Hefty-Incandescence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.2%

Resolved

Trades

274

lifetime

Volume

$8.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 06-17 23:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 19% $-67

Other

19% 50% +$21

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$630	553	522	+32	open	—	04-27 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$477	297	290	+8	open	—	04-27 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	6	$474	462	212	+249	open	—	04-27 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	5	$411	489	192	+297	open	—	04-27 11:55
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	10	$408	444	437	+7	open	—	04-26 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	5	$401	479	312	+167	open	—	04-27 11:45
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Zeynep Sonmez	2	$329	265	259	+5	open	—	04-26 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	6	$291	426	297	+128	open	—	04-27 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$280	232	162	+70	open	—	04-27 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	6	$279	374	353	+22	open	—	04-27 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	5	$270	592	78	+515	open	—	04-27 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$266	1,447	0	+1,447	open	—	04-27 07:53
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-26?	4	$194	177	172	+5	open	—	04-26 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	7	$169	430	142	+288	open	—	04-27 11:04
btc updown 5m 1781739000	4	$153	97	96	+0	open	—	06-17 23:34
btc updown 5m 1781729400	2	$147	75	75	+0	open	—	06-17 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$119	111	104	+7	open	—	04-27 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	6	$118	117	117	+0	Down	+$29	05-09 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	6	$118	273	98	+175	Up	$-36	05-09 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	5	$105	947	0	+947	open	—	04-27 08:19
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-04-25?	6	$104	125	122	+3	open	—	04-25 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$102	152	43	+109	Up	$-18	05-12 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$101	471	20	+451	open	—	04-27 10:49
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$100	8,695	0	+8,695	open	—	04-25 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	7	$96	294	64	+230	open	—	04-27 11:09
btc updown 5m 1781725800	2	$88	65	65	+0	open	—	06-17 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$85	1,051	0	+1,051	open	—	04-27 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$83	73	69	+4	open	—	04-27 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	7	$83	2,439	0	+2,439	open	—	04-27 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	7	$75	11,707	0	+11,707	open	—	04-27 08:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 23:42:53	btc updown 5m 1781739600	Up	BUY	110	20¢	$22	0x0a4505…
06-17 23:35:34	btc updown 5m 1781739300	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x83d333…
06-17 23:34:14	btc updown 5m 1781739000	Down	SELL	75	90¢	$67	0x8b20fe…
06-17 23:34:02	btc updown 5m 1781739000	Down	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x0441b7…
06-17 23:33:50	btc updown 5m 1781739000	Down	SELL	22	74¢	$16	0x3bcbae…
06-17 23:32:52	btc updown 5m 1781739000	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x0bafef…
06-17 20:55:46	btc updown 5m 1781729400	Down	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x7e1198…
06-17 20:54:49	btc updown 5m 1781729400	Down	BUY	75	98¢	$73	0x141cfe…
06-17 20:48:23	btc updown 5m 1781729100	Up	BUY	73	89¢	$65	0xc9650c…
06-17 19:58:53	btc updown 5m 1781726100	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x2663f7…
06-17 19:58:14	btc updown 5m 1781726100	Up	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x678bcc…
06-17 19:54:41	btc updown 5m 1781725800	Up	SELL	65	88¢	$57	0x64731e…
06-17 19:53:58	btc updown 5m 1781725800	Up	BUY	65	48¢	$31	0x69e2c6…
06-17 18:23:07	btc updown 5m 1781720400	Down	BUY	32	65¢	$21	0x5a7298…
06-17 14:44:44	btc updown 5m 1781707200	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x6bd80e…
06-15 21:30:27	btc updown 5m 1781559000	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb511e7…
06-15 21:26:25	btc updown 5m 1781558700	Up	BUY	852	8¢	$65	0x2e293c…
06-15 20:48:13	btc updown 5m 1781556300	Up	SELL	71	29¢	$21	0x1e794c…
06-15 20:44:09	btc updown 5m 1781556000	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5b1d8e…
06-15 20:39:13	btc updown 5m 1781555700	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xb5580c…
06-15 20:37:04	btc updown 5m 1781555700	Up	SELL	24	28¢	$7	0xce29c9…
06-15 18:34:00	btc updown 5m 1781548200	Up	SELL	34	89¢	$30	0xa7671d…
06-15 18:33:22	btc updown 5m 1781548200	Up	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x946bf9…
06-15 18:29:42	btc updown 5m 1781547900	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfcb176…
06-15 18:19:58	btc updown 5m 1781547300	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x2b57bd…
06-15 18:13:15	btc updown 5m 1781547000	Up	SELL	46	17¢	$8	0xade58f…
06-15 18:11:30	btc updown 5m 1781547000	Up	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0x8bba1a…
06-15 18:09:07	btc updown 5m 1781546700	Down	SELL	43	45¢	$20	0xb10074…
06-15 18:08:30	btc updown 5m 1781546700	Up	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0x882d44…
06-15 18:06:28	btc updown 5m 1781546700	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x39d5b7…
06-15 18:04:39	btc updown 5m 1781546400	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xea0014…
