New-Cow — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$270

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.7%

Resolved (90d)

193

Trades (90d)

1,566

5,597 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$11.1K

$70.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 11-01 14:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 159 days

Categories

Other

89% 22% +$5,883

Crypto

5% 20% -$286

Politics

4% 18% +$27

Sports

2% 3% +$835

Tech

0% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 207 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wti up or down on august 4 2026	11	$3.0K	4,281	4,281	+0	Down	+$1,999	08-04 13:37
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	13	$2.3K	2,697	2,697	-0	Down	+$1,116	05-28 17:02
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	7	$1.8K	990	990	+0	No	+$19	05-10 11:56
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?	22	$1.7K	4,332	4,332	+0	Up	+$368	05-18 22:44
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 18?	15	$1.6K	6,141	5,129	+1,012	Up	-$113	05-18 21:00
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 15?	19	$1.4K	9,253	8,253	+1,000	Down	+$115	05-15 18:19
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	15	$1.4K	3,231	3,231	+0	Down	+$573	05-21 20:58
xauusd up or down on july 24 2026	8	$1.2K	915	915	+0	Up	+$5	07-24 06:12
ng up or down on april 13 2026	19	$1.2K	1,142	1,106	+36	Down	+$768	04-14 04:15
xauusd up or down on june 8 2026	10	$1.1K	1,525	1,525	+0	Up	+$390	06-08 12:50
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	48	$1.1K	3,345	3,345	+0	Down	-$82	05-26 19:52
ng up or down on june 25 2026	9	$1.1K	1,172	1,120	+52	Up	+$528	06-25 17:51
xauusd up or down on june 18 2026	5	$1.1K	2,058	1,500	+558	Down	+$906	06-18 12:03
ng up or down on july 8 2026	6	$1.0K	1,017	1,017	+0	Down	+$516	07-08 16:47
mlb phi sf 2026 04 07 spread home 5pt5	125	$1.0K	4,002	1,323	+2,679	San Francisco Giants	+$954	04-08 07:00
ng up or down on july 30 2026	8	$976	1,570	1,070	+500	Up	+$793	07-30 18:20
ng up or down on july 16 2026	6	$962	996	956	+40	Down	+$438	07-16 14:34
ng up or down on april 9 2026	9	$847	643	628	+16	Down	+$351	04-13 15:17
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 15?	11	$843	2,440	1,940	+500	Up	+$845	06-15 17:54
xauusd up or down on june 16 2026	8	$841	2,140	2,039	+101	Up	-$44	06-16 16:06
xauusd up or down on august 6 2026	9	$826	1,260	910	+350	Down	+$602	08-06 16:25
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	20	$817	4,191	4,191	+0	Up	+$286	05-12 19:23
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 1?	9	$809	1,200	1,200	+0	Down	+$475	06-01 19:01
wti closes above 87 on april 21 2026	6	$791	556	544	+12	Yes	+$308	04-21 21:07
wti up or down on june 12 2026	8	$763	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$323	06-12 17:53
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 21?	7	$745	1,300	1,300	+0	Up	+$9	07-21 12:36
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 13?	14	$700	2,478	1,933	+545	Up	+$44	05-13 21:00
spy up or down on august 5 2026	23	$696	1,520	1,020	+500	Down	+$497	08-05 15:17
wti up or down on april 21 2026	17	$684	1,985	1,934	+51	Up	-$546	04-21 18:56
wti up or down on july 14 2026	10	$673	2,925	2,525	+400	Up	+$237	07-14 18:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 14:57:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	220	9¢	$20	0x0eb9c5…
11-01 14:54:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2?	No	BUY	2,000	10¢	$200	0x804de8…
10-29 14:45:04	Silver Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	399	1¢	$4	0x103ed2…
10-29 14:44:31	Silver Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf72fbf…
10-29 14:44:31	Silver Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	501	1¢	$5	0x5969aa…
10-26 15:58:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x803aab…
10-26 15:58:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	430	1¢	$4	0x09b952…
10-26 08:28:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x084a3d…
10-26 06:31:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	821	3¢	$24	0xa5f6c7…
10-26 06:28:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	450	3¢	$12	0x545ba3…
10-26 06:13:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	488	3¢	$16	0xae5858…
10-26 06:04:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	245	4¢	$10	0x5c5f28…
10-26 06:03:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	845	4¢	$34	0x90aeec…
10-23 15:56:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0xb80386…
10-23 15:54:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 23?	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x347655…
10-22 14:47:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	2,000	1¢	$16	0xd5f369…
10-22 14:30:27	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xbcffd1…
10-21 14:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf7e9ac…
10-21 14:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	99	3¢	$3	0xc88bb9…
10-21 14:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0xd0acc9…
10-21 14:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0x6c3967…
10-21 14:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	103	3¢	$4	0x0bd14c…
10-21 14:43:47	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	187	3¢	$6	0xd52e9a…
10-21 14:43:45	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	113	3¢	$3	0xcd61eb…
10-21 14:43:02	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0xfc76a9…
10-21 14:43:02	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	139	3¢	$4	0x9f3831…
10-21 14:42:33	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0xe1d076…
10-21 13:24:35	Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x0b53c8…
10-19 11:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x4095bf…
10-19 11:02:26	Solana Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	60	6¢	$3	0x355774…
10-16 17:53:09	wti up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xf17d75…
10-14 20:08:01	ng up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0xd58d85…
10-14 20:07:58	ng up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	978	1¢	$10	0x450104…
