Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$287

Hit rate

83.5%

Resolved

Trades

347

lifetime

Volume

$434.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.25K

Open exposure

$29.0K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-26 18:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

77% 79% +$8,011

Politics

23% 71% +$1,877

Sports

0% 33% +$139

Tech

0% 100% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+18,344	$17,060	92¢	$17.0K	-$92	10-26 18:11
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+9,722	$9,040	92¢	$8.9K	-$145	10-23 20:29
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+3,391	$3,154	92¢	$3.1K	-$51	09-20 11:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	6	$51.9K	27,455	27,455	+0	No	+$2,892	05-31 10:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	37	$51.4K	29,366	29,366	+0	No	-$1,144	08-06 09:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	8	$47.8K	24,562	24,562	+0	No	+$1,120	04-30 08:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	13	$37.8K	19,269	19,269	+0	No	+$374	06-24 17:26
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	5	$34.2K	17,522	17,522	+0	No	+$632	06-12 22:19
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$24.7K	25,200	0	+25,200	No	+$460	05-31 10:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	43	$21.0K	11,291	11,291	+0	No	+$275	06-25 09:36
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$18.4K	18,641	0	+18,641	No	+$250	04-13 06:46
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	4	$17.1K	18,344	0	+18,344	open	—	10-26 18:11
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$12.5K	7,570	7,570	+0	No	+$2,544	04-13 06:41
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	5	$12.4K	6,411	6,411	+0	No	+$302	07-11 12:08
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	7	$11.0K	6,079	6,079	-0	Yes	+$1,112	04-13 06:39
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	7	$9.0K	9,722	0	+9,722	open	—	10-23 20:29
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	2	$7.8K	4,206	4,206	+0	No	+$328	07-11 12:39
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	19	$5.3K	2,696	2,696	+0	No	+$102	06-29 23:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	7	$5.0K	2,505	2,505	+0	No	+$31	07-01 21:38
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	5	$4.3K	4,402	0	+4,402	Yes	+$146	06-20 18:21
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	5	$4.1K	2,102	2,102	+0	No	+$84	07-15 16:35
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	5	$4.0K	2,184	2,184	+0	No	+$157	08-06 08:59
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	8	$3.9K	2,093	2,093	+0	No	+$243	06-24 17:42
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	4	$3.7K	2,350	2,350	+0	open	—	08-06 08:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$3.6K	2,548	2,548	+0	open	—	07-15 20:00
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$3.4K	4,843	0	+4,843	No	+$1,404	04-08 11:56
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	14	$3.2K	2,057	1,171	+886	No	+$42	07-05 20:56
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$3.2K	3,391	0	+3,391	open	—	09-20 11:00
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	5	$2.6K	1,462	1,462	+0	No	-$157	06-14 18:22
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	5	$2.4K	1,292	1,292	+0	No	-$3	06-18 13:33
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	1	$2.4K	2,396	0	+2,396	No	+$43	05-31 10:14
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	10	$2.2K	1,143	1,143	+0	No	+$80	06-29 23:44
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	8	$2.2K	1,174	1,174	+0	Yes	+$20	06-22 22:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:11:23	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0xd4bfc0…
10-23 20:29:05	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xde495a…
10-21 21:48:06	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x89396d…
10-16 08:26:25	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x1aeb86…
10-10 18:16:39	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x1c3205…
10-02 07:41:26	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xda63b4…
09-28 21:09:09	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0x35e52d…
09-20 11:02:00	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	18,283	93¢	$17,003	0xea6759…
09-20 11:00:31	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x506e1b…
09-20 11:00:24	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0x57740e…
09-20 11:00:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,389	93¢	$3,152	0x7b8728…
09-20 10:59:45	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	9,625	93¢	$8,951	0xdd9033…
08-06 09:01:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	9,030	78¢	$7,085	0xe5d3dc…
08-06 09:00:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	3,010	85¢	$2,544	0x027e92…
08-06 08:59:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	2,184	96¢	$2,095	0xb59a2e…
08-06 08:59:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	17,326	90¢	$15,511	0xf4e6e7…
08-06 08:58:41	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	SELL	2,350	85¢	$1,998	0x0ac365…
07-16 20:52:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	73	83¢	$61	0xe1aef8…
07-16 20:52:14	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xf9611c…
07-16 20:51:47	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	53	70¢	$37	0x6de91a…
07-16 20:51:46	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	71¢	$37	0x65ae16…
07-15 20:01:16	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	BUY	2,025	73¢	$1,478	0xceada9…
07-15 20:00:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,548	58¢	$1,478	0x35b3aa…
07-15 19:43:49	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	BUY	309	73¢	$226	0xda2f98…
07-15 19:43:08	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	300	76¢	$228	0x89eb2c…
07-15 16:39:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x3e2bfa…
07-15 16:37:23	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0xcd8b61…
07-15 16:36:49	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	2,036	89¢	$1,812	0x28562d…
07-15 16:35:32	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x74cf1c…
