Shadowy-Ethernet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.50K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved

108

Trades

3,696

lifetime

Volume

$157.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-30 03:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

96% 54% +$2,237

Politics

3% 100% +$92

Tech

1% 100% +$172

Crypto

0% 25% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	177	$10.3K	9,591	4,414	+5,177	No	+$92	10-01 20:06
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	202	$9.6K	8,851	4,368	+4,484	No	+$73	10-08 18:07
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	143	$8.6K	5,870	5,350	+520	No	+$17	07-29 07:06
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	247	$7.9K	9,382	8,982	+400	Yes	+$115	07-24 13:12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	127	$6.9K	10,525	1,521	+9,004	No	+$84	10-10 07:30
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	111	$6.9K	5,850	3,158	+2,692	No	+$39	10-03 05:19
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	117	$6.9K	7,634	4,196	+3,438	Yes	+$93	10-17 06:30
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	101	$6.7K	5,120	2,883	+2,236	No	+$17	10-13 01:05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	127	$6.5K	9,191	2,136	+7,055	No	+$43	10-05 08:50
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	71	$6.1K	5,527	2,389	+3,138	No	+$49	10-13 22:03
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	112	$5.9K	5,743	3,858	+1,884	No	+$5	10-16 03:29
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	134	$5.5K	3,760	3,760	+0	Yes	+$171	07-21 04:50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	94	$4.2K	2,919	2,151	+768	No	+$30	10-15 02:00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	26	$3.9K	2,424	1,815	+608	No	+$0	09-27 23:27
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	91	$3.5K	5,921	5,590	+331	No	-$336	07-29 14:35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	113	$3.5K	4,498	1,982	+2,517	Yes	+$125	09-08 04:53
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	71	$3.3K	2,397	1,717	+680	No	+$17	10-07 17:42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	45	$2.7K	3,033	2,655	+378	Yes	+$115	09-29 05:48
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	37	$2.6K	2,195	1,309	+885	Yes	+$3	10-19 18:48
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	114	$2.6K	4,207	3,079	+1,127	Yes	+$36	09-22 04:52
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	63	$2.5K	3,836	1,854	+1,981	Yes	+$90	09-28 02:59
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	30	$2.5K	1,289	1,289	+0	No	+$52	06-15 01:30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	125	$2.4K	3,790	3,790	+0	No	-$16	07-22 08:01
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	30	$2.3K	1,260	1,260	+0	No	+$13	07-20 10:47
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	48	$1.8K	2,918	1,751	+1,167	No	+$32	10-08 22:18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	89	$1.8K	2,128	2,028	+100	No	+$40	09-21 16:26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	123	$1.7K	3,606	1,615	+1,990	No	+$61	09-30 06:44
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	47	$1.6K	2,672	238	+2,434	No	-$6	10-27 03:55
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	38	$1.4K	1,313	498	+815	No	-$2	10-04 14:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	5	$1.4K	1,530	0	+1,530	Yes	+$153	06-22 00:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 03:02:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xfab618…
10-30 03:02:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x34ef86…
10-30 03:02:25	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xf15b84…
10-30 03:02:25	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	28¢	$42	0x83a1bb…
10-30 03:00:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x78fe99…
10-30 02:53:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x86571c…
10-30 02:51:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	71¢	$23	0x7a5d46…
10-30 02:51:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	71¢	$48	0x4ad2e2…
10-30 01:42:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	30¢	$16	0x023bb7…
10-30 01:32:55	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	303	31¢	$93	0xfe88a2…
10-30 01:24:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x7c7a9a…
10-30 01:23:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x4f0573…
10-30 01:09:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x7c286a…
10-30 00:56:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xebe230…
10-30 00:37:40	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0xeb8699…
10-29 22:30:04	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	51	68¢	$35	0x1ef358…
10-29 22:27:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	30¢	$27	0x4c0275…
10-29 21:36:40	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x3152b1…
10-29 21:29:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0b9bc3…
10-29 21:27:55	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x0bd0fa…
10-29 20:03:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0x5d6176…
10-29 20:02:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	173	93¢	$161	0x45d991…
10-29 19:59:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	66	88¢	$58	0x092dfb…
10-29 19:05:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0x0912c1…
10-29 19:05:10	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x78c4c2…
10-29 19:03:25	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0xaa0eb2…
10-29 17:38:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x4a4d31…
10-29 16:22:25	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0x61b8e5…
