Extraneous-Secretion — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.7%

Resolved (90d)

857

Trades (90d)

2,669

37,247 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$10.5K

$298.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 09:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 250 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 30% +$3,956

Other

0% 21% -$137

Sports

0% 25% +$35

Politics

0% 75% +$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	51	$2.2K	96,355	+96,355	Down	-$2,120	05-31 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	5	$1.7K	1,788	+1,788	Up	+$22	04-28 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 04:30 UTC	24	$1.4K	1,571	+1,571	Up	+$48	04-01 04:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 05:35 UTC	2	$1.2K	1,504	+1,504	Down	+$299	04-20 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 02:10 UTC	5	$1.1K	1,373	+1,373	Down	+$217	04-15 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 06:45 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,027	+1,027	Down	+$9	04-18 06:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 07:10 UTC	1	$1000	1,020	+1,020	Down	+$20	04-18 07:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:30 UTC	5	$930	1,473	+1,473	Up	-$573	02-16 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	7	$923	1,020	+1,020	Up	+$27	05-10 10:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 18:25 UTC	11	$917	1,041	+1,041	Down	+$24	04-12 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	4	$917	962	+962	Down	+$28	04-28 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	5	$912	950	+950	Down	+$26	05-08 01:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET	9	$862	961	+961	Down	+$6	04-25 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	7	$840	987	+987	Up	+$71	05-09 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:50 UTC	2	$810	829	+829	Down	+$1	04-12 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	3	$810	854	+854	Down	+$6	04-25 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 10:40 UTC	2	$805	825	+825	Down	+$3	04-20 10:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 06:40 UTC	1	$800	1,154	+1,154	Down	+$354	04-13 06:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 11:45 UTC	15	$760	1,118	+1,118	Down	+$152	03-16 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	6	$735	857	+857	Down	+$80	04-28 03:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:00 UTC	7	$722	774	+774	Down	+$29	04-12 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 01:15 UTC	5	$716	773	+773	Down	-$9	04-15 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	4	$715	744	+744	Down	+$4	04-28 03:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:15 UTC	9	$710	1,451	+1,451	Up	-$27	07-13 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$710	733	+733	Up	+$23	04-25 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	19	$710	825	+825	Down	+$96	05-23 02:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 03:45 UTC	6	$706	767	+767	Up	+$9	04-18 03:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 08:30 UTC	3	$706	739	+739	Down	+$1	04-12 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$703	717	+717	Down	+$4	05-10 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$703	720	+720	Down	+$4	05-12 00:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 09:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xafa9d4…
11-01 08:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x2cec7e…
11-01 08:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	54	53¢	$28	0xaa9658…
11-01 08:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x1b3ce0…
11-01 08:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x049190…
11-01 08:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x785c12…
11-01 08:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x627b08…
11-01 08:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x503ace…
10-18 03:54:59	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xeb39e8…
10-18 03:54:59	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x14d35b…
10-17 14:57:47	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	4¢	$4	0x86749a…
10-17 14:04:54	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x02991b…
10-17 13:23:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x414814…
10-17 13:23:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xd83318…
10-17 11:19:15	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x9dcb23…
10-17 11:19:15	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x5790e6…
10-17 11:19:15	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x26410b…
10-17 11:14:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7daadf…
10-17 10:41:35	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0xb1f681…
10-12 06:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf99efb…
10-12 02:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x631115…
09-30 10:25:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xac7019…
09-30 10:25:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x752baa…
09-30 10:25:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x5dd9f2…
09-30 10:25:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0x25e9be…
09-29 02:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdf4a67…
09-29 02:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd4b956…
09-29 02:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x9701c7…
09-29 02:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x88b993…
09-29 02:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x6ca548…
09-29 02:47:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x43a224…
09-29 02:19:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xf62325…
09-29 02:14:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xfd93ea…
09-27 03:04:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x70cfab…
09-27 02:48:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0xb5aa21…
09-27 02:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0492b4…
09-27 02:30:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0xf412b6…
09-27 02:22:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x94a749…
09-24 07:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x147732…
09-24 07:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x5fb99c…
09-24 07:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x96ba99…
09-24 07:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc72c95…
09-24 04:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x2371c7…
09-24 03:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xb0af13…
09-24 03:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6cb4fc…
09-24 03:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x2c90dc…
09-24 03:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xfe54c3…
09-24 03:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x498578…
09-24 03:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x19363b…
09-24 03:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x4c34dd…
09-24 03:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xb645b0…
09-24 03:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x1f36e0…
09-24 03:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xa2b20a…
09-24 03:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x4e55a1…
09-24 03:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x1cfd3f…
09-24 03:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xe2cb06…
09-24 03:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x4a5a4c…
09-24 03:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe1db8a…
09-24 02:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x38ba85…
09-24 02:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xf6a4b0…
09-24 02:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xcd876d…
09-24 02:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x7203d9…
09-24 02:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x5ed3ad…
09-24 02:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x2c026c…
09-24 02:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x5dbd18…
09-24 02:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf9e1ad…
09-24 02:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x9112cf…
09-24 02:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x35ac2b…
09-24 02:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xade172…
09-24 02:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x1220d6…
09-24 02:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x650cd6…
09-24 02:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x141aa7…
09-24 02:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x7f7fb9…
09-24 02:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xc4410c…
09-24 02:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xc576b4…
09-24 02:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x576a2d…
09-24 02:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xfc2f1a…
09-24 01:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xcc3da7…
09-24 01:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x8c887d…
09-24 00:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x9057c9…
09-23 12:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x2592d2…
09-22 03:09:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xd4e6a0…
09-22 02:57:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x05a064…
09-22 02:40:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x2b31cf…
09-22 02:20:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x9fbbb0…
09-22 02:18:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x0168a7…
09-22 02:18:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x888861…
09-22 02:10:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x0c6417…
09-22 02:10:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xd71937…
09-22 02:02:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xf86597…
09-22 02:01:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x4110bb…
09-22 01:52:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x6b129b…
09-21 09:37:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xcf2f23…
09-21 04:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x7a058a…
09-21 04:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x8697b5…
09-21 04:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x375fc5…
09-21 03:50:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xed026f…
09-21 03:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x7f6f2b…
09-21 02:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x53fa31…
09-21 02:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xfe6cf7…