Optimal-Down — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

Trades

389

lifetime

Volume

$4.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-06 10:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 46% +$9

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	5	$617	335	335	+0	open	—	05-28 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$225	284	0	+284	open	—	05-28 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	4	$210	542	0	+542	open	—	05-01 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$202	205	2	+204	open	—	05-28 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	05-28 20:24
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?	1	$186	230	0	+230	open	—	04-27 20:51
btc updown 5m 1780690800	7	$169	209	88	+121	open	—	06-05 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	5	$86	1,076	76	+1,000	open	—	05-29 11:35
btc updown 5m 1780690500	4	$83	105	35	+70	open	—	06-05 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	7	$74	75	55	+20	open	—	05-30 10:19
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-26?	3	$71	145	0	+145	open	—	04-25 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	8	$63	146	113	+33	Down	$-7	05-08 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	5	$53	49	34	+14	open	—	05-29 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	6	$52	54	28	+26	open	—	05-30 10:25
btc updown 5m 1780690200	2	$50	74	0	+74	open	—	06-05 20:11
btc updown 5m 1780691400	2	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	06-05 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	5	$45	60	0	+60	open	—	05-01 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$43	33	33	+0	open	—	05-29 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	5	$42	64	31	+33	open	—	05-29 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	4	$42	76	14	+62	open	—	05-29 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	4	$38	29	29	+0	open	—	05-30 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$35	46	0	+46	Up	+$11	05-08 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	7	$35	42	0	+42	open	—	05-01 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$34	29	29	+0	open	—	05-29 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$33	72	17	+56	open	—	05-28 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$33	44	29	+14	open	—	05-28 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	7	$33	57	10	+48	open	—	05-04 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	4	$33	45	32	+13	open	—	05-30 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$31	25	25	+0	open	—	05-28 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$30	211	11	+200	open	—	05-28 15:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 10:20:21	btc updown 5m 1780741200	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x4df4c1…
06-06 10:19:22	btc updown 5m 1780740900	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x5c814e…
06-06 10:19:16	btc updown 5m 1780740900	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xaff518…
06-05 20:31:40	btc updown 5m 1780691400	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x7fe5fe…
06-05 20:31:07	btc updown 5m 1780691400	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xd1f66a…
06-05 20:23:31	btc updown 5m 1780690800	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xcea287…
06-05 20:23:19	btc updown 5m 1780690800	Up	SELL	88	21¢	$19	0x823d15…
06-05 20:22:43	btc updown 5m 1780690800	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x0c4d96…
06-05 20:22:31	btc updown 5m 1780690800	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x888967…
06-05 20:22:19	btc updown 5m 1780690800	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xd49080…
06-05 20:21:33	btc updown 5m 1780690800	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xd1acfd…
06-05 20:20:33	btc updown 5m 1780690800	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x52b2de…
06-05 20:19:43	btc updown 5m 1780690500	Down	SELL	35	24¢	$8	0x2f4419…
06-05 20:19:18	btc updown 5m 1780690500	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x9aae2f…
06-05 20:16:46	btc updown 5m 1780690500	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x1a662c…
06-05 20:15:34	btc updown 5m 1780690500	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x902cad…
06-05 20:11:15	btc updown 5m 1780690200	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xf7b4e3…
06-05 20:10:55	btc updown 5m 1780690200	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x84571c…
06-05 20:07:49	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x552a6b…
06-05 20:05:12	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0d3a1c…
05-31 12:21:12	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x87076d…
05-31 12:11:24	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf4808a…
05-31 12:08:31	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x03fd83…
05-31 12:02:39	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6958ee…
05-31 12:02:36	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3c78a3…
05-31 12:02:34	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x18c566…
05-31 12:02:29	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe7aa39…
05-31 12:00:56	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2aeabe…
05-31 11:51:48	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1f5a41…
05-31 11:47:50	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x89aa5d…
05-31 11:42:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x98e805…
05-31 11:42:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x87f98c…
05-31 11:42:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3014d0…
05-31 09:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xa37ba6…
05-31 09:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x7d6478…
05-31 09:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x475b6d…
05-31 09:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x543722…
05-31 09:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x7f3447…
05-31 08:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x96bf19…
05-31 08:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xeebe60…
05-31 07:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xc1fe04…
05-31 07:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1b6d5e…
05-31 07:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x580533…
05-31 07:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0254b4…
05-31 07:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x186531…
05-31 07:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x53d827…
05-31 07:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x995947…
05-31 07:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x7aabf5…
05-31 07:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xff4d8d…
05-30 20:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd4371b…
05-30 19:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x463c1f…
05-30 19:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1bf65e…
05-30 19:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x68feef…
05-30 16:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbc2d63…
05-30 16:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xcb830c…
05-30 16:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8e6cf5…
05-30 16:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xd3523f…
05-30 16:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf61c0d…
05-30 12:06:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3666a5…
05-30 12:04:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x2c4d3e…
05-30 12:03:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6e683b…
05-30 11:59:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdb6178…
05-30 11:59:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x897123…
05-30 10:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xe4903e…
05-30 10:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xfbcd34…
05-30 10:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0xcdce03…
05-30 10:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x0936b6…
05-30 10:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	73¢	$11	0xc50033…
05-30 10:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xa8b428…
05-30 10:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd47a6b…
05-30 10:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	21	57¢	$12	0x918d99…
05-30 10:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x434210…
05-30 10:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0xfc54ec…
05-30 10:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xf47749…
05-30 10:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	19	65¢	$12	0x2ed298…
05-30 10:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7dc576…
05-30 10:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0x62f151…
05-30 10:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x8881f8…
05-30 10:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xe3d3ff…
05-30 10:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x26de59…
05-30 10:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa2d202…
05-30 10:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x6501f2…
05-30 10:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xc6ddee…
05-30 10:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x4b0d40…
05-30 10:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0xd7746d…
05-30 10:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x288f23…
05-30 09:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18	80¢	$14	0x811e29…
05-30 09:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xe86706…
05-29 11:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x5aef70…
05-29 11:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	62	73¢	$46	0x1d1b83…
05-29 11:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x04ec06…
05-29 11:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0xe03b84…
05-29 11:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x9c1a35…
05-29 11:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x946578…
05-29 11:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x810e80…
05-29 11:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0xa7995a…
05-29 11:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x0f8441…
05-29 11:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xc9d8d3…
05-29 11:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	67¢	$9	0x00845a…
05-29 11:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x20dfbe…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	143	$50.9K	7,430	06-06 10:23
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	140	$12.4K	1,546	06-06 10:23
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	140	$9.94K	1,407	06-06 10:23
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	139	$124.5K	5,234	06-06 10:26
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	139	$44.4K	6,222	06-06 10:23
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	138	$46.0K	12,179	06-06 10:23
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	138	$45.8K	12,028	06-06 10:23
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	137	$20.0K	1,159	06-06 10:22