Dual-Maximum — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$386

Unrealized P&L

+$3.16K

Hit rate

24.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

104

2,445 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$35.7K

$796.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$326

Open exposure

$12.3K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-19 07:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

66% 33% +$60,808

Politics

26% 20% -$51,482

Sports

8% 45% +$40,493

Tech

0% 0% -$308

Crypto

0% 50% -$108

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-211,399	-$14,352	5¢	$-10993	+$3,359	10-19 07:10
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-575,462	-$587	0¢	$-863	-$276	09-03 21:27
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-24,307	-$495	2¢	$-413	+$81	06-14 02:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	313	$369.4K	305,011	305,011	+0	No	+$83,582	06-02 15:22
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	741	$63.4K	774,169	772,537	+1,632	No	-$40,559	02-19 18:56
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	246	$49.3K	228,140	439,539	-211,399	open	—	10-19 07:10
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	415	$44.9K	356,991	137,979	+219,012	No	-$6,676	02-25 18:22
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	96	$24.5K	51,699	51,699	+0	No	-$17	06-12 19:51
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	123	$22.8K	226,446	0	+226,446	No	-$22,847	05-14 01:30
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$21.4K	50,000	0	+50,000	Spurs	+$28,600	05-30 22:47
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	41	$17.9K	29,328	0	+29,328	Yes	+$11,380	05-19 21:41
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	9	$12.4K	9,172	9,172	+0	No	-$245	06-01 19:09
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	117	$11.8K	19,012	0	+19,012	No	+$7,225	05-19 21:25
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	3	$11.2K	8,585	8,585	+0	Argentina	+$1,681	07-15 20:25
will company b be accused of insider trading	34	$10.1K	25,760	0	+25,760	No	-$10,129	02-25 18:24
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	6	$7.0K	9,979	9,979	+0	open	—	07-07 02:06
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	18	$5.7K	10,302	10,302	+0	Yes	+$3,400	03-24 22:34
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	1	$5.5K	15,000	0	+15,000	Knicks	+$9,450	06-03 20:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$5.5K	6,138	6,138	+0	No	+$425	05-18 17:01
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$5.2K	12,644	0	+12,644	Spain	-$5,184	07-19 17:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$4.9K	29,143	0	+29,143	No	-$4,915	03-29 20:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$4.1K	2,671	2,671	+0	No	+$721	05-12 17:42
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	13	$3.6K	133,374	133,374	+0	open	—	10-11 14:22
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	3	$3.6K	6,105	0	+6,105	No	-$3,602	06-13 20:01
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	19	$3.5K	7,403	5,000	+2,403	England	-$319	07-11 23:39
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	3	$3.2K	6,000	2,000	+4,000	Knicks	+$4,080	06-11 01:29
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	3	$3.1K	24,021	0	+24,021	No	-$3,123	06-16 03:34
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	2	$3.0K	2,970	2,970	+0	Knicks	+$1,085	06-06 03:22
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	1	$3.0K	12,825	0	+12,825	No	-$3,000	06-18 00:59
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	1	$3.0K	11,538	0	+11,538	Yes	+$8,538	06-18 00:59
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?	1	$3.0K	17,647	0	+17,647	No	-$3,000	06-18 00:59
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	1	$3.0K	10,345	0	+10,345	No	-$3,000	06-18 00:59
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	2	$3.0K	16,667	0	+16,667	No	-$3,000	06-16 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 07:10:48	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	69	7¢	$5	0x4d0d67…
10-19 05:30:57	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	114	7¢	$8	0xa944cf…
10-19 05:30:33	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	105	7¢	$8	0xad9015…
10-19 05:30:03	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	97	7¢	$7	0x40aef5…
10-19 05:29:36	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	89	7¢	$6	0xd71b6f…
10-19 05:29:08	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	81	7¢	$6	0xc56117…
10-19 05:28:44	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	75	7¢	$5	0x4a56bd…
10-19 05:23:35	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	69	7¢	$5	0x306f87…
10-19 05:18:21	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	64	7¢	$5	0x63fad6…
10-19 05:14:08	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	59	7¢	$4	0xd4b3c8…
10-19 04:07:15	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0x156756…
10-19 01:04:05	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	139	7¢	$10	0x9ee9a7…
10-18 19:16:06	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	379	7¢	$27	0xd26eb4…
10-18 19:15:33	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,778	7¢	$200	0x0d0b33…
10-18 18:31:47	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xcb4f21…
10-18 18:06:59	Jets vs. Patriots	Jets	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0x7de58a…
10-18 09:31:05	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x053433…
10-18 09:11:56	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xe030ff…
10-17 20:53:24	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x25ecda…
10-17 17:19:57	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5,950	7¢	$428	0x2f405d…
10-16 19:30:38	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	65,717	7¢	$4,534	0x89645e…
10-16 14:21:33	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	372	7¢	$26	0xa8af7d…
10-16 11:54:42	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0xc37f74…
10-15 18:00:40	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	185	7¢	$13	0xd305de…
10-15 16:21:44	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5,000	7¢	$345	0xb08e81…
10-15 16:20:52	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,000	7¢	$138	0x920a32…
10-15 15:35:35	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	87	7¢	$6	0xf2f427…
