Calm-Pitching — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

Trades

465

lifetime

Volume

$16.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-30 15:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

95% 67% +$24

Crypto

2% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$3

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?	2	$661	657	656	+1	open	—	04-26 14:03
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	6	$586	387	387	+0	open	—	03-11 18:38
dfb lev bay 2026 04 22 bay	1	$572	658	0	+658	open	—	04-22 20:17
aus mac wel 2026 04 24 mac	2	$514	542	0	+542	open	—	04-24 10:30
epl che lee 2026 02 10 draw	3	$455	279	279	+0	open	—	02-10 21:39
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	1	$431	464	0	+464	open	—	04-07 20:50
cde tro rcl 2026 02 04 rcl	3	$421	219	219	+0	open	—	02-04 23:27
lal mad bet 2026 02 08 bet	3	$421	298	264	+34	open	—	02-08 19:10
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5	2	$404	232	231	+1	open	—	04-28 16:48
es2 spo mal 2026 01 04 mal	2	$398	213	213	+0	open	—	01-04 17:02
sea laz nap 2026 01 04 nap	2	$398	203	203	+0	open	—	01-04 13:30
bun ein koe 2026 04 05 koe	1	$381	390	0	+390	open	—	04-05 17:06
fl1 rcl ren 2026 02 07 ren	2	$370	190	190	+0	open	—	02-07 21:04
epl ast not 2026 01 03 ast	2	$362	185	185	+0	open	—	01-03 14:33
epl che lee 2026 02 10 che	4	$347	295	295	+0	open	—	02-10 21:15
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?	2	$345	193	193	+1	open	—	04-26 20:01
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	2	$344	192	192	+0	Over	$-14	05-06 20:17
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$299	174	174	+0	open	—	01-18 21:12
uel ast4 bol 2026 04 16 ast4	2	$253	156	155	+2	open	—	04-16 19:55
fl1 rcl aja 2026 01 17 rcl	3	$243	145	145	+0	open	—	01-17 18:55
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?	2	$232	127	126	+0	open	—	04-26 18:31
lal ovi vil 2026 04 23 ovi	2	$219	135	134	+1	open	—	04-23 20:28
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Kenin	2	$216	125	124	+1	open	—	04-24 10:48
elc she mid 2026 02 09 total 3pt5	3	$215	218	218	+0	open	—	02-09 21:34
Will Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	2	$211	115	114	+1	open	—	04-26 18:22
itc ata juv 2026 02 05 ata	1	$201	207	0	+207	open	—	02-05 21:40
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 total 1pt5	1	$200	235	0	+235	open	—	04-08 10:26
ucl asm1 psg 2026 02 17 asm1	2	$199	119	119	+0	open	—	02-16 19:10
ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 new1	2	$197	110	110	+0	open	—	02-24 21:28
fl1 psg pfc 2026 01 04 psg	2	$195	115	115	+0	open	—	01-04 20:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 15:23:22	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x53b7cc…
05-16 15:09:23	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	135	47¢	$64	0xbb6a17…
05-16 14:15:43	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x56dac3…
05-13 19:42:48	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x7b97ba…
05-10 19:42:19	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	206	90¢	$185	0x770fd4…
05-06 20:19:14	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	178	90¢	$160	0x241a67…
05-06 20:17:24	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	192	86¢	$165	0x2d8a35…
05-06 16:43:58	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	192	93¢	$179	0xffe62b…
04-30 19:37:54	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	68	51¢	$35	0x21d965…
04-30 17:14:42	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xbe3e9c…
04-30 01:51:56	Magic vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xc5ab1d…
04-29 17:43:10	Magic vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xf109ff…
04-28 16:48:36	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	231	87¢	$201	0xcf21ac…
04-28 07:01:42	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	232	88¢	$204	0x7c5e73…
04-27 22:49:54	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x2a0453…
04-27 22:47:06	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x698b5d…
04-27 13:26:46	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x1dca16…
04-26 21:13:22	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x8825d7…
04-26 20:01:06	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	193	89¢	$171	0x6d7d24…
04-26 20:00:22	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	193	90¢	$174	0x3d8750…
04-26 18:56:58	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf990ed…
04-26 18:51:22	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	22	36¢	$8	0x00e5bf…
04-26 18:34:42	CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xd725b9…
04-26 18:31:38	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	126	94¢	$119	0x63dc72…
04-26 18:27:50	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	127	90¢	$114	0xf3cb49…
04-26 18:22:54	Will Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x065987…
04-26 17:50:08	Will Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	115	85¢	$97	0x037cce…
04-26 17:44:14	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x395c17…
04-26 16:29:18	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x2de5bd…
04-26 16:23:04	Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x71899c…
04-26 16:06:24	Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	84	85¢	$71	0x9a5ebf…
04-26 16:01:46	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0xb09e4c…
04-26 15:48:48	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	72	89¢	$64	0x0a8cd5…
04-26 15:35:34	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x393a61…
04-26 15:04:24	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x26b4df…
04-26 15:02:08	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	No	SELL	108	55¢	$59	0xc38981…
04-26 14:16:44	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	No	BUY	109	70¢	$76	0xca02ec…
04-26 14:03:46	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	656	5¢	$31	0x738a10…
04-26 13:45:12	Will ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x30716e…
04-26 13:41:36	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	657	96¢	$630	0x8eabd5…
