Hefty-Incandescence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$442

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

Trades

296

lifetime

Volume

$8.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 07-17 16:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 35% -$543

Other

19% 39% +$106

Politics

0% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$630	553	522	+32	Up	+$434	04-27 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$477	297	290	+8	Up	+$104	04-27 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	6	$474	462	212	+249	Up	-$53	04-27 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	5	$411	489	192	+297	Up	-$29	04-27 11:55
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	10	$408	444	437	+7	Coco Gauff	+$5	04-26 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	5	$401	479	312	+167	Up	-$35	04-27 11:45
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Zeynep Sonmez	2	$329	265	259	+5	Solana Sierra	+$154	04-26 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	6	$291	426	297	+128	Down	+$87	04-27 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$280	232	162	+70	Down	+$45	04-27 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	6	$279	374	353	+22	Up	+$150	04-27 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	5	$270	592	78	+515	Down	-$189	04-27 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$266	1,447	0	+1,447	Up	-$266	04-27 07:53
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-26?	4	$194	177	172	+5	Yes	+$155	04-26 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	7	$169	430	142	+288	Down	+$97	04-27 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 23:30 UTC	4	$153	97	96	+0	Down	+$13	06-17 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 20:50 UTC	2	$147	75	75	+0	Down	+$1	06-17 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$119	111	104	+7	Up	+$91	04-27 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	6	$118	117	117	+0	Down	+$29	05-09 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	6	$118	273	98	+175	Up	-$36	05-09 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:55 UTC	3	$110	60	60	+0	Up	+$10	06-17 20:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 23:35 UTC	4	$108	110	29	+82	Up	-$60	06-17 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	5	$105	947	0	+947	Up	-$105	04-27 08:19
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-04-25?	6	$104	125	122	+3	Yes	+$83	04-25 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$102	152	43	+109	Up	-$18	05-12 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$101	471	20	+451	Down	-$83	04-27 10:49
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$100	8,695	0	+8,695	No	-$100	04-25 03:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:15 UTC	2	$100	51	50	+0	Up	+$0	06-15 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	7	$96	294	64	+230	Down	-$1	04-27 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:50 UTC	2	$88	65	65	+0	Up	+$26	06-17 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$85	1,051	0	+1,051	Up	-$85	04-27 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 16:12:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	118	63¢	$75	0xc1d8f3…
07-15 20:19:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xaa99d4…
07-15 20:19:35	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xb1ea1e…
07-15 20:14:07	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x46f24b…
06-17 23:42:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	110	20¢	$22	0x0a4505…
06-17 23:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	29	82¢	$24	0xc5085e…
06-17 23:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x26bf33…
06-17 23:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x7d3ae4…
06-17 23:35:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x83d333…
06-17 23:34:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	75	90¢	$67	0x8b20fe…
06-17 23:34:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x0441b7…
06-17 23:33:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	22	74¢	$16	0x3bcbae…
06-17 23:32:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x0bafef…
06-17 20:55:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 20:50 UTC	Down	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x7e1198…
06-17 20:54:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	75	98¢	$73	0x141cfe…
06-17 20:48:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	73	89¢	$65	0xc9650c…
06-17 20:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0xad69bc…
06-17 19:58:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x2663f7…
06-17 19:58:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x678bcc…
06-17 19:54:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:50 UTC	Up	SELL	65	88¢	$57	0x64731e…
06-17 19:53:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	65	48¢	$31	0x69e2c6…
06-17 18:23:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	32	65¢	$21	0x5a7298…
06-17 14:44:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x6bd80e…
06-16 20:38:05	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	4	81¢	$4	0x0b7589…
06-16 20:25:22	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x83128c…
06-15 21:30:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb511e7…
06-15 21:26:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	852	8¢	$65	0x2e293c…
06-15 20:48:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	71	29¢	$21	0x1e794c…
06-15 20:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x5e1bcc…
06-15 20:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5b1d8e…
06-15 20:39:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xb5580c…
06-15 20:37:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	24	28¢	$7	0xce29c9…
06-15 20:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x14531d…
06-15 18:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	34	89¢	$30	0xa7671d…
06-15 18:33:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x946bf9…
06-15 18:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xcd9e50…
06-15 18:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x929f88…
06-15 18:29:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfcb176…
06-15 18:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x5a3f8b…
06-15 18:19:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x2b57bd…
06-15 18:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x1d1c74…
06-15 18:13:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:10 UTC	Up	SELL	46	17¢	$8	0xade58f…
06-15 18:11:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0x8bba1a…
06-15 18:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x73886d…
06-15 18:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:05 UTC	Down	SELL	43	45¢	$20	0xb10074…
06-15 18:08:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0x882d44…
06-15 18:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x39d5b7…
06-15 18:04:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xea0014…
06-14 21:38:34	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	716	3¢	$21	0x4d3708…
06-14 15:02:31	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x92de4b…
06-11 21:24:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xad5fb3…
06-11 21:23:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x71e852…
06-11 21:19:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x235585…
06-11 21:17:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xd4498a…
06-11 20:42:27	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	9,000	0¢	$9	0x483c60…
06-11 20:41:43	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9fca6d…
06-11 15:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x21c2af…
06-11 15:28:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xaf4002…
06-11 15:24:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 15:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6f79f0…
06-11 15:23:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xab8178…
06-11 15:22:30	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x9b7dca…
05-12 17:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3f3b5e…
05-12 17:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x87c928…
05-12 17:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x007814…
05-12 17:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x02f53b…
05-12 17:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdd43ab…
05-12 17:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xefcc8c…
05-12 17:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	43	96¢	$42	0x72d0c5…
05-12 17:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xee7db6…
05-12 17:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xf13222…
05-12 17:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x04a868…
05-12 17:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x46c9b8…
05-12 17:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0x4d8dad…
05-12 17:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xea5e92…
05-12 17:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe0d671…
05-12 17:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x2c1897…
05-12 17:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x9b444a…
05-12 17:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6e0062…
05-12 17:01:05	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	SELL	36	12¢	$4	0x87d867…
05-12 17:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xee7669…
05-12 16:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x406798…
05-12 16:56:44	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x2c4180…
05-12 16:54:47	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Andrey Rublev	SELL	30	82¢	$24	0x9caa76…
05-12 16:54:03	Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5)	Rublev	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0xd8a63e…
05-12 16:50:44	Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5)	Rublev	BUY	46	1¢	$0	0x150938…
05-12 16:50:19	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Andrey Rublev	SELL	30	59¢	$17	0x687ec3…
05-12 16:31:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Andrey Rublev	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xfbbfea…
05-12 16:31:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Andrey Rublev	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xac2f84…
05-12 16:30:13	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Andrey Rublev	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc36bf5…
05-12 16:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xb29bf2…
05-12 16:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	729	2¢	$15	0xe580d1…
05-12 16:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9d91cb…
05-12 16:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe435d1…
05-12 16:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1474a7…
05-09 23:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	91	30¢	$27	0x814ba6…
05-09 23:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0xec3f94…
05-09 23:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	88	42¢	$37	0x0da453…
05-09 23:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x0d7b18…
05-09 23:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa5389e…
05-09 23:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x02b3d5…