Old-Forgery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$378

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.8%

Resolved

5,303

Trades

6,525

lifetime

Volume

$34.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 10-24 06:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 79% +$395

Other

0% 0% -$13

Politics

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 285 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	32	$126	300	300	+0	Yes	-$13	07-20 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	5	$99	62	40	+22	Down	+$1	07-29 03:44
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	4	$94	100	100	+0	No	-$4	07-20 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:15 UTC	2	$83	45	44	+1	Down	+$5	08-02 16:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 20:30 UTC	2	$83	43	43	+0	Up	+$3	08-02 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 20:20 UTC	2	$82	42	42	+0	Down	+$2	08-02 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 19:35 UTC	2	$82	42	42	+0	Up	+$2	08-02 19:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 16:45 UTC	2	$82	43	42	+1	Down	+$2	08-02 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 20:30 UTC	2	$82	43	42	+1	Up	+$2	08-02 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:05 UTC	2	$82	43	42	+1	Up	+$3	08-02 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:00 UTC	2	$81	43	42	+1	Down	+$2	08-02 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 18:35 UTC	2	$81	41	41	+0	Up	+$1	08-02 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 19:45 UTC	2	$81	42	41	+1	Up	+$1	08-02 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 20:00 UTC	2	$80	42	41	+1	Down	+$1	08-02 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:20 UTC	2	$80	41	41	+0	Up	+$0	08-02 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:45 UTC	4	$80	41	41	+0	Up	+$0	07-29 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 14:15 UTC	4	$80	44	41	+3	Up	+$3	07-29 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 20:40 UTC	2	$79	41	41	+0	Up	$0	08-02 20:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 19:00 UTC	2	$79	42	41	+1	Down	$0	08-02 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 08:15 UTC	1	$63	107	0	+107	Down	-$63	06-23 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 20:10 UTC	2	$63	44	43	+1	Up	-$17	08-02 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 11:30 UTC	3	$60	41	20	+21	Down	+$1	07-29 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$60	41	20	+21	Down	+$1	07-25 06:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 06:15 UTC	3	$45	147	0	+147	Down	+$102	06-05 06:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 10:15 UTC	2	$42	23	22	+1	Down	+$3	07-29 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:20 UTC	2	$42	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	07-28 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 21:50 UTC	2	$42	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	07-31 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	07-29 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 22:30 UTC	2	$42	23	22	+1	Down	+$3	07-31 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 04:15 UTC	2	$41	22	21	+1	Up	+$1	08-01 04:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 06:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x6a5d71…
10-24 06:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x5c9fda…
10-24 06:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb7de5b…
10-24 06:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x198278…
10-24 06:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe75a37…
10-24 05:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe01dff…
10-24 05:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x28d486…
10-24 05:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5f3eab…
10-24 05:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6b0e88…
10-24 05:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x91534e…
10-24 05:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe02c5e…
10-24 04:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc586f3…
10-24 04:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1b7318…
10-24 04:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xaa752f…
10-24 04:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x808bea…
10-24 04:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc67c82…
10-24 04:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x393d84…
10-24 03:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x98811a…
10-24 03:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x491bdc…
10-24 03:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd281ec…
10-24 03:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x1b0cae…
10-24 03:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc81c33…
10-24 03:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x43c52a…
10-24 03:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd3010c…
10-24 02:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x05c7d2…
10-24 02:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xcfaa63…
10-24 02:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x0e14ab…
10-24 02:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8bea63…
10-24 02:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3c1c49…
10-24 02:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8649c0…
10-24 02:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x1a2ee2…
10-24 02:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2a6563…
10-24 01:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x5e141d…
10-24 01:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd55f19…
10-24 01:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6799c3…
10-24 01:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2e75dd…
10-24 01:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2ca958…
10-24 01:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x711e65…
10-23 22:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8af94c…
10-23 22:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf957df…
10-23 22:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xab42f8…
10-23 22:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xeca122…
10-23 22:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb6358f…
10-23 22:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4b69e8…
10-23 22:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb4cce3…
10-23 21:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x01043d…
10-23 21:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1220d5…
10-23 21:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x929473…
10-23 21:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6cc750…
10-23 21:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x640015…
10-23 21:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2af3f4…
10-23 21:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x16a110…
10-23 20:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfc4db8…
10-23 20:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x12e8fc…
10-23 20:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x32f7d3…
10-23 20:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc4e067…
10-23 19:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x05dfa3…
10-23 19:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb92272…
10-23 19:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9b17ce…
10-23 19:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8c780c…
10-23 19:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x5eefd2…
10-23 19:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6d9aaf…
10-23 19:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x7c4183…
10-23 19:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x523b31…
10-23 19:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xf294a0…
10-23 18:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x308116…
10-23 18:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc35cb6…
10-23 18:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1bb2ea…
10-23 18:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x963287…
10-23 17:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd41aa7…
10-23 17:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x877ff2…
10-23 17:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9b887d…
10-23 17:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc58c55…
10-23 15:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xccd502…
10-23 15:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd62df6…
10-23 15:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x6d33fd…
10-23 13:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe69a7a…
10-23 13:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x76caae…
10-23 13:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe61ee1…
10-23 12:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x180763…
10-23 12:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcbd1dd…
10-23 12:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6fe8b6…
10-23 12:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xdbc959…
10-23 12:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xffae94…
10-23 11:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x29ebc2…
10-23 11:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xda19f5…
10-23 11:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7c1445…
10-23 11:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x69534b…
10-23 11:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe927e0…
10-23 11:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf41f2d…
10-23 10:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf9b32f…
10-23 10:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x79054b…
10-23 10:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xe21b8d…
10-23 10:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf900ce…
10-23 10:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7f7063…
10-23 10:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x368486…
10-23 10:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3ed846…
10-23 10:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x467c1c…
10-23 08:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x7c663b…
10-23 08:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x17e3fc…