Prime-Ecclesia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$574

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$155

1 position

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-22 12:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

74% 17% -$96

Politics

26% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No		+200	$148	78¢	$155	+$7	10-22 12:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$237	139	139	+0	Yes	+$37	04-13 10:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	1	$148	200	0	+200	open	—	10-22 12:10
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	4	$136	270	270	+0	Yes	-$82	05-26 07:51
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	1	$20	40	0	+40	No	-$20	07-11 21:07
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	1	$20	84	0	+84	No	-$20	07-11 21:07
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 in May?	2	$11	29	0	+29	Yes	-$11	05-04 19:44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$1	3	3	+0	No	-$1	04-12 18:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 12:10:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x241575…
07-11 21:07:08	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x923e3a…
07-11 21:07:01	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0x91162e…
05-26 07:51:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	SELL	270	10¢	$27	0x874785…
05-15 15:11:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xb1715b…
05-15 15:10:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xbaf8a1…
05-15 15:07:19	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xe1b02e…
05-04 19:44:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 in May?	No	BUY	15	37¢	$5	0xd62da4…
05-04 18:38:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 in May?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xbe617c…
04-13 10:14:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	139	99¢	$137	0xd1facf…
04-12 18:22:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xa9dd28…
04-12 01:23:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xa53342…
04-12 01:23:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xffaa45…
04-12 01:10:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xe7c873…