Misguided-Happiness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.4%

Resolved

575

Trades

1,112

lifetime

Volume

$4.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 07-24 16:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

98% 72% +$92

Sports

1% 83% +$0

Crypto

1% 0% -$51

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$51	10,207	0	+10,207	No	-$51	06-03 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 20?	7	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-20 21:11
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 9?	5	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	06-09 11:52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-02 13:54
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 1?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-01 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 15?	3	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-15 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 15?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-15 13:12
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 15?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-15 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-07 11:23
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 15?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-15 10:17
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 16?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-16 07:33
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 7?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-07 16:05
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 18?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-18 16:45
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C or higher on June 3?	5	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-03 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 18?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-18 10:19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 21?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-21 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 20?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-20 18:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 3?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-03 17:52
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 7?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	06-07 16:57
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 18?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-18 11:15
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 30?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 21:57
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 25?	4	$19	12	12	+0	No	-$1	06-25 20:11
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 22?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-22 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 6?	4	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-06 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 29?	4	$19	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-29 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 10?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	06-10 12:37
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	05-30 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 21?	4	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$1	06-21 21:00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on May 29?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	05-29 15:29
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 27?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	05-27 11:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 16:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc0f0fa…
07-24 16:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x17c981…
07-24 08:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 24?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xbcd464…
07-24 08:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C on July 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5008cc…
07-24 08:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 24?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x67655b…
07-24 08:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on July 24?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd55abf…
07-24 08:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 24?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1bb91b…
07-24 07:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on July 24?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8372fe…
07-24 07:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on July 24?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5a538b…
07-24 06:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x686108…
07-24 01:25:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 23?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x444399…
07-23 21:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 23?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x9b092d…
07-23 20:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 23?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe2fd85…
07-23 20:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 23?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3d6653…
07-23 20:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 23?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc06eb0…
07-23 20:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb44e3c…
07-23 19:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 23?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0xe3d6ac…
07-23 19:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 23?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x21d244…
07-23 13:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 23?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x617680…
07-23 13:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 23?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xb7b463…
07-23 13:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 23?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0511a7…
07-23 13:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4fe636…
07-23 11:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 23?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe530d0…
07-23 09:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 23?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb98fad…
07-23 08:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 23?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x334b2f…
07-23 08:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 23?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1dfcb5…
07-23 08:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x950d20…
07-21 20:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 21?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x7f72be…
07-21 20:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 21?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x824ef0…
07-21 20:21:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xcab630…
07-21 19:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 21?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4025cf…
07-21 19:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 21?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x64172d…
07-21 18:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 21?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x66bc4e…
07-21 18:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x400702…
07-21 17:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6d77e2…
07-21 15:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 21?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xa0f0ce…
07-21 15:38:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 21?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd876c2…
07-21 14:57:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x092a93…
07-21 12:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x278985…
07-21 11:40:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 21?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8caeef…
07-20 17:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 20?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcb4ff3…
07-20 17:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 20?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc36400…
07-20 10:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 20?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x39596e…
07-20 10:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 20?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4768e5…
07-20 09:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 20?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xaae077…
07-20 09:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 20?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd3fad8…
07-20 09:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 20?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xc45238…
07-18 13:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 18?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x823893…
07-17 12:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 17?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaba424…
07-17 12:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7e5458…
07-17 12:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 17?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x7fc3de…
07-17 12:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 17?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0b0b95…
07-17 12:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 17?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf869bf…
07-17 11:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 17?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6b88fe…
07-17 10:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 17?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x7899cf…
07-17 10:39:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 17?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3c8948…
07-17 09:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x0edd06…
07-17 08:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 17?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3349c6…
07-17 08:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xcc6f92…
07-17 07:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x87bd47…
07-16 13:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 16?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x9171bd…
07-16 13:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 16?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7c8b43…
07-16 13:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 16?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xda009a…
07-16 13:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 16?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb1848a…
07-16 13:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 16?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5139e9…
07-16 07:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 16?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbb5e9a…
07-16 07:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 16?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd4c8fe…
07-16 07:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 16?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xaabcd3…
07-16 07:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 16?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x86890c…
07-16 07:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 16?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb06d74…
07-16 07:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 16?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe1070b…
07-16 07:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 16?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x0c618e…
07-16 07:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 16?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb41748…
07-16 07:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 16?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x11f671…
07-16 07:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 16?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x552535…
07-15 20:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xec9d70…
07-15 20:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x96d97e…
07-15 19:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 15?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf42e82…
07-15 19:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 15?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xfe0b8f…
07-15 19:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 15?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x5a9a1e…
07-15 19:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on July 15?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa12ee8…
07-15 14:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc1ddfe…
07-15 14:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 15?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x480a39…
07-15 14:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x580328…
07-15 14:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 15?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x029ffb…
07-15 14:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xafe2d1…
07-15 13:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 15?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf38a9b…
07-15 12:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 15?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x969266…
07-15 12:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 15?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x486385…
07-15 11:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc3eb27…
07-15 10:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5fad1c…
07-15 10:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on July 15?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x71e180…
07-15 07:25:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 15?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x50cc4d…
07-15 07:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf0b097…
07-15 07:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 15?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0666a7…
07-15 07:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 15?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd2f7d0…
07-14 20:19:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 14?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x8b853f…
07-14 17:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 14?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x444dc0…
07-14 14:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 14?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xd3c887…
07-14 05:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 14?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xadf26c…