10-14 20:07:54	ng up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	842	1¢	$8	0x33b314…
10-14 13:17:57	xauusd up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	354	3¢	$11	0xdeb923…
10-14 13:03:42	xauusd up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	143	3¢	$4	0xa4a66c…
10-14 13:02:45	xauusd up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xb3b182…
10-14 12:49:45	xagusd up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x3c347c…
10-14 12:46:45	xauusd up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xfdb78f…
10-13 15:20:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 13?	No	SELL	407	9¢	$35	0x60a269…
10-13 14:50:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 13?	No	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0xfae36c…
10-13 14:30:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 13?	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xd50066…
10-13 14:26:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 13?	No	BUY	115	12¢	$14	0x403ab1…
10-12 15:03:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	75	6¢	$4	0xdc94bc…
10-12 07:38:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	62	0¢	$0	0x68a94f…
10-09 21:59:59	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xf46eb7…
10-09 10:38:09	ethereum up or down on october 9 2026	Down	BUY	300	6¢	$18	0xadb597…
10-09 09:00:13	xauusd up or down on october 9 2026	Down	BUY	175	9¢	$16	0x85e061…
10-09 08:40:01	ng up or down on october 9 2026	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x20d67a…
10-09 06:51:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x2f008f…
10-09 06:50:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x282af3…
10-09 06:49:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0xcf276e…
10-08 14:41:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8?	No	BUY	127	7¢	$9	0xdbfa61…
10-08 14:39:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8?	No	BUY	127	7¢	$9	0x4495de…
10-08 14:38:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8?	No	BUY	131	6¢	$8	0x31162e…
10-08 09:30:15	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x227fe5…
10-08 09:28:45	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9131c8…
10-08 07:06:28	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xafe394…
10-08 07:05:28	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x36d7f5…
10-08 07:03:37	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x846089…
10-08 07:03:08	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xfa9f2d…
10-07 12:42:13	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	120	20¢	$24	0x556deb…
10-07 08:09:53	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x89b19b…
10-07 08:03:57	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xd17d46…
10-06 15:41:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 6?	No	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xd306f7…
10-06 15:41:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 6?	No	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x22d8a5…
10-06 15:04:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 6?	No	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x339296…
10-06 15:03:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 6?	No	BUY	120	10¢	$12	0x6756f7…
10-02 14:33:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 2?	No	SELL	500	8¢	$40	0xf28b92…
10-02 11:24:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 2?	No	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x0d8017…
10-01 20:44:27	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	SELL	570	1¢	$6	0xf0611b…
10-01 15:31:54	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	SELL	570	23¢	$132	0x414b51…
10-01 14:41:45	wti up or down on october 1 2026	Down	SELL	116	16¢	$19	0xbd3d22…
10-01 14:39:32	wti up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x4aafce…
10-01 13:26:48	wti up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0xd5277f…
10-01 09:31:39	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	1,140	23¢	$261	0x2a2e59…
09-30 20:07:05	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	269	0¢	$0	0xda5697…
09-30 20:06:24	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	1,200	0¢	$1	0x3d67d7…
09-30 20:05:41	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf62658…
09-30 20:03:38	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xaec82c…
09-29 15:29:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	491	4¢	$20	0xf65c95…
09-29 15:29:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x7dbbfb…
09-29 15:28:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xdbaa2e…
09-29 15:19:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 29?	No	SELL	120	80¢	$96	0x8902fd…
09-29 12:52:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 29?	No	BUY	120	11¢	$13	0x0438da…
09-29 11:50:57	xauusd up or down on september 29 2026	Down	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xd8e0b1…
09-29 11:44:20	xauusd up or down on september 29 2026	Down	BUY	80	14¢	$11	0xa1ac5f…
09-29 07:40:41	trump renames ai by october 31	Yes	BUY	400	64¢	$257	0x1c1000…
09-29 07:39:00	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	441	48¢	$212	0x2a4181…
09-28 20:14:35	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0xfa5b11…
09-28 20:10:17	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xc013a5…
09-28 18:36:09	wti up or down on september 28 2026	Down	SELL	231	54¢	$125	0x9a8a1d…
09-28 18:32:44	ng up or down on september 28 2026	Up	SELL	1,000	1¢	$10	0x19ef28…
09-28 16:31:08	wti up or down on september 28 2026	Down	SELL	157	50¢	$78	0xe2dfce…
09-28 16:20:06	wti up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	578	11¢	$64	0xd6ecd3…
09-28 12:41:18	ng up or down on september 28 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x0d4c53…
09-28 12:06:56	wti up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x4ec7fb…
09-28 11:02:29	wti up or down on september 28 2026	Down	SELL	629	4¢	$25	0x70e31e…
09-28 10:06:38	wti up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	369	5¢	$18	0x874822…
09-28 10:06:27	wti up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	260	5¢	$13	0xc3a7f2…