Optimal-Down — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$124

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved

293

Trades

581

lifetime

Volume

$6.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-16 13:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 70% +$107

Other

39% 74% -$231

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	5	$617	335	335	+0	Up	+$17	05-28 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$225	284	0	+284	Down	+$59	05-28 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	4	$210	542	0	+542	Up	-$210	05-01 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$202	205	2	+204	Up	+$4	05-28 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-28 20:24
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?	1	$186	230	0	+230	Yes	+$44	04-27 20:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:20 UTC	7	$169	209	88	+121	Down	-$11	06-05 20:23
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 btts	1	$100	111	0	+111	Yes	-$100	06-13 20:43
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 3?	6	$95	99	0	+99	Yes	+$4	06-03 18:53
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 26?	3	$89	55	55	+0	No	+$21	05-26 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	5	$86	1,076	76	+1,000	Up	+$26	05-29 11:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:15 UTC	4	$83	105	35	+70	Up	+$4	06-05 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	7	$74	75	55	+20	Up	+$14	05-30 10:19
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-26?	3	$71	145	0	+145	Yes	+$74	04-25 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	7	$70	59	44	+14	Down	-$10	05-29 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	8	$63	146	113	+33	Down	-$7	05-08 13:43
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on June 6?	3	$61	32	32	+0	Yes	+$1	06-06 08:18
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 4?	2	$59	55	55	+0	Yes	+$51	06-04 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	5	$53	49	34	+14	Up	+$7	05-29 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	6	$52	54	28	+26	Up	-$10	05-30 10:25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 85°F or below on June 3?	3	$50	31	31	+0	Yes	-$10	06-03 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:10 UTC	2	$50	74	0	+74	Down	+$24	06-05 20:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:30 UTC	2	$50	60	0	+60	Up	+$10	06-05 20:31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 28?	2	$47	27	27	+0	No	+$7	05-28 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	5	$45	60	0	+60	Down	+$7	05-01 12:42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 5?	2	$44	24	24	+0	Yes	+$4	06-05 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$43	33	33	+0	Down	+$3	05-29 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	5	$42	64	31	+33	Down	-$5	05-29 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	4	$42	76	14	+62	Up	-$18	05-29 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	06-05 19:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 13:50:52	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	48	29¢	$14	0x447fdb…
06-13 22:05:09	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd994ab…
06-13 21:04:12	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x4fa7fa…
06-13 20:48:51	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x0be59c…
06-13 20:43:15	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 btts	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x07bd6e…
06-13 17:20:09	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	147	7¢	$10	0xe3cb24…
06-13 17:18:39	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xb8aaa0…
06-13 17:18:21	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x36c8cd…
06-13 17:18:01	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xf08ff2…
06-13 17:17:46	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	263	4¢	$10	0x6bee18…
06-13 17:17:27	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	244	4¢	$10	0x8537d5…
06-13 17:17:15	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	152	7¢	$10	0xf8eab6…
06-13 17:17:01	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	295	3¢	$10	0xe20b9c…
06-13 17:16:49	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x300f0c…
06-13 17:16:04	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xfb08da…
06-13 17:15:51	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x14225d…
06-13 17:14:13	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xf66048…
06-13 17:13:42	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	286	3¢	$10	0x96a7ce…
06-13 17:12:30	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	No	BUY	161	6¢	$10	0x0213e4…
06-13 17:10:04	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	161	6¢	$10	0x027990…
06-06 10:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xa3c5e7…
06-06 10:20:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x4df4c1…
06-06 10:19:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x5c814e…
06-06 10:19:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xaff518…
06-06 10:17:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x00c128…
06-06 08:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on June 6?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$31	0xe271e7…
06-06 08:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x23f6bc…
06-05 20:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x7fe5fe…
06-05 20:31:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xd1f66a…
06-05 20:23:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xcea287…
06-05 20:23:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	88	21¢	$19	0x823d15…
06-05 20:22:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x0c4d96…
06-05 20:22:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x888967…
06-05 20:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xd49080…
06-05 20:21:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xd1acfd…
06-05 20:20:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x52b2de…
06-05 20:19:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	35	24¢	$8	0x2f4419…
06-05 20:19:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x9aae2f…
06-05 20:16:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x1a662c…
06-05 20:15:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x902cad…
06-05 20:11:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xf7b4e3…
06-05 20:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x84571c…
06-05 20:07:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x552a6b…
06-05 20:05:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0d3a1c…
06-05 19:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x0fccc7…
06-05 19:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfa1f71…
06-05 19:55:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x80a418…
06-05 19:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xab6c03…
06-05 19:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on June 6?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x11a478…
06-05 19:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xad1139…
06-05 15:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on June 6?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xe45a94…
06-05 15:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xb85552…
06-05 15:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x5a830a…
06-05 15:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe55328…
06-05 15:15:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xde1931…
06-05 15:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x20ebf3…
06-05 14:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd0beba…
06-05 06:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xee2ce4…
06-04 22:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7587b5…
06-04 22:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x2deab8…
06-04 17:42:51	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 4?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xdd3465…
06-04 17:42:46	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 4?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x4eaf97…
06-04 17:33:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xabba25…
06-04 11:29:28	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc12d0f…
06-04 08:08:09	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0702b2…
06-04 08:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3f80d7…
06-04 08:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa9c1fa…
06-04 08:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x064924…
06-04 04:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xf81a1a…
06-04 04:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xda3269…
06-04 04:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x1cdf5d…
06-03 19:49:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	55	7¢	$4	0x02c061…
06-03 18:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4989ac…
06-03 17:17:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3908cb…
06-03 17:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb8ce53…
06-03 17:15:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xaddde0…
06-03 17:13:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc97ba3…
06-03 16:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9d2a0f…
06-03 16:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5f08bf…
06-03 15:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xab519a…
06-03 15:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 85°F or below on June 3?	Yes	SELL	31	65¢	$20	0x528d15…
06-03 13:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 78°F or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2f2b12…
06-03 13:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 85°F or below on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x66c044…
06-03 07:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe1936e…
06-03 07:36:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 3?	Yes	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x4fc210…
06-03 07:34:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 3?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xecf76b…
06-03 07:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x4d9fc2…
06-03 07:32:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xef1545…
06-03 07:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4ec9bf…
06-03 07:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4840f6…
06-03 07:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 85°F or below on June 3?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x3150c9…
06-03 07:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 78°F or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x43cce7…
06-03 07:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6789bb…
06-03 07:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xecb2e4…
06-02 22:22:11	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x13bca3…
06-02 22:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xcb8d49…
06-02 22:19:25	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x64ee3c…
06-02 22:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x032285…
06-02 22:17:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2264b6…
06-02 22:16:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb81abd…