Unequaled-Mole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.37K

Hit rate

79.5%

Resolved

238

Trades

1,534

lifetime

Volume

$305.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$199

Open exposure

$11.9K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-25 13:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

49% 91% -$5,833

Politics

26% 83% -$6,064

Tech

13% 88% -$1,765

Crypto

8% 81% -$1,193

Sports

4% 93% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-5,000	-$4,903	99¢	$-4942	-$39	08-13 15:46
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+4,074	$2,420	96¢	$3.9K	+$1,497	09-15 18:38
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+1,016	$955	96¢	$974	+$19	09-11 08:18
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+2,500	$902	34¢	$837	-$64	10-21 06:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+666	$92	94¢	$623	+$531	10-02 12:30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+10,053	$960	4¢	$387	-$572	10-25 13:29
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	-249	-$244	99¢	$-247	-$3	08-19 12:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	357	$28.7K	29,305	15,178	+14,127	open	—	10-25 13:29
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	6	$26.5K	0	30,000	-30,000	No	-$3,520	02-24 13:37
Trump out as President by April 30?	3	$17.9K	18,000	0	+18,000	No	+$111	04-15 16:58
will gta 6 cost 100	6	$12.0K	12,068	0	+12,068	No	+$62	02-24 16:37
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	36	$11.8K	12,240	0	+12,240	No	+$424	04-27 01:44
coin quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt61	2	$8.1K	8,156	0	+8,156	No	+$8	02-12 21:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	138	$7.3K	13,569	2,042	+11,527	No	-$1,991	09-02 05:11
Trump out as President by May 31?	13	$5.9K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	+$59	05-07 05:45
will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	11	$5.9K	6,219	0	+6,219	Yes	+$304	03-17 14:46
Trump out as President by September 30?	11	$5.4K	3,000	2,440	+560	No	+$47	09-26 18:28
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?	6	$5.4K	5,550	0	+5,550	Yes	+$165	04-02 17:11
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	11	$5.1K	6,500	0	+6,500	No	+$1,435	05-26 12:29
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	49	$4.9K	0	5,000	-5,000	open	—	08-13 15:46
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$4.2K	4,226	0	+4,226	Yes	+$4	02-28 15:39
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$24	07-17 15:04
another gta vi trailer released by march 31	24	$3.7K	3,880	0	+3,880	No	+$148	03-31 13:13
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	10	$3.6K	4,000	625	+3,375	No	+$11	08-05 13:35
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	3	$3.6K	3,672	0	+3,672	Yes	+$81	03-15 22:27
will temu shop like a billionaire be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 24	1	$3.5K	3,620	0	+3,620	No	+$72	03-23 12:07
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	110	$3.5K	4,887	4,887	+0	No	-$1,303	08-19 05:48
will google gemini be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 24	2	$3.3K	3,326	0	+3,326	No	+$32	03-23 14:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	19	$3.3K	6,218	0	+6,218	Yes	-$2,758	05-27 03:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$3.2K	5,384	0	+5,384	No	-$3,224	04-07 23:33
will ncaa march madness live be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 24	1	$3.1K	3,226	0	+3,226	No	+$97	03-23 12:08
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 30?	3	$3.0K	3,036	0	+3,036	Yes	+$70	04-02 17:15
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	3	$3.0K	3,015	0	+3,015	Yes	+$56	03-15 22:31
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$2.4K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$82	02-13 14:53
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 13	6	$2.4K	2,478	0	+2,478	No	+$88	03-12 23:49
acn quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 19 2026 2pt85	5	$2.2K	2,440	0	+2,440	Yes	+$217	03-17 16:43
will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 10	1	$2.2K	2,167	0	+2,167	No	+$2	04-09 13:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 13:29:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	175	3¢	$5	0x87f3b1…
10-21 06:43:57	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xffd744…
10-21 06:43:05	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xa3eb8f…
10-21 04:57:11	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xaa0835…
10-21 03:21:20	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xca223e…
10-21 03:20:45	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x4d47fa…
10-21 03:20:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x89cda3…
10-21 03:19:48	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x4a4daa…
10-21 03:19:06	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x9e65e5…
10-21 03:19:06	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x0503fb…
10-21 02:01:27	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x7a1b4f…
10-20 23:40:26	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xc9d41e…
10-20 23:39:50	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0xaf4f4d…
10-20 22:38:14	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0xd32a3b…
10-20 22:38:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0xa51716…
10-20 17:44:44	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xe9f19e…
10-20 14:32:48	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0x16258b…
10-20 11:43:48	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0x70f4d6…
10-20 07:13:05	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0xffdfe5…
10-20 00:43:11	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	39¢	$14	0x56f3f4…
10-19 18:09:41	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0x97b3eb…
10-19 07:20:18	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0x370e8d…
10-19 05:27:48	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0xfb2c9e…