10-15 15:35:34	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	87	7¢	$6	0x585e23…
10-15 14:33:47	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x9207ff…
10-15 14:31:46	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xa730ae…
10-15 14:30:10	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x303bb0…
10-15 14:28:23	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xf0f042…
10-15 13:27:34	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x2ee469…
10-15 13:25:56	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x974ce7…
10-15 13:23:08	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0xe9d5cc…
10-15 13:21:20	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0xcad859…
10-15 01:42:46	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x546dc6…
10-15 01:30:20	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xd3bd79…
10-15 00:58:13	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	181	7¢	$12	0x2525cc…
10-15 00:44:08	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x050d73…
10-14 21:30:06	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x2c0b73…
10-14 20:05:54	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	51	7¢	$4	0x61b6c3…
10-14 18:54:19	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xb39b58…
10-14 18:51:01	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,174	7¢	$150	0xb13637…
10-14 18:50:54	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	238	7¢	$16	0xfcdfa3…
10-14 18:50:52	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	21,739	7¢	$1,500	0x82d158…
10-14 17:23:12	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xf16e4b…
10-13 12:20:07	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	73,801	7¢	$4,871	0x395efb…
10-12 19:26:27	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x7d374e…
10-12 19:15:06	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0xda4049…
10-12 19:15:05	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,865	7¢	$123	0x16ef08…
10-12 02:17:39	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	148	7¢	$10	0x5f07cc…
10-12 02:16:59	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5,380	7¢	$355	0xda2f27…
10-11 22:13:20	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	658	7¢	$43	0xe2d53b…
10-11 17:30:24	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x669554…
10-11 17:24:52	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15,944	7¢	$1,052	0x15b888…
10-11 14:22:40	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	133,374	1¢	$1,455	0xe80d9a…
10-11 07:40:36	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x56368a…
10-11 06:53:29	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,208	7¢	$80	0x25ee5a…
10-11 02:25:56	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x23674c…
10-11 01:41:41	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	51	7¢	$3	0x3cede9…
10-10 22:30:19	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	333	7¢	$22	0x0f3632…
10-10 22:10:55	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	475	7¢	$31	0x5901e1…
10-08 18:48:45	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	51	8¢	$4	0xb6957f…
10-08 17:28:39	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x9cd5f2…
10-08 17:28:06	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7,191	8¢	$554	0x5a149d…
10-08 17:26:50	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	19,000	8¢	$1,463	0xee949c…
10-08 17:25:24	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	60,000	8¢	$4,620	0xb14f99…
10-04 21:09:35	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x5b627c…
10-04 21:09:34	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xca5302…
10-04 21:09:34	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2,180	8¢	$166	0xb7ec51…
10-04 21:09:34	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	101	8¢	$8	0xb73405…
10-03 22:45:38	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	96,932	7¢	$7,076	0x07c468…
09-26 16:01:29	cfb miss fl 2026 09 26	Florida	SELL	1,350	61¢	$824	0x512f2f…
09-26 00:14:36	cfb miss fl 2026 09 26	Florida	BUY	1,350	61¢	$824	0x1394a4…
09-25 23:53:21	Colgate vs. Villanova	Colgate	BUY	1,703	45¢	$769	0xa00979…
09-25 23:53:21	Colgate vs. Villanova	Colgate	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x75dd26…
09-25 23:53:20	Colgate vs. Villanova	Colgate	BUY	400	46¢	$184	0xa11231…
09-24 06:35:42	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,497	6¢	$96	0x71251b…
09-23 16:47:38	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,570	6¢	$100	0x37bd2b…
09-23 16:08:04	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	300	6¢	$19	0x32679b…
09-22 15:41:27	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4,929	8¢	$384	0x37e79e…
09-22 09:27:06	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,000	8¢	$156	0x2a88ee…
09-22 07:56:00	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x7148ef…
09-22 04:46:37	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	150	8¢	$12	0x143fd2…
09-22 02:37:48	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	872	8¢	$68	0xcbd215…
09-20 22:08:29	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4,046	10¢	$388	0x629932…
09-10 00:58:24	Patriots vs. Seahawks	Patriots	BUY	671	53¢	$356	0x79c483…
09-10 00:56:01	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,061	9¢	$354	0xb3b800…
09-04 02:52:34	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech	BUY	260	64¢	$167	0xaa9d94…
09-03 21:30:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,061	16¢	$662	0xc0ebac…
09-03 21:27:10	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	575,462	0¢	$587	0xac7eac…
08-29 17:37:46	cfb ncar tcu 2026 08 29	North Carolina	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x69bcc6…
08-29 17:37:06	cfb ncar tcu 2026 08 29	North Carolina	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x99028d…
08-29 17:37:03	cfb ncar tcu 2026 08 29	North Carolina	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x18f97c…
08-04 22:25:27	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	3,763	1¢	$38	0x0fafac…
08-04 22:23:27	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0d6028…
08-03 23:17:03	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xcf164c…
08-03 23:17:03	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x6f6878…
08-03 23:16:48	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x59d8f0…