Ironclad-Standard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$135

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.5%

Resolved

1,739

Trades

1,977

lifetime

Volume

$6.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-23 12:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 190 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 95% +$106

Sports

2% 100% +$26

Other

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	59	$149	212	174	+37	Yes	+$26	01-27 21:45
bitcoin up or down january 30 1pm et	14	$100	260	178	+82	Up	+$110	01-30 18:44
bitcoin up or down january 29 3pm et	10	$50	48	58	-10	Up	+$5	01-29 20:43
bitcoin up or down january 30 3pm et	8	$48	88	88	+0	Down	-$8	01-30 20:55
bitcoin up or down january 30 12pm et	6	$42	44	44	+0	Down	$0	01-30 17:29
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	8	$32	36	36	-0	Yes	+$0	01-20 19:43
bitcoin up or down january 31 9am et	9	$30	34	34	+0	Down	-$4	01-31 14:37
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 07:25 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	04-11 07:29
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 14:45 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	04-11 14:49
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 20:20 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	04-17 20:24
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 07:20 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	04-13 07:24
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:10 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	04-18 20:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:10 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	04-16 07:14
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:15 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	-$30	04-18 20:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 20:05 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	04-09 20:09
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 07:20 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	04-11 07:24
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:05 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	04-16 07:09
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 08:45 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	04-12 08:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 10:25 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	04-12 10:29
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 07:45 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	04-12 07:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 09:10 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	04-11 09:14
will the broncos win the afc championship 1	10	$25	41	36	+5	No	+$2	01-25 20:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 19:15 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	02-03 19:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:45 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	02-04 09:00
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 19:20 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	02-22 19:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:15 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	02-04 08:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:45 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	02-04 07:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 21:30 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	02-03 21:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 19:25 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	02-22 19:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 21:45 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	02-03 21:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 12:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0xf67d85…
10-23 11:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x3a6312…
10-23 08:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x223000…
10-23 06:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x2df29b…
10-23 02:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xecc2c2…
10-22 08:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x46997f…
10-21 14:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x50dc61…
10-21 14:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x172fc9…
10-21 07:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9ea641…
10-21 06:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x003356…
10-21 06:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xeac777…
10-21 05:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4aad10…
10-21 04:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xeece94…
10-21 03:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x0129ef…
10-21 02:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x891365…
10-20 09:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x47ad08…
10-19 21:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x5fd856…
10-19 09:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xa9f897…
10-19 06:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4aa875…
10-19 05:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x71af82…
10-19 04:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xaa3aa9…
10-19 03:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb74849…
10-19 02:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x52f847…
10-19 01:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x82c752…
10-19 01:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x8108aa…
10-18 02:44:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1489fe…
10-18 02:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe979ea…
10-17 21:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8a4b02…
10-17 20:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1f86ef…
10-17 10:49:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x896238…
10-17 10:44:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x5ddd91…
10-17 10:39:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xeed9ac…
10-17 10:24:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xba3ab5…
10-17 09:39:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x47b422…
10-17 09:24:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xfdc259…
10-17 07:44:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa86007…
10-17 07:14:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xcb163f…
10-17 05:59:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf19f32…
10-17 05:34:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4a6c8a…
10-17 05:14:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xa17f78…
10-17 04:44:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xc6d3e6…
10-17 03:49:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x39c216…
10-17 01:29:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x67ac8a…
10-17 00:09:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x74e344…
10-16 23:54:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xfd26eb…
10-16 23:24:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4f2507…
10-16 22:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x827e61…
10-16 22:29:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x991625…
10-16 22:24:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xdca142…
10-16 20:24:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x453fd0…
10-16 09:24:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x2bb2bc…
10-16 05:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbf3bf4…
10-16 05:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x157b91…
10-16 03:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x6c9342…
10-15 23:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd2ac3d…
10-14 20:24:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xecdc92…
10-14 20:24:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x74e32f…
10-14 20:14:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xf1d5a1…
10-14 20:14:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xcbb164…
10-14 18:44:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x0dda1a…
10-14 18:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x8096ea…
10-14 04:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x29d859…
10-14 04:59:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xdd48cb…
10-14 04:49:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf22ada…
10-14 04:49:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x88349b…
10-14 04:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb74e45…
10-14 04:39:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x12e027…
10-14 00:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x87e233…
10-13 23:49:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x96ec61…
10-13 23:49:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x342fbd…
10-13 22:29:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xfff7b2…
10-13 22:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xffa2bf…
10-13 21:14:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb4e929…
10-13 21:14:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x101a3c…
10-13 20:29:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xe9b1be…
10-13 20:29:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x270e50…
10-13 20:14:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x5faff6…
10-13 20:14:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x7730bc…
10-13 20:04:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xda27b6…
10-13 20:04:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2c3c77…
10-13 09:59:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd908f3…
10-13 08:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8843ff…
10-13 07:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4da9c9…
10-13 07:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x653840…
10-13 01:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd88d1e…
10-13 01:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x80de5b…
10-12 21:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5d257c…
10-12 20:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5512ba…
10-12 20:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc652bd…
10-12 20:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x6566cb…
10-12 20:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbccbe3…
10-12 19:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf865b4…
10-12 19:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7d81db…
10-12 19:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x0039cb…
10-12 19:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x38f849…
10-12 19:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x68e80d…
10-12 19:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc368c6…
10-12 19:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x06509e…
10-12 19:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8732cd…
10-12 10:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7bcde4…