Fearful-Resist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$105

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

732

Trades

1,613

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-16 14:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Other

97% 69% +$109

Crypto

3% 51% -$4

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 25?	9	$192	104	104	+1	No	+$15	04-25 19:53
highest temperature in san francisco on april 23 2026 62 63f	3	$144	73	73	+0	No	+$2	04-23 20:04
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 22?	5	$135	71	71	+0	Yes	+$6	05-22 21:16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 30?	3	$129	69	69	+0	No	+$3	04-30 12:02
highest temperature in san francisco on april 13 2026 58 59f	5	$128	65	65	+0	No	+$2	04-13 19:59
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 78°F or higher on May 31?	3	$123	63	63	+0	Yes	+$3	06-01 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 26?	4	$119	63	63	+0	No	-$1	05-25 14:57
highest temperature in atlanta on april 10 2026 74 75f	6	$117	61	61	+0	No	+$5	04-10 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 25?	3	$103	53	53	+0	No	+$3	05-25 20:20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 31?	4	$98	51	51	+0	No	+$4	05-31 18:56
highest temperature in madrid on march 23 2026 15c	5	$96	49	49	+0	No	$0	03-23 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 6?	4	$96	51	51	+0	Yes	+$6	06-06 16:35
highest temperature in chicago on march 24 2026 46 47f	7	$93	47	47	+0	No	+$1	03-24 20:19
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 1?	2	$88	49	49	+0	No	+$8	06-01 19:26
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 6?	5	$88	48	48	+0	No	+$8	06-06 18:42
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 7?	3	$86	46	46	+0	Yes	+$6	06-07 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 1?	4	$85	48	48	+0	No	-$3	06-01 15:36
highest temperature in moscow on april 22 2026 11c	3	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$2	04-22 10:16
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 16c	3	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$2	04-22 18:18
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 28?	10	$80	45	45	+0	No	+$10	05-29 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$76	74	74	+0	Up	+$49	05-18 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 7?	5	$75	42	42	+0	No	-$1	06-07 17:15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 15?	4	$73	37	37	+0	No	+$1	05-15 21:05
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 9?	4	$72	126	126	+0	No	-$5	06-09 09:49
highest temperature in atlanta on april 15 2026 82 83f	3	$71	36	36	+0	No	+$1	04-15 19:54
highest temperature in seattle on april 17 2026 52 53f	2	$71	36	36	+0	No	+$1	04-17 20:57
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 52 53f	3	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$1	03-16 13:55
highest temperature in paris on march 27 2026 8c	4	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	03-27 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 7?	4	$68	36	36	+0	No	+$4	06-07 17:15
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 13?	3	$65	35	35	+0	No	+$5	06-13 07:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 14:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xa7c4c9…
10-16 14:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 16?	No	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x1cbeb2…
10-16 12:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 16?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4f308c…
10-16 12:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc6e8b6…
10-16 11:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 16?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xeae05a…
10-16 11:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 16?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x376392…
10-16 08:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 16?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x521a68…
10-16 07:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 16?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x457f87…
10-16 03:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 16?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xaaf5ea…
10-15 19:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 15?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x26b1a7…
10-15 18:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 15?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xd5d81e…
10-15 18:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 15?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0x83e91c…
10-15 15:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 16?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x38f637…
10-15 15:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x87e958…
10-15 15:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 15?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1571a3…
07-14 07:43:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 14?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe63471…
06-19 16:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xedf49a…
06-19 16:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x084064…
06-19 16:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C or higher on June 20?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xd363eb…
06-19 16:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe9af28…
06-19 04:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x1c3de0…
06-19 04:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xffd8e7…
06-19 04:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xc43eae…
06-17 18:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xeffc9a…
06-17 18:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbedebc…
06-17 18:31:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xc9908e…
06-17 18:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x07b1b7…
06-17 18:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x2df723…
06-17 14:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 17?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3fea25…
06-16 15:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x8e9384…
06-16 15:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 17?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x0210c8…
06-16 15:41:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xad760b…
06-16 15:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6bb175…
06-16 15:39:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x973070…
06-16 15:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 16?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xabb6f1…
06-16 15:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 16?	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x64d417…
06-16 15:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x02e237…
06-16 15:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 16?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5d9aec…
06-16 15:05:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 16?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd41365…
06-16 13:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe46395…
06-16 13:59:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 16?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x83cc08…
06-16 13:58:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 16?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x28a492…
06-16 13:45:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 16?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xda58a0…
06-15 17:43:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 15?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x92fde0…
06-15 17:42:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 15?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x030a34…
06-15 14:49:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 15?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xd5e1c4…
06-15 14:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x08fee6…
06-15 06:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xed502e…
06-14 13:18:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 13:15 UTC	Down	SELL	72	3¢	$2	0x926db2…
06-14 13:13:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	72	35¢	$25	0xeca8c6…
06-14 13:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xc1e6b2…
06-14 13:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1a5967…
06-14 13:04:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xcb9aaa…
06-14 12:57:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xcfad92…
06-14 12:55:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x306e49…
06-14 12:53:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfac4da…
06-13 16:09:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 13?	No	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x84dac7…
06-13 16:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13?	No	SELL	12	61¢	$8	0x4c4ea6…
06-13 15:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xff0643…
06-13 15:54:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 13?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xce0f3d…
06-13 08:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x3ece84…
06-13 08:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0xed8dee…
06-13 08:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0xff09a0…
06-13 07:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0x30208d…
06-13 07:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 13?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x467062…
06-13 06:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 13?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5a80e1…
06-13 05:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xacace3…
06-13 05:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 13?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xa881e8…
06-12 17:23:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x528e80…
06-12 13:10:22	Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa1a0b2…
06-12 13:05:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x77f3ed…
06-12 12:44:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xa96a76…
06-12 12:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe5afd4…
06-12 12:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfbc9a5…
06-12 12:36:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe6f15e…
06-12 12:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x340ccc…
06-12 11:54:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x25684e…
06-12 11:36:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1bf142…
06-12 11:19:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7e4f3d…
06-12 10:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 12?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x6453c4…
06-12 10:27:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:25 UTC	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x6ffd30…
06-12 10:25:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9457a2…
06-12 10:25:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe4bfd5…
06-12 10:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x29e253…
06-12 10:15:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xef0cb5…
06-12 09:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb65d1e…
06-12 09:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 12?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x68121a…
06-12 08:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 12?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xff0e60…
06-12 07:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0907a5…
06-12 02:35:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 02:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xca1e07…
06-12 02:31:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd8bfdf…
06-12 02:30:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xa7de4c…
06-12 02:18:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x065e52…
06-12 02:10:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcc443b…
06-12 00:58:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x709876…
06-12 00:54:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xad976d…
06-12 00:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x47b0d0…
06-12 00:45:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xff493b…
06-12 00:44:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x23f0bb…
06-12 00:36:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc728b4…