Carefree-Heartwood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.2%

Resolved

Trades

269

lifetime

Volume

$1.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-26 11:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 45% $-17

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776335400	3	$82	103	78	+25	open	—	04-16 10:33
btc updown 5m 1782455100	1	$60	62	0	+62	open	—	06-26 06:29
btc updown 15m 1776334500	2	$59	67	63	+3	open	—	04-16 10:20
btc updown 15m 1776338100	1	$40	73	0	+73	open	—	04-16 11:18
btc updown 15m 1776337200	1	$40	47	0	+47	open	—	04-16 11:12
btc updown 5m 1782150000	3	$35	44	0	+44	open	—	06-22 17:44
btc updown 15m 1776333600	4	$33	28	27	+1	open	—	04-16 10:17
btc updown 15m 1776329100	2	$28	37	35	+2	open	—	04-16 08:52
btc updown 5m 1781970300	3	$26	46	0	+46	open	—	06-20 15:49
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$24	26	26	+0	open	—	05-14 10:10
btc updown 5m 1781975400	2	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	06-20 17:13
btc updown 5m 1780848000	2	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	06-07 16:04
btc updown 5m 1782151800	4	$18	29	0	+29	open	—	06-22 18:14
btc updown 15m 1776540600	2	$16	130	121	+9	open	—	04-18 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$15	36	0	+36	Down	$-15	05-10 15:05
btc updown 5m 1781970900	2	$15	27	0	+27	open	—	06-20 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	05-20 18:09
btc updown 5m 1782390000	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	06-25 12:24
btc updown 5m 1776339300	2	$13	10	9	+0	open	—	04-16 11:39
btc updown 5m 1776534300	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-18 17:50
btc updown 15m 1776328200	3	$12	15	2	+13	open	—	04-16 08:40
btc updown 5m 1776608700	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-19 14:29
btc updown 5m 1780848300	3	$12	29	0	+29	open	—	06-07 16:09
btc updown 15m 1776339000	2	$12	9	8	+0	open	—	04-16 11:34
btc updown 15m 1776536100	4	$11	13	13	+1	open	—	04-18 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$11	45	0	+45	open	—	05-15 18:19
btc updown 5m 1781886900	2	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	06-19 16:38
btc updown 5m 1782474000	3	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	06-26 11:44
btc updown 5m 1782389400	3	$11	14	0	+14	open	—	06-25 12:13
btc updown 5m 1776343500	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-16 12:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 11:52:55	btc updown 5m 1782474600	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x531ae0…
06-26 11:50:23	btc updown 5m 1782474600	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x55acd8…
06-26 11:46:17	btc updown 5m 1782474300	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe685ad…
06-26 11:44:52	btc updown 5m 1782474000	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xac28fb…
06-26 11:44:31	btc updown 5m 1782474000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb8282…
06-26 11:44:07	btc updown 5m 1782474000	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x38bd18…
06-26 11:42:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x163fb7…
06-26 11:42:20	Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x056a6e…
06-26 11:34:28	btc updown 5m 1782473400	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbc70a0…
06-26 11:33:41	btc updown 5m 1782473400	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x71526a…
06-26 06:29:04	btc updown 5m 1782455100	Down	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xded3bd…
06-25 12:27:37	btc updown 5m 1782390300	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x85299c…
06-25 12:24:26	btc updown 5m 1782390000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x216bf9…
06-25 12:24:04	btc updown 5m 1782390000	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x2dcac2…
06-25 12:18:28	btc updown 5m 1782389700	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xbfbc24…
06-25 12:17:38	btc updown 5m 1782389700	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x25679e…
06-25 12:15:56	btc updown 5m 1782389700	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9432aa…
06-25 12:13:49	btc updown 5m 1782389400	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe69cc1…
06-25 12:12:53	btc updown 5m 1782389400	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb3d477…
06-25 12:11:40	btc updown 5m 1782389400	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xdb10e5…
06-25 12:03:53	btc updown 5m 1782388800	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc81b43…
06-25 12:03:40	btc updown 5m 1782388800	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf72e55…
06-25 12:02:05	btc updown 5m 1782388800	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xbc739f…
06-25 11:15:52	btc updown 5m 1782386100	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcbed4b…
06-25 11:10:31	btc updown 5m 1782385800	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xcf86c6…
06-25 11:05:34	btc updown 5m 1782385500	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xee5778…
06-25 11:01:56	btc updown 5m 1782385200	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x39b02e…
06-25 10:58:34	btc updown 5m 1782384900	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb426af…
06-25 10:55:55	btc updown 5m 1782384900	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xad6b20…
06-25 10:48:37	btc updown 5m 1782384300	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x0e58dc…
06-25 10:45:53	btc updown 5m 1782384300	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdb5ce6…
06-22 18:14:13	btc updown 5m 1782151800	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc68eed…
06-22 18:13:50	btc updown 5m 1782151800	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x794966…
06-22 18:13:44	btc updown 5m 1782151800	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x4a7cc8…