06-11 21:24:58	btc updown 5m 1781212800	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xad5fb3…
06-11 21:23:25	btc updown 5m 1781212800	Up	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x71e852…
06-11 21:19:21	btc updown 5m 1781212500	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x235585…
06-11 21:17:55	btc updown 5m 1781212500	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xd4498a…
06-11 15:33:55	btc updown 5m 1781191800	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x21c2af…
06-11 15:28:40	btc updown 5m 1781191500	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xaf4002…
06-11 15:24:54	btc updown 5m 1781191200	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6f79f0…
06-11 15:23:39	btc updown 5m 1781191200	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xab8178…
05-12 17:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3f3b5e…
05-12 17:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x87c928…
05-12 17:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x007814…
05-12 17:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x02f53b…
05-12 17:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdd43ab…
05-12 17:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xefcc8c…
05-12 17:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	43	96¢	$42	0x72d0c5…
05-12 17:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xee7db6…
05-12 17:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xf13222…
05-12 17:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x04a868…
05-12 17:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x46c9b8…
05-12 17:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0x4d8dad…
05-12 17:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xea5e92…
05-12 17:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe0d671…
05-12 17:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x2c1897…
05-12 17:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x9b444a…
05-12 17:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6e0062…
05-12 17:01:05	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	SELL	36	12¢	$4	0x87d867…
05-12 17:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xee7669…
05-12 16:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x406798…
05-12 16:56:44	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x2c4180…
05-12 16:54:47	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Andrey Rublev	SELL	30	82¢	$24	0x9caa76…
05-12 16:54:03	Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5)	Rublev	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0xd8a63e…
05-12 16:50:44	Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5)	Rublev	BUY	46	1¢	$0	0x150938…
05-12 16:50:19	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Andrey Rublev	SELL	30	59¢	$17	0x687ec3…
05-12 16:31:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Andrey Rublev	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xfbbfea…
05-12 16:31:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Andrey Rublev	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xac2f84…
05-12 16:30:13	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Andrey Rublev	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc36bf5…
05-12 16:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xb29bf2…
05-12 16:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	729	2¢	$15	0xe580d1…
05-12 16:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9d91cb…
05-12 16:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe435d1…
05-12 16:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1474a7…
05-09 23:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	91	30¢	$27	0x814ba6…
05-09 23:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0xec3f94…
05-09 23:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	88	42¢	$37	0x0da453…
05-09 23:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x0d7b18…
05-09 23:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa5389e…
05-09 23:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x02b3d5…
05-09 23:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xb6c162…
05-09 23:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x689791…
05-09 23:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x1acd7f…
05-09 23:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	41	48¢	$19	0xcda03c…
05-09 23:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	41	45¢	$18	0x7f2ad0…
05-09 23:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	81	18¢	$15	0xd4a117…
05-09 23:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb39d48…
05-09 23:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc2f1fc…
05-09 23:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x7c1152…
05-09 23:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf77056…
05-09 23:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	37	12¢	$4	0xd01249…
05-09 23:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x0a3eba…
05-09 23:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4f743e…
05-09 23:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0c8b3d…
05-09 23:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd7e697…
05-09 23:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1f67d6…
04-27 12:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	261	39¢	$102	0xd47f4d…
04-27 12:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	78	50¢	$39	0xac3352…
04-27 12:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xbe9c58…
04-27 12:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xb41911…
04-27 12:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd7cd15…
04-27 12:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0xceea78…