04-26 11:52:02	Will ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x38e55d…
04-25 13:22:40	Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)	Olympique Lyonnais	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7e1128…
04-24 20:27:56	fl1 sbr rcl 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	Racing Club de Lens	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0xbe4bc8…
04-24 20:27:32	fl1 sbr rcl 2026 04 24 sbr	No	SELL	118	35¢	$41	0x2f4504…
04-24 17:05:56	sea nap cre 2026 04 24 nap	Yes	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xde4c7d…
04-24 10:48:24	Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Kenin	Qinwen Zheng	SELL	124	93¢	$116	0xa9f045…
04-24 10:30:20	aus mac wel 2026 04 24 mac	Yes	BUY	509	97¢	$494	0xa3fc77…
04-24 09:16:38	fl1 sbr rcl 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	Racing Club de Lens	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xc6cf0e…
04-24 09:13:52	aus mac wel 2026 04 24 mac	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x5ed236…
04-24 06:48:02	Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Kenin	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x90d384…
04-24 06:46:30	fl1 sbr rcl 2026 04 24 sbr	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xe88075…
04-23 20:28:48	lal ovi vil 2026 04 23 ovi	No	SELL	134	89¢	$119	0xa67b24…
04-23 19:47:30	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 20c	Yes	SELL	39	20¢	$8	0xe6114a…
04-23 18:52:16	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xeaa880…
04-23 18:27:40	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xbc7a9f…
04-23 10:14:22	lal ovi vil 2026 04 23 ovi	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x36474f…
04-23 07:57:54	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	94¢	$44	0x72fd84…
04-22 20:29:02	cde str ogc 2026 04 22 ogc	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xfa7f9a…
04-22 20:27:00	dfb lev bay 2026 04 22 spread away 1pt5	FC Bayern München	SELL	48	32¢	$15	0x225178…
04-22 20:17:18	dfb lev bay 2026 04 22 bay	Yes	BUY	658	87¢	$572	0xae5788…
04-22 17:25:16	lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	Yes	SELL	37	33¢	$12	0xda351c…
04-22 17:23:32	lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x3e2952…
04-22 17:18:08	lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	No	SELL	31	45¢	$14	0xc79ff0…
04-22 17:17:16	lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	No	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x9d6e18…
04-22 14:41:06	cde str ogc 2026 04 22 str	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x389576…
04-22 14:34:18	dfb lev bay 2026 04 22 spread away 1pt5	FC Bayern München	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xddd787…
04-21 10:41:04	dota2 flc gl 2026 04 21	Team Falcons	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf3d757…
04-21 10:35:48	chi ron yun 2026 04 21 ron	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xa81bac…
04-21 07:53:44	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xd7f89f…
04-20 19:31:22	epl cry wes 2026 04 20 wes	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x18a97c…
04-16 19:55:28	uel ast4 bol 2026 04 16 ast4	Yes	SELL	155	99¢	$153	0x13e48f…
04-16 18:41:26	uel ast4 bol 2026 04 16 ast4	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x2af19b…
04-14 21:26:12	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	135	25¢	$34	0xced7cb…
04-14 18:58:14	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 liv1	No	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x56a023…
04-10 17:48:53	fl1 pfc asm 2026 04 10 asm	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0x3ee6d2…
04-10 12:17:57	fl1 pfc asm 2026 04 10 asm	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8d59dd…
04-08 10:43:11	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x6e8b86…
04-08 10:26:27	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x2fa0c4…
04-07 20:50:29	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	Yes	BUY	464	93¢	$431	0x9db3e8…
04-07 20:35:35	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdceeec…
04-07 20:17:33	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 btts	Yes	SELL	68	56¢	$38	0xb4b60d…
04-07 18:20:09	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 btts	Yes	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x1c393a…
04-05 17:06:03	bun ein koe 2026 04 05 koe	No	BUY	390	98¢	$381	0x1b9ec3…
04-05 17:02:35	fl1 hac aja 2026 04 05 draw	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x85758f…
04-05 16:59:31	fl1 met nan 2026 04 05 draw	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd679e9…
04-05 16:59:13	fl1 lor pfc 2026 04 05 draw	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x91d2d9…
04-05 14:34:01	fl1 ang lyo 2026 04 05 draw	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x66f3d8…
04-03 19:44:59	fr2 rst lav 2026 04 03 rst	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x0d5e21…
04-03 18:52:29	fr2 rst lav 2026 04 03 rst	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7c15c0…
04-03 18:52:15	fl1 psg tou 2026 04 03 psg	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x72b5b8…
03-27 09:53:43	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	71	57¢	$41	0xeba1e0…
03-24 21:14:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x2e59ff…
03-24 18:33:49	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x311a2e…
03-22 21:27:35	sea fio int 2026 03 22 draw	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xdc4dd2…
03-22 21:03:13	sea fio int 2026 03 22 btts	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc4aeba…
03-22 15:20:47	will kanye tweet again by march 31	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd6a504…
03-22 15:17:33	fl1 lyo asm 2026 03 22 btts	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x382547…
03-22 15:15:29	epl tot not 2026 03 22 btts	No	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xb6d27a…
03-21 21:42:11	fl1 ogc psg 2026 03 21 btts	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x137dc3…
03-19 18:18:43	uel lyo1 cel4 2026 03 19 btts	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa436fb…