Entire-Measurement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$102

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

2,505

Trades

4,022

lifetime

Volume

$7.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-14 21:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 41% -$109

Other

2% 20% +$9

Tech

0% 33% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will bitcoin reach 95k in october 2026	Yes		+5	$0	0¢	$0	$0	10-14 18:43
will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in october 2026	Yes		+5	$0	0¢	$0	$0	10-14 18:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?	11	$86	43	43	+0	Yes	+$0	06-20 17:14
bitcoin up or down february 7 4am et	3	$60	90	85	+5	Down	+$2	02-07 09:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 15:15 UTC	8	$31	63	58	+5	Up	+$1	02-06 15:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 07:45 UTC	9	$20	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	01-14 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11AM ET	1	$18	18	0	+18	Up	+$0	09-06 15:58
Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	08-26 13:15
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	2	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	07-18 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	4	$17	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 03:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 16:15 UTC	3	$16	15	15	+0	Down	+$11	03-12 16:29
bitcoin up or down january 21 2am et	6	$14	27	5	+22	Down	-$2	01-21 07:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 08:00 UTC	5	$12	25	0	+25	Up	-$2	01-14 07:47
bitcoin up or down january 17 10am et	6	$11	15	10	+5	Up	+$1	01-17 15:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 15:00 UTC	1	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	06-20 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 14:45 UTC	1	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	06-20 14:51
bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 8am et	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	06-20 12:52
bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 5am et	1	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	06-20 09:42
bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 6am et	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	06-20 10:46
bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 4am et	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	06-20 08:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 08:15 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	06-20 08:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 07:30 UTC	4	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	01-14 07:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 12:00 UTC	6	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	01-14 12:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 02:05 UTC	3	$10	10	5	+5	Up	-$1	03-03 02:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 14:45 UTC	6	$8	15	5	+10	Up	-$2	01-17 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 02:45 UTC	5	$8	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	01-18 02:53
bitcoin up or down january 17 9am et	4	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	01-17 14:49
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 12am et	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$4	03-17 04:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 02:15 UTC	2	$7	14	0	+14	Up	$0	01-19 02:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 04:00 UTC	3	$7	15	0	+15	Up	-$2	03-04 04:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 11:00 UTC	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	04-09 11:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 02:15 UTC	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	04-22 02:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 21:09:57	will bitcoin dip to 72k october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x56cf74…
10-14 18:44:24	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6381ff…
10-14 18:43:18	will bitcoin reach 95k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x075072…
10-14 18:42:37	will bitcoin reach 90k october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbfb09b…
09-06 15:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6c610c…
08-26 13:15:52	Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x071d59…
07-18 03:00:55	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xc61182…
07-18 02:58:21	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x7e9662…
07-16 07:16:25	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xab699f…
07-16 06:22:20	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x662a65…
07-16 06:22:14	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x90366b…
07-01 04:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3a931e…
07-01 03:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd1c7c1…
07-01 01:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x2d86d3…
07-01 00:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x79b7f4…
06-30 19:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x6aba7f…
06-30 19:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xcae4f6…
06-30 09:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb443c4…
06-30 03:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa3b4b8…
06-30 03:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6b2046…
06-30 01:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8a3543…
06-29 22:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x72cf58…
06-29 22:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xc3d7bd…
06-29 19:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x62df99…
06-29 19:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x07b93f…
06-29 18:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd929d4…
06-29 18:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x98c410…
06-29 09:57:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 29?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf1acbf…
06-29 09:25:53	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x567ffc…
06-29 09:24:58	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0xe5afa4…
06-29 09:12:47	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x893446…
06-29 08:58:23	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xf0834d…
06-29 08:53:11	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8452ed…
06-29 08:41:43	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5d6bb5…
06-29 08:30:26	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd8086a…
06-29 08:27:04	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x19d2eb…
06-29 08:04:25	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc1e3e5…
06-29 08:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x00b484…
06-29 07:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x32092d…
06-29 07:52:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xab7a65…
06-29 07:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xf1e1d6…
06-29 07:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x0eb1af…
06-29 07:33:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xfbf383…
06-29 06:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x07908b…
06-29 05:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7e42ab…
06-29 04:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3b5309…
06-29 04:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7c1eea…
06-28 18:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 28?	No	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x156bb6…
06-28 17:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 28?	No	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x729c8f…
06-28 12:50:47	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4c532d…
06-28 10:00:35	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xfc6b7a…
06-28 10:00:35	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf73371…
06-28 09:51:35	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xebf0a0…
06-28 03:03:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x38321a…
06-28 03:03:04	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0a60b0…
06-28 02:06:11	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xceaff4…
06-28 01:52:47	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x971d54…
06-27 19:38:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x284fd4…
06-27 19:10:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xaef861…
06-27 18:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x46ac60…
06-27 17:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0e669d…
06-27 17:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x14c126…
06-27 17:17:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x405aec…
06-27 17:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xcc789f…
06-27 17:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x5bccaf…
06-27 16:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x31283f…
06-27 16:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2f9545…
06-27 16:57:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x48f8bd…
06-27 16:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x496a67…
06-27 16:45:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x75c344…
06-27 08:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa6d213…
06-27 07:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x519010…
06-27 07:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa5696e…
06-27 07:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6629f4…
06-27 06:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xe5ef6f…
06-27 06:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x793156…
06-27 02:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd56531…
06-27 01:55:58	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4caa85…
06-26 17:02:11	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x1a1d07…
06-26 14:28:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x3cd5ea…
06-21 00:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x09fe9a…
06-20 17:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x16b39b…
06-20 16:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcb04e9…
06-20 16:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x678ff4…
06-20 16:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc98c0f…
06-20 16:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xa60651…
06-20 16:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe39867…
06-20 16:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x1630b9…
06-20 15:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc052fa…
06-20 15:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5409b7…
06-20 15:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc26d47…
06-20 15:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xd50210…
06-20 15:14:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6a6e06…
06-20 14:51:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1b45b4…
06-20 12:52:50	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x16067f…
06-20 10:46:02	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x631ca1…
06-20 09:42:10	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa6aa60…
06-20 08:43:22	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb8e10a…
06-20 08:28:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2aaaa3…
06-20 07:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x167f43…