Brisk-Hive — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$118

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved (90d)

1,940

Trades (90d)

4,774

30,931 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$23.0K

$217.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$56

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 22:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 289 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 57% -$3,906

Other

17% 41% -$1,388

Politics

1% 13% -$300

Sports

0% 32% -$122

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$28

Tech

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 257 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+1,082	$40	3¢	$34	-$6	10-29 19:08
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+14,417	$20	0¢	$22	+$2	10-29 19:21
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	+31	$10	2¢	$1	-$9	10-05 21:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$476	539	539	+0	Yes	+$176	02-28 20:25
highest temperature in paris on march 11 2026 14c	5	$407	368	368	+0	Yes	+$327	03-11 18:00
highest temperature in paris on march 14 2026 9c	4	$277	197	197	+0	No	+$117	03-14 13:36
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	10	$264	717	717	+0	Yes	+$4	04-30 20:05
highest temperature in paris on march 14 2026 10c	10	$259	546	279	+267	Yes	+$4	03-14 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?	11	$258	244	241	+3	Yes	+$192	08-04 15:11
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread home 1pt5	4	$238	179	179	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$118	03-11 22:00
ucl bog1 spo1 2026 03 11 spread home 2pt5	2	$220	200	200	+0	FK Bodø/Glimt	+$180	03-11 22:00
highest temperature in paris on march 13 2026 12c	4	$206	167	166	+0	Yes	+$101	03-13 09:42
will jean luc moudenc be the next mayor of toulouse following the 2026 toulouse municipal election	4	$205	165	165	+0	Yes	+$5	03-15 20:29
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	2	$186	300	300	+0	No	+$174	07-03 01:03
highest temperature in paris on march 12 2026 13c	2	$180	130	130	+0	Yes	+$80	03-12 18:10
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$165	813	813	+0	No	+$5	04-30 20:05
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	10	$164	2,729	1,207	+1,521	No	-$56	09-28 13:16
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$161	3,472	2,588	+884	No	-$19	07-07 18:43
highest temperature in paris on march 14 2026 11c	13	$157	2,293	61	+2,232	No	-$147	03-14 15:46
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 26?	13	$156	121	121	+0	Yes	+$83	09-26 15:04
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	5	$153	310	310	+0	No	-$7	03-02 17:19
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	6	$147	814	814	+0	open	—	10-17 13:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	11	$146	121	121	+0	Yes	+$93	09-19 07:49
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 3?	18	$145	127	127	+0	Yes	+$99	08-03 23:09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 27?	4	$142	126	126	+0	Yes	+$86	09-27 14:26
highest temperature in paris on march 13 2026 13c	7	$138	1,331	0	+1,331	No	-$138	03-13 09:57
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 29?	5	$135	134	134	+0	Yes	+$113	06-29 17:59
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 22:55 UTC	3	$131	112	112	+0	Up	+$91	08-26 22:59
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$131	1,796	1,176	+619	No	+$11	07-11 21:42
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 16c	9	$130	120	116	+3	Yes	+$102	04-18 18:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?	7	$129	100	100	+0	Yes	+$61	08-05 12:48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?	11	$129	106	106	+0	Yes	+$60	08-03 14:50
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-26 23:30 UTC	5	$125	85	85	+0	Up	+$45	08-26 23:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x2eba5a…
10-29 22:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf249bd…
10-29 21:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x1cf35c…
10-29 21:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x624977…
10-29 20:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x409564…
10-29 20:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe35fa3…
10-29 20:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xb4d705…
10-29 20:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf09269…
10-29 20:00:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xbe82ea…
10-29 20:00:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x54aae6…
10-29 19:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0db626…
10-29 19:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x118a07…
10-29 19:21:03	Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,500	0¢	$10	0xcecf57…
10-29 19:20:49	Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9,916	0¢	$10	0xbaf4db…
10-29 19:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x45b901…
10-29 19:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xb2fc4b…
10-29 19:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 29?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x930589…
10-29 19:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 29?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x00e433…
10-29 19:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xbce31b…
10-29 19:08:03	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,082	4¢	$40	0x8eea70…
10-29 19:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x63cb7d…
10-29 19:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfe02a2…
10-29 19:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9335f5…
10-29 19:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7b7232…
10-29 17:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 29?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x571c35…
10-29 17:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 29?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf206d9…
10-29 17:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x10aeef…
10-29 17:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe8050b…
10-29 17:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x49d346…
10-29 16:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xd1bb0d…
10-29 16:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe53ceb…
10-29 16:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on October 29?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xe98864…
10-29 16:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x552bca…
10-29 16:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x75e7a6…
10-29 16:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x25768b…
10-29 16:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2fbfb2…
10-29 16:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1ecb5f…
10-29 16:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xd78c73…
10-29 15:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x7dd51b…
10-29 15:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x927c95…
10-29 13:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc67228…
10-29 13:55:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xbec9ae…
10-29 13:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x99f327…
10-29 13:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x56e96f…
10-29 13:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4ef03d…
10-29 13:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x8d1124…
10-29 12:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x6268de…
10-29 11:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0477bd…
10-29 11:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xb8aec0…
10-29 11:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x74c1be…
10-29 11:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 29?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x286771…
10-29 11:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x189b3f…
10-29 11:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 29?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x48a03f…
10-29 11:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe5a928…
10-29 11:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on October 29?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf586b0…
10-29 11:33:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 29?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xbbb9b7…
10-29 11:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 29?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x584bb3…
10-29 11:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 29?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x88b20f…
10-29 11:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on October 29?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x50fa46…
10-29 10:45:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0xd9026b…
10-29 10:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1d9abf…
10-29 09:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x45355b…
10-29 09:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9e7b0c…
10-29 09:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x116bda…
10-29 09:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe4fef2…
10-29 09:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xde05e8…
10-29 09:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xca0615…
10-29 08:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 29?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x13bfc2…
10-29 08:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x94c6b5…
10-29 08:38:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xca1ded…
10-29 08:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x1dae9e…
10-29 08:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x9c0541…
10-29 08:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x45dcb3…
10-29 08:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x88858e…
10-29 08:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe462e4…
10-29 07:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xd7bec6…
10-29 07:28:46	highest temperature in seattle on october 30 2026 54 55f	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5938dc…
10-29 07:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xbba9d0…
10-29 07:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x29c150…
10-29 06:57:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x67f4e5…
10-29 06:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9638ae…
10-29 06:51:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4547be…
10-29 06:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x8e229b…
10-29 06:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 29?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4fdc53…
10-29 06:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x064ee1…
10-29 06:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfa1139…
10-29 06:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xeac278…
10-29 06:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4f7472…
10-29 05:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x35be5c…
10-29 04:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xa01475…
10-29 04:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8a7901…
10-29 04:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x89f535…
10-29 04:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf2e189…
10-29 03:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xfd9873…
10-29 02:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x359edc…
10-29 02:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x33d129…
10-29 01:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 29?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe11d83…
10-29 00:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x11d7cb…
10-29 00:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4bf825…
10-29 00:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 29?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xdacf18…