06-22 18:12:02	btc updown 5m 1782151800	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x636ba6…
06-22 18:09:32	btc updown 5m 1782151500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc4ba1…
06-22 17:44:25	btc updown 5m 1782150000	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xbaee31…
06-22 17:43:31	btc updown 5m 1782150000	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xba2214…
06-22 17:41:53	btc updown 5m 1782150000	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xab81ab…
06-22 17:39:40	btc updown 5m 1782149700	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb12a51…
06-22 12:07:02	btc updown 5m 1782129900	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcc4a73…
06-22 11:31:19	btc updown 5m 1782127800	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0ed410…
06-20 17:13:17	btc updown 5m 1781975400	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xdd669e…
06-20 17:10:25	btc updown 5m 1781975400	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7347cb…
06-20 17:06:04	btc updown 5m 1781975100	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa13690…
06-20 16:45:52	btc updown 5m 1781973900	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x16dec6…
06-20 15:55:43	btc updown 5m 1781970900	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x064fe7…
06-20 15:55:20	btc updown 5m 1781970900	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xac9ac5…
06-20 15:54:08	btc updown 5m 1781970600	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd282cf…
06-20 15:51:44	btc updown 5m 1781970600	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf384d0…
06-20 15:49:37	btc updown 5m 1781970300	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x44d45f…
06-20 15:48:40	btc updown 5m 1781970300	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x086f42…
06-20 15:46:38	btc updown 5m 1781970300	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf09cb6…
06-19 16:38:44	btc updown 5m 1781886900	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xca5be9…
06-19 16:37:41	btc updown 5m 1781886900	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x388448…
06-19 16:31:23	btc updown 5m 1781886600	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xbf5022…
06-19 16:17:25	btc updown 5m 1781885700	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x388eca…
06-19 16:16:49	btc updown 5m 1781885700	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x00f09f…
06-19 16:16:43	btc updown 5m 1781885700	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x049506…
06-19 16:15:41	btc updown 5m 1781885700	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x428ec8…
06-19 14:44:22	btc updown 5m 1781880000	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb0015a…
06-19 13:37:20	btc updown 5m 1781876100	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7ebaa8…
06-19 13:34:01	btc updown 5m 1781875800	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x1b6a01…
06-19 13:33:13	btc updown 5m 1781875800	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc91a51…
06-12 11:58:31	btc updown 5m 1781265300	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbf6f87…
06-12 11:54:24	btc updown 5m 1781265000	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1404c0…
06-07 16:09:42	btc updown 5m 1780848300	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xeb8be2…
06-07 16:09:19	btc updown 5m 1780848300	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xde71ab…
06-07 16:05:21	btc updown 5m 1780848300	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8a378f…
06-07 16:04:22	btc updown 5m 1780848000	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x73500d…
06-07 16:03:40	btc updown 5m 1780848000	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x06b717…
06-06 17:46:25	btc updown 5m 1780767900	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x27a451…
06-01 17:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa44a5d…
05-31 18:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x05708b…
05-30 18:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x36326a…
05-28 10:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8aef70…
05-28 10:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf8f93…
05-28 09:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd88007…
05-26 18:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe593c1…
05-20 18:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7a9def…
05-20 18:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x396c8d…
05-20 18:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xa1c010…
05-20 18:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x222af6…
05-20 06:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd22b99…
05-20 06:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5e2334…
05-20 06:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfd5f1…
05-20 05:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbc7f3d…
05-20 05:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x408091…
05-20 05:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2d9067…
05-20 05:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf4a2af…
05-19 19:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x3544d8…
05-19 19:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf92ec1…
05-19 19:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x32b665…
05-19 19:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x2ac970…
05-19 19:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x101f89…
05-19 19:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x738501…
05-19 19:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4f36fc…
05-19 19:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa06981…
05-19 18:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbed2c6…
05-19 18:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc73713…