Firm-Squid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$310

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

2,054

Trades

4,732

lifetime

Volume

$9.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 09-15 04:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% -$303

Other

0% 0% -$9

Politics

0% 100% +$3

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:35 UTC	6	$64	78	77	+1	Up	+$15	03-22 22:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 14:55 UTC	4	$55	65	64	+1	Up	+$15	03-22 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 22:55 UTC	7	$53	60	59	+1	Down	+$14	03-14 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 17:30 UTC	4	$49	65	64	+1	Down	+$9	03-22 17:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 12:15 UTC	3	$46	63	62	+0	Up	+$26	03-16 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:55 UTC	4	$44	85	85	+1	Up	+$4	03-22 22:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 00:25 UTC	3	$42	195	195	+1	Down	+$2	03-15 00:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 01:50 UTC	4	$41	74	73	+0	Up	+$12	03-19 01:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 09:05 UTC	3	$41	125	125	+0	Up	+$12	03-21 09:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 15:45 UTC	2	$40	45	45	+0	Up	+$21	03-23 15:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 13:30 UTC	4	$39	57	57	+1	Down	+$10	03-22 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 21:00 UTC	2	$36	45	45	+0	Down	+$17	03-22 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:45 UTC	4	$36	60	59	+1	Up	-$4	03-22 22:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 21:05 UTC	4	$35	32	32	+0	Up	+$16	03-21 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	4	$34	37	17	+20	Up	+$0	05-10 03:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 12:00 UTC	5	$33	97	80	+17	Down	+$3	03-22 12:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 22:40 UTC	4	$32	52	51	+1	Down	+$3	03-21 22:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 11:50 UTC	3	$32	30	30	+0	Up	+$12	03-22 11:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 22:20 UTC	2	$32	29	29	+0	Up	+$12	03-22 22:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 13:55 UTC	2	$32	34	34	+0	Up	+$12	03-15 13:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 13:15 UTC	4	$31	49	49	+1	Down	+$1	03-22 13:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 21:15 UTC	4	$30	31	31	+0	Up	+$10	03-21 21:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 12:50 UTC	2	$29	29	28	+0	Down	+$10	03-15 12:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 12:35 UTC	2	$29	28	27	+0	Up	+$9	03-15 12:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 02:20 UTC	4	$29	49	49	+0	Up	+$2	03-22 02:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 10:50 UTC	5	$29	21	21	+0	Up	+$13	03-11 10:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 14:00 UTC	5	$28	314	20	+294	Down	-$11	03-22 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 10:55 UTC	4	$28	74	74	+0	Up	-$2	03-22 10:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 08:40 UTC	4	$28	32	32	+0	Down	+$9	03-13 08:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 03:45 UTC	2	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$8	03-15 03:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 04:09:40	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x33ea65…
09-15 04:09:30	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	331	0¢	$1	0xdaecfc…
08-21 04:28:19	will total crypto market cap hit 2pt5t in 2026 20260721192934669	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xa1af9d…
08-20 18:29:51	will total crypto market cap hit 2pt5t in 2026 20260721192934669	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x5f9f6d…
08-20 17:04:25	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xf3e7a5…
08-20 17:03:58	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xd07bc0…
08-20 04:29:55	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 14 starship 563	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xeca5cd…
08-19 14:20:07	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbaba11…
08-17 19:54:40	will total crypto market cap hit 2pt5t in 2026 20260721192934669	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x114751…
08-17 15:50:13	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026 from august 10	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x94b4e3…
08-17 14:17:07	Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8627bd…
08-17 14:10:01	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x9af583…
08-16 01:11:09	Will qwen3.8-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x34a9aa…
08-09 02:51:37	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260804194832576	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x893118…
08-09 02:46:39	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf7efe9…
08-09 02:42:33	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x17c68c…
08-09 02:35:13	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on August 31?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x09cebe…
08-09 02:16:01	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 4 10	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2c84ba…
08-09 01:35:42	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xe7aa0a…
08-09 01:35:42	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x26f4d8…
08-09 01:11:01	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x537e4a…
08-09 00:35:33	Will qwen3.8-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x851dfd…
07-18 15:08:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xacdf9d…
07-18 15:06:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x48569f…
07-18 15:01:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3b4e27…
07-18 14:57:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xcb7fb7…
07-18 14:55:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4aea78…
07-18 14:54:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x195bd6…
07-18 14:25:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 14:20 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x73f05c…
07-18 14:24:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd5435b…
07-18 14:04:00	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8fe121…
07-18 13:45:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd19b49…
07-18 13:41:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x41c0c9…
07-18 13:34:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xe6f2e0…
07-18 13:34:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x7f0a51…
07-18 13:33:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3d51cf…
07-18 12:56:15	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x82b10b…
07-18 12:52:15	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7fe827…
07-18 12:51:27	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 12:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0xf45a4c…
07-18 12:51:12	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x3d7e66…
07-18 12:46:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x4abe9c…
07-18 12:46:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xd923fe…
07-18 12:42:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf12527…
07-18 03:53:57	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3c8c76…
07-18 03:46:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x81f4c3…
07-18 03:41:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x89fb96…
07-18 03:36:43	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x37345b…
07-18 03:31:27	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb3b8d8…
07-18 03:27:49	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xbdb885…
07-18 03:16:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x06e5bb…
07-18 03:11:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xff1d3b…
07-18 03:06:31	Solana Up or Down - July 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe1826e…
07-18 03:02:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xffa787…
07-18 02:57:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x05c54b…
07-18 02:49:51	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xca8c89…
07-18 02:48:42	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe8ace3…
07-18 02:47:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x73d307…
07-18 02:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$3	0x8b16a1…
07-18 02:32:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf3e46a…
07-18 02:31:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x00ccb8…
07-18 02:30:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf6f976…
07-18 02:28:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x617284…
07-18 02:28:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x253aa7…
07-18 02:28:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2643d4…
07-18 02:28:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x351fd8…
07-18 02:27:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa65789…
07-18 02:26:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x5e64b0…
07-18 02:26:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x72ac06…
07-18 02:26:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5f2e22…
07-18 02:08:06	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x7cc546…
07-18 01:57:07	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x933be5…
07-18 01:53:12	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 01:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xee5d79…
07-18 01:51:33	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd1e8aa…
07-18 01:47:12	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfcf7bf…
07-18 01:37:51	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xddbed0…
07-18 01:12:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x79509b…
07-18 01:08:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe8d9fa…
07-18 01:05:04	Solana Up or Down - July 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x83d676…
07-18 01:02:04	Solana Up or Down - July 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd79027…
07-18 01:00:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9146c0…
07-18 00:56:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1d0838…
07-18 00:48:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x1ab40b…
07-18 00:48:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd197f4…
07-18 00:44:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:40 UTC	Up	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x252af3…
07-18 00:42:58	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x507214…
07-18 00:42:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:40 UTC	Down	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x0f344d…
07-18 00:41:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xaa540d…
07-18 00:41:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xf8369e…
07-18 00:41:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xda780b…
07-18 00:39:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xb3a443…
07-18 00:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:35 UTC	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xa815c3…
07-18 00:37:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x082483…
07-18 00:28:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe460d1…
07-18 00:27:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x8960ab…
07-18 00:24:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:20 UTC	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xf3294f…
07-18 00:23:15	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x1aba6c…
07-18 00:22:34	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:20 UTC	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$3	0x5d1103…
07-18 00:21:28	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x5fe13a…
07-18 00:18:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x8bd6a3…
07-18 00:06:57	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1290c1…