10-17 12:09:20	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0xb91f7f…
10-17 01:43:29	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0xa7b30c…
10-15 06:20:49	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0x90b809…
10-14 11:43:56	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0xd1fd8c…
10-14 11:43:55	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xb17487…
10-14 07:30:08	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x386ac7…
10-14 07:11:44	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0x302210…
10-14 04:05:32	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x9720ed…
10-14 01:51:38	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xb0cb15…
10-14 00:46:09	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x83805c…
10-14 00:07:07	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x9ca38f…
10-13 13:10:52	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xb8b76b…
10-12 15:01:17	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x628840…
10-12 14:54:20	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xee7e23…
10-12 14:53:29	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xf53ca0…
10-12 14:52:08	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x6ac984…
10-12 14:52:06	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0xcb3c63…
10-11 19:14:06	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0x77ed8c…
10-11 18:20:33	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0x3b39c9…
10-11 14:55:43	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xa6537a…
10-11 13:58:01	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3dd4c4…
10-10 21:31:13	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xae5d8a…
10-10 20:07:34	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x987051…
10-10 18:13:04	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0xa6e719…
10-10 17:43:00	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0x7cdbc4…
10-09 20:49:46	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0x1c36dd…
10-09 19:23:19	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0x4f2a9f…
10-09 19:23:01	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0x2200a1…
10-09 19:19:25	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	39¢	$14	0x862d9d…
10-09 19:07:31	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	39¢	$14	0x5b8474…
10-09 17:10:26	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0x37c129…
10-09 16:33:41	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0xb17221…
10-08 18:53:00	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x9575e0…
10-08 18:52:59	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3bce12…
10-08 18:52:57	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$4	0x222af3…
10-08 18:52:57	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x11ff68…
10-08 18:11:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x70070a…
10-08 17:41:00	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0x742079…
10-08 17:38:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0x3a0ddd…
10-08 17:26:05	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0x818c51…
10-08 17:26:05	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x0a7018…
10-08 15:46:05	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0xb9c36c…
10-08 15:42:09	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0x4be6d7…
10-08 14:20:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0xef083e…
10-08 12:33:24	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	34¢	$6	0x7e7630…
10-08 11:37:08	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0xe0b288…
10-08 09:19:44	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0x4d3e47…
10-08 08:00:09	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0302c9…
10-08 08:00:07	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x0962ea…
10-08 06:47:50	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0xf33eb7…
10-08 05:56:02	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0xe972b4…
10-08 03:49:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x8d4774…
10-07 20:41:50	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0x9a8913…
10-07 17:15:04	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	33¢	$12	0x3a6dc2…
10-07 16:44:41	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0xf003cc…
10-07 16:44:41	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	33¢	$12	0x8d361f…
10-07 08:31:15	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0x69efc2…
10-07 08:29:36	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0x58343f…
10-07 05:16:59	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0x054004…
10-06 14:38:23	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x017532…
10-06 14:38:21	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0xdf52ad…
10-05 16:14:16	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0xf4c84c…
10-05 16:01:47	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0x522feb…
10-05 16:01:46	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x4d88c3…
10-04 14:58:02	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x9b17cc…
10-04 09:54:14	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xae2d69…
10-04 06:52:28	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x999fd7…
10-04 05:10:05	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x5d796e…
10-04 04:33:52	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xc349c2…
10-04 00:43:53	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x12c587…
10-04 00:43:22	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x1bda46…
10-02 12:30:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	94	83¢	$78	0x83b8ba…
09-26 18:28:20	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	SELL	440	100¢	$440	0x98370d…
09-26 09:18:56	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xd49680…
09-26 08:22:41	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x93a236…
09-25 22:10:33	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xc5c6af…
09-25 02:09:35	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x085e47…