 2026	1	$400	401	0	+401	No	+$1	07-07 13:54
will bitcoin reach 70k july 27 august 2 2026	1	$400	401	0	+401	No	+$1	08-01 13:29
will ethereum reach 3000 august 31 september 6 2026	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	09-04 15:11
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	10-19 18:33
will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	07-30 15:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	05-07 14:16
will bitcoin reach 72k june 29 july 5 2026	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	07-02 16:53
will ethereum reach 2400 july 20 26 2026	1	$400	401	0	+401	No	+$1	07-23 18:54
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 28-October 4?	1	$400	401	0	+401	No	+$1	10-01 18:58
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	05-17 13:47
will bitcoin reach 76k june 8 14 2026	1	$385	386	0	+386	No	+$1	06-09 19:09
will ethereum dip to 1500 july 13 19 2026	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	07-14 14:08
will ethereum reach 2500 august 3 9 2026	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	08-04 19:35
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27?	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	09-26 07:57
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	9	$210	1,340	1,339	+0	Yes	-$30	01-03 23:13
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	1	$200	230	0	+230	Yes	+$30	05-03 14:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	09-15 19:25
will ethereum reach 2600 august 3 9 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	08-04 19:35
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	1	$44	45	0	+45	No	+$1	05-08 18:57
will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	1	$20	54	0	+54	No	-$20	07-19 19:34
will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	1	$10	71	0	+71	No	-$10	06-09 19:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 17:14:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 November 2-8?	No	BUY	422	100¢	$420	0x5e472a…
11-03 15:58:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	421	95¢	$400	0x941e73…
10-19 18:33:32	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xa450ed…
10-18 19:22:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xa88ce8…
10-01 18:58:17	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x0ac5b3…
09-26 07:57:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xa2762f…
09-15 19:25:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe5efed…
09-12 07:03:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	39	22¢	$9	0x97b61c…
09-11 19:55:45	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 September 7-13?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x93bba7…
09-04 15:11:24	will ethereum reach 3000 august 31 september 6 2026	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x501c19…
08-11 18:02:25	will ethereum reach 2400 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	408	100¢	$407	0x77bea0…
08-04 19:35:44	will ethereum reach 2500 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xa4adf5…
08-04 19:35:03	will ethereum reach 2600 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf43136…
08-01 13:29:11	will bitcoin reach 70k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xe85cc9…
07-30 15:09:08	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x6b2e03…
07-23 18:54:57	will ethereum reach 2400 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xc0076a…
07-21 15:14:04	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0x139f37…
07-19 19:34:21	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x3b94c6…
07-19 19:33:55	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0xeacde5…
07-19 19:33:33	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xee77b8…
07-14 14:08:13	will ethereum dip to 1500 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xa7f82b…
07-07 13:54:01	will ethereum reach 2300 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x4c4ab6…
07-02 16:53:04	will bitcoin reach 72k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xab3d66…
06-09 19:09:28	will bitcoin reach 76k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	386	100¢	$385	0xcdb0a9…
06-09 19:08:09	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xfc7f1f…
05-17 13:47:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x02e89a…
05-08 18:57:43	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xc93ae8…
05-07 14:16:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x8a28a3…
05-03 15:00:16	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xb9efe1…
05-03 15:00:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x39a388…
05-03 14:59:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0xdfce0c…
04-13 10:01:17	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	424	100¢	$423	0x3c26ba…
04-06 15:56:19	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	BUY	423	100¢	$422	0x49bcc9…
03-09 16:03:47	will bitcoin reach 73k on march 9	No	BUY	422	100¢	$421	0x13dbfc…
03-05 19:55:31	will bitcoin reach 81000 on march 5	No	BUY	421	100¢	$421	0xa16f11…
01-03 23:13:29	si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	Yes	SELL	102	7¢	$7	0x27ec59…
01-03 22:54:11	si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	Yes	SELL	101	7¢	$7	0xef2dad…
01-03 21:41:25	si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xf92bba…
01-03 19:32:05	si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x71035e…
01-03 17:18:39	si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	Yes	SELL	46	7¢	$3	0x074afa…
01-03 11:48:07	si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	Yes	SELL	440	7¢	$30	0x5b0d97…
01-03 10:06:01	si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	Yes	SELL	72	7¢	$5	0x74eb7d…
01-02 21:29:23	si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	Yes	SELL	529	6¢	$34	0x54e8ed…
01-02 21:11:47	si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	Yes	BUY	1,340	9¢	$120	0xdfa013…