Mammoth-Physics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$145

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 05-20 11:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 94% +$145

Other

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 meg1 oly 2026 03 29	1	$389	1,255	+1,255	open	—	03-29 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$245	258	+258	Down	+$13	05-13 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$231	246	+246	Down	+$15	05-13 07:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	2	$219	231	+231	Up	+$12	05-13 02:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	2	$209	220	+220	Down	+$11	05-12 07:09
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$196	208	+208	Down	+$12	05-11 23:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$188	196	+196	Down	+$8	05-11 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$176	189	+189	Up	+$13	05-11 10:34
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$167	176	+176	Up	+$9	05-11 06:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	3	$155	167	+167	Down	+$12	05-11 01:53
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$148	159	+159	Down	+$11	05-08 07:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$142	156	+156	Up	+$14	05-10 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$137	1,715	+1,715	open	—	05-15 05:54
cs2 mzp rust 2026 03 29	3	$136	389	+389	open	—	03-29 09:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$131	149	+149	Down	+$18	05-08 02:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$128	142	+142	Up	+$14	05-10 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$123	132	+132	Down	+$9	05-07 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$110	122	+122	Down	+$12	05-05 22:52
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$106	110	+110	open	—	04-24 23:26
btc updown 4h 1777032000	1	$100	106	+106	open	—	04-24 15:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$96	1,600	+1,600	open	—	05-14 11:32
atp jones wolf 2026 03 28	2	$88	136	+136	open	—	03-28 16:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$84	87	+87	Down	+$3	05-09 23:26
btc updown 4h 1775131200	1	$69	688	+688	open	—	04-02 15:21
btc updown 4h 1775116800	1	$63	68	+68	open	—	04-02 10:29
xrp updown 4h 1775030400	1	$61	64	+64	open	—	04-01 11:44
eth updown 4h 1775016000	1	$57	61	+61	open	—	04-01 06:00
btc updown 4h 1774987200	1	$54	57	+57	open	—	03-31 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	4	$42	832	+832	Down	$-42	05-09 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	3	$33	659	+659	open	—	05-20 11:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 11:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	86	5¢	$4	0xbeccaf…
05-20 11:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	114	5¢	$6	0x2c2a37…
05-20 11:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	459	5¢	$23	0xaa2ff8…
05-20 05:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0x4577e6…
05-19 10:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x3f3586…
05-18 23:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x4ded0b…
05-18 14:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0x57c08c…
05-18 03:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x048c1a…
05-17 14:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xdf2b4f…
05-17 11:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0xd1db23…
05-17 07:25:34	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xa702d8…
05-16 11:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x522dc9…
05-16 06:41:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x320994…
05-15 14:15:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x87a896…
05-15 05:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,715	8¢	$137	0x39f214…
05-14 11:32:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,600	6¢	$96	0xebc0e2…
05-13 14:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	258	95¢	$245	0x6f9d07…
05-13 07:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	246	94¢	$231	0xcd659d…
05-13 02:23:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	191	95¢	$181	0xa4768a…
05-13 02:23:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x12bd73…
05-12 07:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf05667…
05-12 07:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	218	95¢	$207	0xffae34…
05-11 23:13:12	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	208	94¢	$196	0x1ab927…
05-11 14:30:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	196	96¢	$188	0x81f00c…
05-11 10:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	152	93¢	$141	0x8a2eff…
05-11 10:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	93¢	$34	0xa81281…
05-11 06:21:56	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	176	95¢	$167	0xad5f91…
05-11 01:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	82	93¢	$77	0x19c29a…
05-11 01:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x575e58…
05-11 01:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0x559650…
05-10 19:10:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	156	91¢	$142	0x86ac00…
05-10 15:01:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	142	90¢	$128	0x4abcc3…
05-09 23:26:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	87	96¢	$84	0xcddebb…
05-09 07:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x92c93a…
05-09 07:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	162	5¢	$8	0x8ea229…
05-09 07:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	158	5¢	$8	0x7795be…
05-09 07:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	212	5¢	$11	0x406bae…
05-08 07:29:46	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	159	93¢	$148	0x1d4e87…
05-08 02:50:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	149	88¢	$131	0x28ce72…
05-07 22:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	132	93¢	$123	0xff8a76…
05-05 22:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	64	90¢	$58	0x7576e2…
05-05 22:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	58	90¢	$52	0x53867a…
04-24 23:26:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	110	96¢	$106	0x5c7b7c…
04-24 15:25:06	btc updown 4h 1777032000	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xb3b385…
04-02 15:21:09	btc updown 4h 1775131200	Down	BUY	688	10¢	$69	0xb3c04b…
04-02 10:29:17	btc updown 4h 1775116800	Down	BUY	68	93¢	$63	0xf409db…
04-01 11:44:33	xrp updown 4h 1775030400	Down	BUY	64	96¢	$61	0x0240fe…
04-01 06:00:17	eth updown 4h 1775016000	Up	BUY	61	93¢	$57	0x74b88f…
03-31 23:23:47	btc updown 4h 1774987200	Up	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0xde11a5…
03-31 14:33:07	xrp updown 4h 1774958400	Down	BUY	99	7¢	$7	0x15505f…
03-31 14:28:29	btc updown 4h 1774958400	Down	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x0e95d6…
03-31 14:28:19	btc updown 4h 1774958400	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x608fa8…
03-31 14:28:05	btc updown 4h 1774958400	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xe7fc0b…
03-31 14:27:53	btc updown 4h 1774958400	Down	BUY	431	7¢	$30	0x77b77e…
03-29 13:27:48	cs2 meg1 oly 2026 03 29	OlyBet SB	BUY	1,255	31¢	$389	0x84bc39…
03-29 09:35:58	cs2 mzp rust 2026 03 29	RUSTEC	BUY	224	35¢	$78	0xf0c651…
03-29 09:35:58	cs2 mzp rust 2026 03 29	RUSTEC	BUY	108	35¢	$38	0xa3bcf1…
03-29 09:35:58	cs2 mzp rust 2026 03 29	RUSTEC	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x554286…
03-28 16:27:35	atp jones wolf 2026 03 28	Jack Pinnington Jones	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x94cbee…
03-28 16:27:35	atp jones wolf 2026 03 28	Jack Pinnington Jones	BUY	133	65¢	$86	0x4478e4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	38	$20.5K	1,126	05-20 11:43
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	38	$8.12K	704	05-20 11:42
(anonymous) 0x76c9…98a5	36	$4.51K	47	05-20 11:20
Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c	32	$2.07K	83	05-20 12:00
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	31	$60.3K	1,324	05-20 11:42
(anonymous) 0xa4a5…5ca4	31	$8.78K	50	05-20 11:17
Spiteful-Behold 0x5a78…9672	29	$10.5K	58	05-17 11:36
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	28	$5.13K	287	05-20 11:49