07-15 16:35:11	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	2,102	99¢	$2,072	0x149fbd…
07-14 20:22:37	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x7c53fe…
07-14 20:21:56	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xe0e368…
07-14 20:20:23	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x232229…
07-11 12:40:32	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	4,574	89¢	$4,071	0x317713…
07-11 12:39:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	4,206	97¢	$4,071	0x92000a…
07-11 12:08:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	4,267	89¢	$3,798	0xe5e6ea…
07-11 12:08:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	3,849	99¢	$3,798	0x4c06a6…
07-11 12:05:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	1,348	89¢	$1,200	0x1bdb7b…
07-11 12:04:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1,216	99¢	$1,200	0x3fa8a8…
07-11 09:38:13	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	90	96¢	$87	0x3e6fcf…
07-11 09:29:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	1,413	88¢	$1,243	0x4132fa…
07-11 09:26:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1,346	99¢	$1,330	0xf3ca98…
07-08 16:42:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	638	89¢	$568	0x8d18ed…
07-08 16:41:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	38	88¢	$34	0xa36fa1…
07-08 16:41:22	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	No	SELL	613	98¢	$602	0xca4d56…
07-08 10:44:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	532	91¢	$484	0x692193…
07-08 10:44:04	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	513	95¢	$485	0x8c33fa…
07-08 08:34:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	981	92¢	$903	0xb07ede…
07-08 08:28:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x6131e2…
07-08 08:27:32	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	468	99¢	$462	0x2068a7…
07-08 08:27:11	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0x357dde…
07-07 21:53:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	953	93¢	$886	0x45cd80…
07-05 20:58:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x597f38…
07-05 20:56:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	52	91¢	$48	0xab6506…
07-05 20:56:40	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	57	100¢	$56	0x9fdd10…
07-05 20:56:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0x0fe3f6…
07-05 20:55:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	210	91¢	$191	0xf41295…
07-05 20:55:37	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	207	100¢	$206	0x09838e…
07-05 20:54:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x937ed4…
07-05 20:54:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	619	92¢	$570	0xdbe501…
07-05 20:54:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xf2aa14…
07-05 20:53:49	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	619	100¢	$617	0x70668f…
07-05 18:27:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x2faaa6…
07-05 15:00:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0xd92d1f…
07-05 14:59:50	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	288	100¢	$287	0xd4be29…
07-05 09:12:29	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912	No	BUY	288	96¢	$277	0x8dbc38…
07-05 09:11:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	617	92¢	$568	0x36f620…
07-05 09:10:26	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,007	84¢	$845	0xa9b28c…
07-02 08:39:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x8c10a2…
07-02 08:39:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x351c03…
07-02 08:34:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	421	92¢	$387	0x2ac958…
07-02 08:28:28	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x159eda…
07-02 08:28:13	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xa4213e…
07-02 08:27:34	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x63bcfd…
07-02 08:26:49	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	48	92¢	$44	0x082274…
07-02 08:25:52	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0xab451e…
07-02 08:25:05	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xf13765…
07-02 08:24:02	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912	No	BUY	275	91¢	$249	0x1d8ab9…
07-02 08:21:40	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	1,000	86¢	$860	0xbfae5b…
07-02 08:09:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	548	82¢	$450	0x890e51…
07-02 08:07:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	82¢	$1,640	0xaa8b57…
07-01 21:55:16	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	300	78¢	$233	0x6454c2…
07-01 21:38:53	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	2,330	100¢	$2,325	0x655bfa…
07-01 16:38:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	603	92¢	$554	0xaae644…
07-01 16:36:59	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	555	100¢	$554	0x1f1326…
07-01 09:34:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	813	95¢	$772	0x65e63e…
07-01 09:33:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0xfce48f…
06-30 00:04:43	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0x5e5e75…
06-30 00:04:05	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xf5a433…
06-30 00:03:55	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,480	0x4258d6…
06-30 00:03:31	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x324e6b…
06-30 00:01:58	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfcc752…
06-29 23:59:46	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	SELL	500	90¢	$450	0x5c802a…
06-29 23:59:10	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0xa9f323…
06-29 23:49:01	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x134c9b…
06-29 23:48:58	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x193b0e…
06-29 23:46:02	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	363	91¢	$330	0x9ffd4d…
06-29 23:45:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	2,000	90¢	$1,800	0xf824fe…
06-29 23:44:35	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1,143	100¢	$1,140	0x4b90be…
06-29 23:44:29	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	SELL	2,696	100¢	$2,690	0x414eba…