10-29 16:10:34	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0xe8e0d7…
10-29 16:08:58	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x1d07d3…
10-29 14:15:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0xb1df10…
10-29 14:15:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xdec856…
10-29 14:14:59	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	88¢	$66	0xcb3c1d…
10-29 14:14:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	126	87¢	$109	0xfd2ac2…
10-29 14:14:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	17¢	$12	0xc56ab1…
10-29 14:08:37	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	17¢	$14	0x0e8dbe…
10-27 03:55:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	52	95¢	$49	0xdea2fd…
10-27 03:49:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	252	94¢	$237	0x6ada77…
10-27 03:41:53	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	7¢	$6	0x8e8a45…
10-27 03:34:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xc2b4b6…
10-27 03:33:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7de3a2…
10-27 03:33:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x433b5d…
10-27 03:12:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x0373a3…
10-27 03:11:41	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xef6416…
10-27 03:06:14	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x684339…
10-27 01:34:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0x49f22e…
10-27 01:33:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	301	93¢	$281	0xd52029…
10-27 01:28:59	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0xee8d05…
10-27 01:28:59	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x3d72d0…
10-27 01:28:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0xea5691…
10-27 01:28:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x94a76a…
10-27 01:25:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x326196…
10-27 01:22:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x589c38…
10-27 01:11:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xefe17a…
10-26 22:39:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	51	93¢	$47	0x7ab74a…
10-26 22:34:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	301	93¢	$279	0x2fbd1d…
10-26 21:54:41	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x841128…
10-26 21:54:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xdb8a88…
10-26 21:54:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x58838a…
10-26 21:51:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x3db156…
10-26 21:00:14	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0xbfc448…
10-26 20:50:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	148	95¢	$141	0x313bcf…
10-26 19:46:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xff9476…
10-26 19:11:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0x39f078…
10-26 19:02:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	275	95¢	$260	0xbc5053…
10-26 18:59:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x0f14f4…
10-26 18:47:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xf5dd20…
10-26 18:47:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xae713d…
10-26 18:47:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x8a93ee…
10-26 18:47:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x54e555…
10-26 18:44:45	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x3d2906…
10-26 18:41:45	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xc63323…
10-26 18:40:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xcbc43f…
10-26 18:40:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x4d889e…
10-26 18:39:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xe49ed8…
10-26 16:18:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	42	68¢	$28	0x2c722b…
10-26 16:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	178	68¢	$121	0xd9df4e…
10-26 16:09:41	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	36¢	$13	0x0de538…
10-26 15:32:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x75424a…
10-26 15:12:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	33¢	$17	0xca5386…
10-26 14:56:32	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x5033be…
10-26 05:19:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	55¢	$132	0xf8980e…
10-26 04:34:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0x69a9d2…
10-26 04:28:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xe97f8f…
10-26 04:27:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	53¢	$51	0xca05eb…
10-26 04:26:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	54¢	$37	0x8412ba…
10-26 04:26:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x6cfce4…
10-26 03:23:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x96289a…
10-26 03:15:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0xb1e1e3…
10-26 03:14:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	202	34¢	$68	0x1c9476…
10-26 02:56:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	64¢	$29	0x4b9066…
10-26 02:49:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	64¢	$12	0x17467d…
10-26 02:43:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	64¢	$9	0x9ab0ac…
10-26 02:24:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x37327b…
10-26 02:18:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	60¢	$32	0xd80162…
10-26 02:05:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xdd0b4a…
10-26 01:05:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x587f8d…
10-26 00:00:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x6cfed2…
10-26 00:00:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	157	49¢	$78	0xbba6cc…
10-25 23:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x51b857…